What it may take to get Venezuela back to 3+ million barrels per day by 2030

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 06, 2026 at 19:35  |  4:30  |  CNBC
Speakers
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera — CEO of MCC Global Enterprises

Summary

The segment discusses the political transition in Venezuela after Nicolas Maduro's capture and Delcy Rodriguez becoming acting president. Michelle Caruso-Cabrera says oil executives believe Venezuela could return to 3.5 million barrels per day by 2030 if stability and security are restored, and she highlights a 2020 anti-blockade law that allows the executive branch to pursue privatizations and deals with oil companies. The conversation also covers Maria Machado's opposition role and US concerns about de-Baathification-style instability.

  • Venezuela swore in Delcy Rodriguez as acting president after the US capture of Nicolas Maduro.
  • Oil executives see potential for Venezuela to return to 3.5 million barrels per day by 2030 if stability and security are restored.
  • Reaching that output level would require substantial investment.
  • A 2020 anti-blockade law lets Venezuela's executive branch enter deals and pursue full privatizations, removing old 51%-60% state ownership requirements.
  • Rodriguez may have leeway to cooperate with the US and oil companies if she chooses.
  • Maria Machado's opposition hopes are delayed, with US officials wary of de-Baathification-style instability.
  • The discussion has implications for future Venezuelan oil supply and oil-company investment terms.
Ideas
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera CEO of MCC Global Enterprises 0:56
Venezuela oil output may recover by 2030
Oil executives believe Venezuela could return to 3.5 million barrels per day by 2030 if stability and security are restored on the ground, though that would require substantial investment. She also points to Venezuela's 2020 anti-blockade law, which allows the executive branch to enter deals and pursue full privatizations and removes the old requirement for at least 51%-60% state ownership, giving acting President Delcy Rodriguez leeway to work with oil companies if she cooperates with the US.
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This CNBC video, published January 06, 2026, features Michelle Caruso-Cabrera discussing Venezuelan oil sector, WTI. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Michelle Caruso-Cabrera  · Tickers: Venezuelan oil sector, WTI