Consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, as expected; core inflation was higher than estimated

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 13:10  |  4:04  |  CNBC
Speakers
Rick Santelli — On-Air Editor, CNBC Business News

Summary

Rick Santelli broke down the August CPI report, which showed headline CPI matching expectations at 0.4% month over month while core CPI rose a hotter-than-expected 0.3%. Core CPI year over year eased to 2.4%, the lowest of the year, while headline annual inflation was 3.4%. He also highlighted rising Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield near 4.96% and attention on whether it can break above 5%.

  • August headline CPI rose 0.4% m/m, in line with expectations.
  • Core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, one tenth hotter than expected.
  • Headline CPI was 3.4% y/y; core CPI was 2.4% y/y, a new year low.
  • CPI and core CPI indices set all-time highs.
  • Real average hourly earnings fell 0.3% y/y; real weekly earnings rose 0.3%.
  • Treasury yields rose on the week, with the 10-year near 4.96%.
  • Market focus is on whether the 10-year yield can close above 5%.
  • Upcoming Waller comments and University of Michigan data were noted.
Ideas
Rick Santelli On-Air Editor, CNBC Business News 3:42
10-year yield nears key 5% level.
Rates are up sharply on the week and moving higher now, with the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% after reaching about 4.98%. Everyone is watching whether yields can break above 5%; the 10-year touched 5% intraday in 2023 but has not closed above it in 19 years, making this a key fixed-income yield breakout level to monitor.
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This CNBC video, published September 11, 2026, features Rick Santelli discussing US10Y. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Rick Santelli  · Tickers: US10Y