KOSDAQ Rally: How Far Can It Rise? 'Stocks That Could Soar' / What Will Happen to Plunged Alteogen and ABL Bio? | Director Lee Young-hoon

코스닥 급등장, 어디까지 튀어 오를까? '크게 오를 이 주식' / 주가 폭락한 알테오젠, 에이비엘바이오 어떻게 될까? | 이영훈 이사
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 31, 2026 at 09:30  |  18:47  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Young-hoon — Director
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities

Summary

Lee Young-hoon of iM Securities and host Hwang Yu-hyeon review the January KOSDAQ surge, which was driven largely by individual money flowing into KODEX KOSDAQ150 ETFs rather than fundamentals. Lee warns that a purely money-driven rally is unlikely to continue indefinitely and highlights pension guidelines that may narrow eligible KOSDAQ names to analyst-covered stocks. The discussion then turns to KOSDAQ biotech: Alteogen's royalty-rate disappointment and ABL Bio's clinical-delay concerns, with flows rotating toward LigaChem Biosciences and Sam Chun Dang Pharm while the broader bio sector needs to stabilize.

  • KOSDAQ surged sharply in January with heavy ETF inflows.
  • Flows appear to come from individual investors buying KODEX KOSDAQ150 ETF.
  • Lee says the rally is more money-driven than valuation-driven.
  • Pension guidelines may compress eligible KOSDAQ names to analyst-covered stocks.
  • Alteogen fell on a lower-than-expected royalty rate.
  • ABL Bio faces Sanofi trial-delay concerns.
  • Bio ETF flows rotated toward LigaChem Biosciences and Sam Chun Dang Pharm.
  • Broader KOSDAQ bio sector needs sentiment stabilization before leading.
Ideas
Lee Young-hoon Director 0:00
KOSDAQ ETF flow rally may not last.
The KOSDAQ rally has been driven mainly by individual investors pouring money into KODEX KOSDAQ150 ETFs rather than by fundamental valuation. This flow can continue in the short term, but an unlimited money-driven rally is unlikely; investors should watch whether the market shifts toward valuation-based and healthier rotation.
Lee Young-hoon Director 5:22
Pension rules favor covered KOSDAQ names.
New pension-fund investment guidelines reportedly allow smaller pension funds under 30 trillion won, but only for KOSDAQ stocks covered by at least two analysts. This could compress the eligible KOSDAQ universe sharply and shift the market toward analyst-covered names, which the speaker sees as the start of the real post-flow game.
Bio ETF rotation favors LigaChem and peers.
Within the KOSDAQ bio ETF complex, capital rotated out of Alteogen and ABL Bio into other bio names such as LigaChem Biosciences and Sam Chun Dang Pharm when the former hit bad news. These names are relative flow beneficiaries, but the move is supply/demand-driven rather than fundamental.
Alteogen needs time after royalty miss.
Alteogen's drop is not due to a technical problem but to a royalty-rate disappointment: the market had priced in about 5% royalties, while 2% was disclosed. The stock overran and now needs time and additional positive events before momentum can return, so an immediate rebound is unlikely.
ABL Bio needs reassurance after trial delay.
ABL Bio faces concerns that its Sanofi-linked clinical trial may be delayed, pushing out expected cash flows and raising doubts about additional licensing deals. A further plunge is possible, but at lower levels the speaker is skeptical about chasing the selloff; company-specific reassurance is needed.
KOSDAQ bio needs to stabilize first.
The KOSDAQ bio sector is going through internal rebalancing rather than a broad new leadership phase. Alteogen and ABL Bio issues have hurt sentiment, and biotech needs to calm down and show company-specific reassurance before it can lead again; until then, selective catch-up moves are more likely.
Excluded KOSDAQ stocks may catch up.
KOSDAQ stocks that were excluded from KODEX KOSDAQ150 and bio ETF flows and were abandoned may catch up if bio sentiment stabilizes, especially those with real potential. The speaker limits this to a possible head-lift or alignment move rather than full leadership.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 31, 2026, features Lee Young-hoon discussing KOSDAQ Index, 229200.KS, KOSDAQ stocks with 2+ analyst reports, 141080.KQ, 000250.KQ, 196170.KQ, 298380.KQ, KOSDAQ bio/biotech sector, KOSDAQ small/mid-caps excluded from KODEX KOSDAQ150 and bio ETFs. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Young-hoon  · Tickers: KOSDAQ Index, 229200.KS, KOSDAQ stocks with 2+ analyst reports, 141080.KQ, 000250.KQ, 196170.KQ, 298380.KQ, KOSDAQ bio/biotech sector, KOSDAQ small/mid-caps excluded from KODEX KOSDAQ150 and bio ETFs