Amazon's $200B AI Spend; US-Iran; Rio Tinto Drops Glencore | Horizons Middle East & Africa 2/6/26

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 06, 2026 at 08:34  |  46:05  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Joumanna Bercetche — Anchor, Bloomberg
Min Min Low — China Correspondent, Bloomberg
Annabel Droulers — Anchor, Bloomberg TV
Deepak Mehra — Chief Economist, Commercial Bank of Dubai
Anthony DiPaola — Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy)
Ryan Bohl — Senior Middle East & North Africa Analyst, RANE
Jennifer Zabasajja — Chief Africa Correspondent, Bloomberg

Summary

Global markets were pressured by a major tech selloff after Amazon disclosed plans to spend $200 billion on AI infrastructure this year, adding to concerns about hyperscaler capex and AI disruption from Anthropic's new models. Saudi Aramco's price cut for Asia signaled a heavy oil market, while U.S.-Iran talks and a potential U.S. strike kept geopolitical risk in focus. Japan's upcoming election supported the Nikkei, and Cape Town moved to tax short-term rentals.

  • Amazon fell after hours as its $200B capex plan exceeded expectations and implied margin pressure.
  • Big tech AI spending and Anthropic's new models weighed on software and financial services shares.
  • Deepak Mehra favored hyperscalers, Apple, and the Nasdaq over picking AI winners.
  • Saudi Aramco cut Arab Light prices to Asia, pointing to oversupply and bearish oil fundamentals.
  • U.S.-Iran nuclear talks proceeded amid expectations of possible U.S. military action.
  • Japan's Nikkei bucked the regional selloff ahead of the Takaichi election trade.
  • Cape Town proposed higher taxes on Airbnb and Booking.com short-term rentals.
  • Bitcoin traded like a leveraged AI/software bet rather than a safe haven.
Ideas
Joumanna Bercetche Anchor, Bloomberg 2:53
Bitcoin is leveraged AI bet, not hedge.
Bitcoin is trading in tandem with software-as-a-service stocks, which shows it is not a hedge or safe haven but a supercharged cyclical, leveraged bet on AI and risk assets. As software stocks recalibrate lower and money is pulled out, Bitcoin has fallen to around $60,000, down more than 50% from its peak, and has not performed well despite Trump administration support for crypto.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 4:49
Nio guidance, deliveries defy tech rout.
Nio is an exception to the Asian tech stock rout, with profit guidance higher than expected and very impressive January vehicle deliveries; the positive guidance lifted EV stocks and the sector by about 8% that day despite the broader selloff.
Annabel Droulers Anchor, Bloomberg TV 5:39
Amazon capex surge pressures profits, shares.
Amazon plans to spend $200 billion this year on data centers, chips and equipment, up from $130 billion in 2025 and far above the roughly $150 billion expected. AWS revenue rose 24% to near $36 billion, but the spending will weigh on profits and Amazon's forecast operating income of up to $21.5 billion missed analysts' $22.2 billion estimate. The scale of the capex and margin hit spooked investors, sending shares down sharply after hours.
Annabel Droulers Anchor, Bloomberg TV 7:35
Anthropic AI threatens software, financial legacy models.
Anthropic's new AI agent and Opus 4.6 foundation model can perform legal and financial research functions, raising concern that AI will disrupt legacy software and financial services business models. That has driven heavy selling pressure in software stocks and hit financial services companies.
Deepak Mehra Chief Economist, Commercial Bank of Dubai 11:15
Hyperscalers with pricing power will outperform.
Hyperscalers with multiple revenue sources, multiple business drivers, core franchises and pricing power should do well through the AI spending cycle; he specifically names Amazon, Microsoft and Google. Cloud demand is still growing 35%-48%, recent quarterly results were the best in years, and the capex should eventually yield results.
Deepak Mehra Chief Economist, Commercial Bank of Dubai 11:39
Apple is defensive tech with AI optionality.
Apple is a mega-cap with little direct AI exposure and does not need to spend heavily on capex to deliver AI. It may have missed the AI train, but its 2.2 billion device users worldwide are already consuming AI, making it a defensive tech play amid hyperscaler spending concerns.
Deepak Mehra Chief Economist, Commercial Bank of Dubai 12:16
Buy tech index over picking winners.
For private investors, it is difficult to identify winners and losers from AI disruption, so he advises customers to stick to the tech index; the host summarizes this as buying the Nasdaq rather than trying to pick individual names.
Anthony DiPaola Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy) 20:20
Saudi price cut signals oil glut.
Saudi Aramco cut the March official selling price for its Arab Light grade to Asia to parity with the regional benchmark, the lowest since late 2020. He views this as a bearish signal that Asian refining margins are weak and the market cannot absorb higher prices, with some of the expected oil glut beginning to arrive; the cut was not as deep as traders expected, but it still supports a bearish supply-demand view.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 26:28
Takaichi election trade lifts Nikkei.
The Nikkei is moving opposite to the broader Asian tech selloff because investors expect Prime Minister Takaichi's ruling party to win this weekend's lower house election and are scooping up Japanese stocks around the "Takaichi trade," including higher defense spending and state-led investment, insulating the index from regional weakness.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 06, 2026, features Joumanna Bercetche, Min Min Low, Annabel Droulers, Deepak Mehra, Anthony DiPaola discussing BTC, NIO, AMZN, IGV, XLF, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, QQQ, WTI, EWJ. 9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Joumanna Bercetche, Min Min Low, Annabel Droulers, Deepak Mehra, Anthony DiPaola  · Tickers: BTC, NIO, AMZN, IGV, XLF, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, QQQ, WTI, EWJ