Rather, it will be a boon for the Korean crude oil and chemical markets

Rather, it will be a boon for the Korean crude oil and chemical markets | Yoon Jaeseong, Hana Securities Research Center Senior Research Fellow [Double Up]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 09, 2026 at 02:27  |  15:38  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Yoon Jae-sung — Research Fellow

Summary

Yoon Jaeseong discusses structural changes in global oil sourcing away from Middle East, which he sees as a medium-term positive for Korean refiners and chemical companies. He also highlights the solar energy theme, favoring non-Chinese suppliers like OCI Holdings and Hanwha Solutions due to US policy exclusions and possible SpaceX partnership. The video contrasts near-term uncertainty in oil/chemicals with more immediate opportunities in solar stocks.

  • Oil prices remain in a range but strategic reserves are depleting, setting up for a sharp move either way.
  • Asia is structurally reducing reliance on Middle Eastern crude, increasing imports from the Americas and Africa.
  • Korean refiners and chemical firms could see valuation multiple expansion as input costs moderate.
  • US solar companies First Solar and T1 Energy have surged on non-Chinese supply chain premiums.
  • OCI Holdings is the lowest-cost non-Chinese polysilicon producer and may supply SpaceX for space solar.
  • Hanwha Solutions benefits from US module capacity and exclusion of Chinese modules via OBBA Act.
  • Short-term, solar stocks are preferred over refining/chemical stocks due to clearer catalysts.
  • The structural shift in oil supply chains is a key medium-term investment theme for Asia.
Ideas
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 7:45
Asian refiners to benefit from cheaper oil
Structural shift in global crude sourcing away from Middle East to cheaper alternatives (US, Brazil, Guyana, West Africa) will lower input costs for Asian, especially Korean, refiners and chemical companies. This enables valuation expansion from current PBR ~1x to 3-4x, similar to US peers over the past 15 years.
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 9:20
First Solar, T1 Energy gain from policy
US solar companies First Solar and T1 Energy have surged due to US policies excluding Chinese solar content, granting them premium valuations. This re-rating is expected to persist as the OBBA Act further restricts Chinese participation in the US solar market.
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 10:38
OCI Holdings lowest-cost non-Chinese polysilicon
OCI Holdings is the lowest-cost non-Chinese polysilicon producer globally, using Malaysian hydropower. It will benefit from US policies (OBBA Act) excluding Chinese solar content, has potential SpaceX space solar supply contract, and plans significant capacity expansion from 35k tons to 65k tons, providing substantial upside.
Yoon Jae-sung Research Fellow 13:37
Hanwha Solutions gains from US solar policy
Hanwha Solutions has shifted entirely to non-Chinese polysilicon (from OCI Holdings) and holds 8.4GW US module capacity (~13-14% market share). As US OBBA Act excludes Chinese modules (which account for 40% of US capacity), Hanwha Solutions should capture pricing power and margin expansion, mirroring the re-rating seen in First Solar and T1 Energy.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published June 09, 2026, features Yoon Jae-sung discussing Korean refining and petrochemical sector, FSLR, T1E.US, 010060.KS, 009830.KS. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Yoon Jae-sung  · Tickers: Korean refining and petrochemical sector, FSLR, T1E.US, 010060.KS, 009830.KS