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Real Market: SK Hynix ADR surged 9% then collapsed again — the real reason / China AI Kimi K3 appears … US in ultra-emergency due to second DeepSeek shock

[#RealMarket] SK Hynix ADR, which surged 9%, collapsed again for this real reason / China AI Kimi K3 appears… US in ultra-emergency due to second Deepseek shock | Director Lee Ju-yeon
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 18, 2026 at 11:00  |  38:49  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle

Summary

Director Lee Ju-yeon analyzes the sharp decline in US and Asian tech stocks driven by fears over China's Kimi K3 AI model, geopolitics, and options expiry. She argues the selloff is mainly supply/demand-driven and fundamentals are unchanged, seeing next week's big-tech earnings as a potential catalyst for a rebound. She highlights defensive plays in refining and consumer/beauty sectors and recommends buying oversold SK Hynix and KOSDAQ index for a risk/reward advantage.

  • US and Asian markets plunged led by semiconductors after China's Kimi K3 model triggered a second 'DeepSeek shock' and geopolitical tensions rose.
  • SK Hynix ADR spiked 10% then gave back gains; massive call buying suggests strong conviction for a 40%+ upside.
  • KIMI K3 fears are overblown — the ultra-large model requires enormous memory and networking, supporting HBM and DRAM demand.
  • Next week's Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel earnings are critical events that could confirm a market bottom.
  • Refining stocks (S-Oil, GS, SK Innovation) act as defensive plays with earnings support and geopolitical tailwinds.
  • Consumer/beauty stocks like Korea Kolmar and Cosmax benefit from surging foreign tourism and offer relative safety.
  • KOSDAQ index is a convenient proxy for bottom-fishing in heavily beaten biotech and secondary battery sectors with favorable risk/reward.
Ideas
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 7:17
KOSPI gap-down then rebound likely
KOSPI is expected to gap down on Monday but likely find a bottom and rebound. The selloff is driven by supply/demand factors rather than fundamental deterioration, and risk/reward now favors upside as the market has fallen sharply and big-tech earnings next week could restore confidence.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 7:22
SK Hynix oversold, strong call buying
SK Hynix (and its ADR) is heavily oversold after a 40%+ drop from highs. A massive call option buying program betting on over 40% upside suggests strong conviction that a bottom is near. Chairman Choi Tae-won publicly urged to buy and hold. The fears around China's Kimi K3 AI model hurting memory demand are overblown and actually reinforce the need for high-bandwidth memory and DRAM, while supply shortages are expected to worsen next year. The ADR held support at $149.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 34:59
Refining stocks are defensive with catalysts
Refining and energy stocks such as S-Oil, GS, and SK Innovation are acting as defensive plays amid market turmoil. They benefit from continued geopolitical risks supporting refining margins, positive earnings expectations for Q2, and technically attractive positioning.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 36:31
Cosmetics/consumer defensive on tourism boom
Consumer goods and cosmetics stocks are attractive defensive plays in a weak market. A sharp increase in foreign tourists is driving demand and earnings expectations for companies like Korea Kolmar, Dalba Global, and Cosmax. The sector shows relative strength.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 37:11
KOSDAQ buy-the-dip for biotech/batteries
KOSDAQ index, heavily weighted toward biotech and secondary battery stocks, is a buy-the-dip proxy for those beaten-down sectors. From a risk/reward perspective, the remaining downside is significantly smaller than the potential upside, making it attractive for second-half positioning.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 18, 2026, features Lee Ju-hyeon discussing EWY, 000660.KS, SK Hynix ADR, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 096770.KS, 192820.KS, 161890.KS, AP, KOSDAQ. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Ju-hyeon  · Tickers: EWY, 000660.KS, SK Hynix ADR, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 096770.KS, 192820.KS, 161890.KS, AP, KOSDAQ