Dow, S&P, and Russell 2000 close at record highs

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 22:14  |  3:39  |  CNBC
Speakers
Sam Stovall — Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA

Summary

Sam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, joined Closing Bell Overtime to discuss the record market action and the January jobs report. He said the jobs data was not concerning enough to make investors cautious and saw it as increasing the odds of Fed rate cuts that could support equities. He favored last year's winning sectors and cited positive early-January seasonality, while also noting a working January effect and rotation into smaller-cap stocks.

  • Sam Stovall discussed record market action and the first week of trading.
  • He did not view the slowing jobs report as a reason for caution.
  • He expects Fed rate cuts and sees policy support for equity prices.
  • He favors last year's winning sectors: communication services, industrials, and technology.
  • He cited positive first-five-days and January-barometer signals for the S&P 500.
  • He said the January effect is working and investors are rotating down in market cap.
  • He noted the S&P MidCap 400 recently at about a 30% discount.
  • He mentioned current improvements in health care, energy, and materials but stuck with winners for the year.
Ideas
Sam Stovall Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA 1:11
Fed cuts support further equity gains.
Sam does not think the slowing-jobs report is concerning enough to make investors cautious. He believes the data increases the chance the Fed cuts rates in the first half, with a possible second cut in the second half if unemployment rises to about 4.5%, and this policy support should at least support, and could propel, equity prices further.
Sam Stovall Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA 1:50
Own last year's winning sectors.
History favors an alternating strategy: after an up year, last year's winners tend to keep winning. Sam specifically points to communication services, industrials, and technology as the sectors to stick with; since 1990, the sector-level approach added about 300 basis points, and industry-level tests added more than 700 basis points, outperforming the market 70% of the time.
Sam Stovall Chief Investment Strategist at CFRA 3:20
Small/mid-cap rotation is working.
Sam says the January effect is working again and investors are not abandoning stocks but rotating down in market capitalization; he cites the S&P MidCap 400 recently trading at about a 30% discount as a reason to favor small/mid-cap exposure.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published January 09, 2026, features Sam Stovall discussing SPY, XLK, XLC, XLI, IWM, S&P MidCap 400. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sam Stovall  · Tickers: SPY, XLK, XLC, XLI, IWM, S&P MidCap 400