Chart-Based Look at Samsung Electronics' 10-Year Moving Average and 2026 Domestic Investment Strategy | Park Se-ik, Executive Director, Chesley Investment Advisory

차트로 보는 삼성전자 10년 이동평균선과 2026년 국내 투자 전략 | 체슬리투자자문 박세익 전무
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 03, 2026 at 00:01  |  18:27  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik reviews KOSPI and KOSDAQ charts, focusing on Samsung Electronics' 10-year moving-average signal and the KOSPI's potential room to 4,550. He highlights SK hynix and SK Square earnings momentum, Korean entertainment names tied to China reopening speculation, and several single-stock chart setups. He also flags weaker charts such as Kangwon Land, Hyosung Heavy Industries, Robotis, and some biotech and entertainment names, then encourages a daily chart-checking routine for 2026.

  • KOSPI chart suggests room up to 4,550, with foreign futures positioning upward-biased.
  • Samsung Electronics broke its 10-year moving average last year and rose 125% this year; historical breakouts produced large gains.
  • SK hynix has strong earnings momentum, and SK Square is rising as a leveraged holding-company play.
  • Korean entertainment names are framed as global top-tier assets to buy on dips, with China concert speculation around HYBE.
  • Several KOSPI and KOSDAQ stocks show rebound setups, including YG Entertainment, L&F, Doosan Tesna, Wonik IPS, and DearU.
  • Weak or overextended charts include Kangwon Land, Hyosung Heavy Industries, Robotis, Park Systems, and Factron.
  • The speaker ends by emphasizing daily chart review and routine market checking for 2026.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 0:00
KOSPI has room to 4,550.
The line connecting KOSPI's previous highs leaves room up to 4,550. Foreign investors sold cash equities but bought KOSPI futures and structured options in a way that leaves combined futures and options positioning upward-biased, supporting a constructive index view.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 0:26
Samsung 10-year average break implies upside.
Samsung Electronics broke its 10-year moving average last year, with the average at 55,300 won versus a 53,200 won close, and the stock rose 125% this year. The speaker says buying after a 10-year moving-average break has historically been profitable, with prior instances producing gains of roughly 40-77%, and closing buy orders suggest investors expect further upside.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 3:15
SK hynix momentum supports chart breakout.
SK hynix is breaking above its chart and has strong earnings momentum. Large buy orders around 23,500 won suggest demand remains, and the stock was up 1.56%.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 5:09
GC Biopharma trendless with institutional selling.
GC Biopharma rose, but its monthly chart shows no clear trend and is moving sideways. Both institutions and foreign investors have sold the stock.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 5:39
SK Square leverages SK hynix momentum.
SK Square is rising because its subsidiary SK hynix has strong earnings momentum, giving SK Square leveraged exposure to hynix's profit cycle.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 5:46
HL Mando needs earnings support.
HL Mando, a robot-related stock, pulled back and is forming a cup-and-handle pattern. It can continue higher if earnings momentum supports it, but persistent foreign selling makes the speaker reluctant to buy now.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 6:23
HYBE chart firms on China speculation.
HYBE is holding its 5-month moving average and turning back up. The speaker speculates that if Beijing concert approvals occur, top K-pop acts such as BTS, Blackpink, or G-Dragon could be involved, which would be a catalyst, but he labels this as pure speculation.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 7:12
Kangwon Land faces gambling alternatives pressure.
Kangwon Land's monthly chart is weak because alternative gambling channels, including internet gambling and overseas casinos, reduce the need to visit Kangwon Land.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 8:37
L&F rebound may be short covering.
L&F has pulled back exactly to its 5-month moving average and should see a technical rebound, but the quality of that rebound depends on whether foreign buying is genuine accumulation or merely short covering after prior selling.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 9:59
Hyosung Heavy overextended, likely correction.
Hyosung Heavy Industries has become overextended from its moving averages, making a technical gap-correction likely.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 10:53
Robotis overextended after upper-tail rejections.
Robotis is overextended and has repeatedly formed upper tails before pulling back, indicating distribution and overheating risk.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 11:22
YG rebound needs volume confirmation.
YG Entertainment fell more than 40% from its high and is rebounding. Institutions are entering, possibly on China momentum, but the stock must break through the 80,000 and 65,000 won volume-heavy zones where trapped sellers may exit.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 12:25
Wonik IPS rebounds off five-month average.
Wonik IPS corrected down to its 5-month moving average and has turned back up, gaining 10.7% this month after falling as much as 9.6%.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 12:38
Doosan Tesna aims to break high.
Doosan Tesna is showing a strong intention to break above its previous high.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 12:55
CJ ENM broke 5-month average.
CJ ENM's 5-month moving average has broken again, a negative technical signal.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 13:11
DearU rebound needs 42,000 break.
DearU is rebounding while its 5-month and 20-month moving averages approach a dead cross. The rebound needs to break the 42,000 won resistance to confirm.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 13:41
Buy Korean entertainment majors on dips.
Korean entertainment companies are global top-tier assets, so their shares should be bought when they fall. The speaker names YG Entertainment, JYP Entertainment, SM Entertainment, and HYBE as examples of this group.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 14:07
Hugel bottoming but rebound lacks support.
Hugel has fallen sharply and is trying to bottom, but the rebound is weak because foreigners keep selling and institutions are not making strong purchases. Buying here requires confidence in the fundamentals rather than technical support.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 15:03
Park Systems broke 20-month average.
Park Systems has broken below its 20-month moving average, a negative technical signal.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 15:15
Factron suffers disappointed selling on no catalyst.
Factron is seeing disappointed selling because no expected December catalyst materialized.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published January 03, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 006280.KS, 402340.KS, 204320.KS, 352820.KS, 035250.KS, L&F, 298040.KS, 108490.KQ, 122870.KQ, 240810.KQ, 131970.KQ, 035760.KQ, 376300.KQ, 035900.KQ, 041510.KQ, 145020.KQ, 060240.KQ, 087010.KQ. 20 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 006280.KS, 402340.KS, 204320.KS, 352820.KS, 035250.KS, L&F, 298040.KS, 108490.KQ, 122870.KQ, 240810.KQ, 131970.KQ, 035760.KQ, 376300.KQ, 035900.KQ, 041510.KQ, 145020.KQ, 060240.KQ, 087010.KQ