Buzzberg Cup Live

Trump declares 20% toll on cargo for Iran blockade, Hormuz passage: oil prices surge, New York stock market falls; SK Hynix ADR plunges 9.32%

[July 14 #BeforeMarketOpen] Trump declares 20% toll collection on cargo for Iran blockade, Hormuz passage "Oil prices surge, New York stock market falls" / SK Hynix ADR plunges 9.32%
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 14, 2026 at 00:22  |  2:30:21  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Young-cheol — CEO
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist

Summary

The broadcast analyzes a market crash triggered by SK hynix ADR listing, leverage ETF concerns, and oil price surge from Trump's Hormuz toll announcement. Multiple panelists identify oversold semiconductor stocks and defensive plays, highlighting specific long ideas across AI, refining, nuclear, healthcare, cosmetics, and Korean semiconductor equipment.

  • SK hynix ADR listing, excessive leverage ETF activity, and an earnings estimate cut from Korea Investment & Securities combined to trigger a severe sell-off.
  • Trump's declaration of a 20% toll on cargo passing Hormuz sent oil prices surging and reignited inflation/rate-hike fears.
  • Panelists broadly see the sell-off as overshooting and driven by distorted supply/demand, not a fundamental breakdown.
  • Key long calls include Samsung Electronics and SK hynix on valuation, LG Electronics on AI server rack and cooling, and Korean refiners on a lubricant supply shortage.
  • Defensive and oversold plays highlighted: banks benefiting from BOK rate hikes, KEPCO on AI power demand, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics on MLCC/substrate recovery.
  • Alteogen's dip is viewed as a buying opportunity after Samsung Epis's competing technology proved to be non-overlapping.
  • Cosmetics ODM Able C&C and entertainment stock Hybe are pitched as beneficiaries of global K-tourism and consumption trends.
Ideas
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 8:17
LG Elec AI server rack upside
LG Electronics is entering mass production of NVIDIA AI server racks, leveraging its strengths in cooling systems (chillers) and B2B infotainment. Combined with strong Q2 earnings, this provides a mid-to-long-term growth catalyst. Once the broader market stabilizes, the stock is a buy.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 11:54
Refiners defensive amid weak market
Refiners (S-Oil, GS, SK Innovation) have additional upside from a shortage of premium lubricants. The Qatar Shell plant was damaged and will take at least a year to restore, leaving Korean companies to capture the margin opportunity. Lubricant prices have more than doubled, and this tailwind can offset any moderation in crude prices in H2.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 12:40
Avoid batteries near term
Secondary battery stocks (Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution) are not yet in a strong earnings uptrend; rebounds lack sustainability. Near-term allocation is unattractive except for extremely long-term holders. Better to reduce weight into rallies and rotate into other sectors.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 14:03
Banks rally on rate hike
Bank stocks (Hana Financial, JB Financial, K Bank) are rallying on the nearly certain BOK rate hike of 25bp, with expectations of more hikes to come. Strong fundamentals and rate sensitivity make them attractive.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 14:27
Convenience stores defensive earnings play
Convenience store operators (BGF Retail, GS Retail) are proving that earnings do not betray. Even as the broader market collapses, these earnings-driven stocks are holding up and showing selective strength.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 15:14
Watch renewables/nuclear on power shortage
Renewable and nuclear-related stocks (OCI Holdings, CS Wind, Doosan Enerbility) are showing relative strength in a crashing market. The underlying power shortage theme and the need for energy supply expansion make this a sector to keep watching closely.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 15:14
Watch renewables/nuclear on power shortage
The 12th Basic Energy Plan will officially review additional nuclear power plants and SMRs. Combined with the upcoming Vietnam nuclear order competition where Team Korea is participating, Doosan Enerbility stands to benefit from the nuclear build-out momentum.
Monitor SK hynix ADR premium convergence
The SK hynix ADR premium over the local shares reached 35% and has since narrowed to 24%. Hedge funds will arbitrage this spread. Tracking the premium convergence over the next month is crucial, as it will signal how the arb trade unfolds and when the local stock may stabilize.
Japanese financials on global rate hikes
Japanese financials (Mitsubishi UFJ, Sumitomo Mitsui, Nomura, Daiwa) are making new highs, driven by global rate hiking cycles and Japan's own monetary tightening. The sector offers both momentum and fundamental support.
Samsung, SK hynix oversold buy
Hedge funds, which had been selling semiconductors since May, are now buying again amid extreme oversold conditions. The sharp sell-off is a supply/demand distortion, not a fundamental breakdown. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are positioned for a sharp relief rally.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:52
Alteogen dip buy patent safe
Alteogen sold off on news that Samsung Epis developed its own SC technology. However, the technology is different from Alteogen's, and Alteogen's exclusive patents are protected until the early 2040s. The fundamental impact is very limited; the dip is a buying opportunity.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 112:30
Foreign buying Korean semicon equipment/materials
Foreign investors are accumulating a basket of Korean semiconductor equipment and materials stocks: Jusung Engineering, Techwing, Simmtech, Sungho Electronics, PSK, Wonik IPS, TES, and VM. This foreign buying signal suggests these names are poised to outperform.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 113:13
KEPCO AI power demand play
KEPCO is deeply oversold (down ~50% from its high) and will benefit from a 20%+ surge in electricity demand driven by AI data centers (8.4GW by 2029, 10GW by 2035). Earnings are meeting consensus, and the AI power demand narrative is a strong catalyst.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 114:18
Able C&C cosmetics ODM growth
Able C&C, a leading cosmetics ODM, is seeing strong earnings growth (Q2 OP estimated 95 billion won, +32% YoY), with global momentum accelerating through new offline channel expansions (Costco, Ulta, Douglas, Boots, DM, Sephora). The growth trajectory is intact.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 132:03
Samsung Electro-Mechanics oversold rebound
Samsung Electro-Mechanics has corrected heavily and is now oversold compared to global peer Murata, falling below the 60-day moving average while forward valuation has dropped below 40x. The underlying MLCC and substrate shortages are intact, and the stock is ready for a bounce when AI sentiment recovers.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 14, 2026, features Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Young-cheol, Lee Kwon-hee discussing 066570.KS, 010950.KS, 078930.KS, 096770.KS, 006400.KS, 086790.KS, 175330.KS, 089590.KQ, 282330.KS, 007070.KS, 010060.KS, 065420.KQ, 034020.KS, 000660.KS, 8316.T, 8604.T, 8601.T, 8306.T, 005930.KS, 196170.KQ, 043260.KQ, 036930.KQ, 222800.KQ, 089030.KQ, 319660.KQ, 240810.KQ, 095610.KQ, 089980.KQ, 015760.KS, 078520.KQ, 009150.KS. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Young-cheol, Lee Kwon-hee  · Tickers: 066570.KS, 010950.KS, 078930.KS, 096770.KS, 006400.KS, 086790.KS, 175330.KS, 089590.KQ, 282330.KS, 007070.KS, 010060.KS, 065420.KQ, 034020.KS, 000660.KS, 8316.T, 8604.T, 8601.T, 8306.T, 005930.KS, 196170.KQ, 043260.KQ, 036930.KQ, 222800.KQ, 089030.KQ, 319660.KQ, 240810.KQ, 095610.KQ, 089980.KQ, 015760.KS, 078520.KQ, 009150.KS