Intelligent Alpha's Doug Clinton on what led to decision to sell Alphabet

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 10, 2026 at 20:37  |  5:26  |  CNBC
Speakers
Doug Clinton — Managing Partner, Loup Ventures

Summary

Doug Clinton of Intelligent Alpha lays out his bullish case on Apple driven by software upgrades, explains his firm's decision to exit Alphabet due to brain drain and AI model deterioration, and advocates for semiconductors as the AI trade momentum reset is over. He draws parallels to the 1998 dot-com washout to support a semiconductor recovery.

  • Believes Apple's software (Apple Intelligence, new Siri) will drive iPhone upgrade demand, not hardware price increases.
  • Internal view that new Siri meets expectations, which is positive given past disappointment.
  • Exited Alphabet (Google) position entirely due to brain drain, declining Gemini model rankings, and difficulty competing with OpenAI/Anthropic.
  • Thinks AI trade momentum reset is over, with July washout similar to 1998 LTCM event, and money now moving into semiconductors.
  • Notes semiconductor index had a 30% drawdown, sees complete washout and potential recovery.
  • No other specific names mentioned; adding to some AI positions and exiting others that played out.
  • Host Scott Wapner questions the tech comeback and where money is flowing, but no additional theses from the host.
Ideas
Doug Clinton Managing Partner, Loup Ventures 0:24
Software, not hardware, drives Apple upgrade.
The market is misreading Apple's higher hardware prices; the real catalyst will be software upgrades like Apple Intelligence and the new Siri, which has met internal expectations and will drive iPhone upgrade demand.
Doug Clinton Managing Partner, Loup Ventures 2:32
AI momentum reset over, buy semiconductors.
The AI trade momentum reset is over after a 30% drawdown in the semiconductor index, similar to the 1998 LTCM washout, and now money is rotating back into semiconductors as AI demand remains significant.
Doug Clinton Managing Partner, Loup Ventures 2:32
Sell Alphabet: brain drain, AI model decline.
Alphabet exited due to internal turmoil, departure of top talent, Gemini model rankings falling consistently, and doubts whether Google can compete with OpenAI and Anthropic given institutional overhead.
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This CNBC video, published August 10, 2026, features Doug Clinton discussing AAPL, SOXX, GOOGL. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Doug Clinton  · Tickers: AAPL, SOXX, GOOGL