#117 Alpha Score 91.1

Doug Clinton

Managing Partner, Loup Ventures
@dougclinton · tracked since Feb 2026
117
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Alpha Score 91.1
Calls
7
Win Rate
85.7%
return
+30.9%
Calls 7 17 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 2
90d 2
Best Calls
MRVL Long +111.2%
NOW Long +39.3%
AMZN Long +24.6%
Worst Calls
SOXX Long -5.4%
Most Mentioned
AMZN ×1
NOW ×1
AAPL ×1
Recent Calls
SOXX Long 3 weeks ago
AAPL Long 3 weeks ago
MRVL Long 5 months ago
Win Rate 86% Long 7 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 71%
30d 60%
90d 80%
Average Return +30.9% Long Return +30.9% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +3.1%
30d +18.8%
90d +44.6%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 10
$307.44
+6.7%
Software, not hardware, drives Apple upgrade.
The market is misreading Apple's higher hardware prices; the real catalyst will be software upgrades like Apple Intelligence and the new Siri, which has met internal expectations and will drive iPhone upgrade demand.
AI Hardware
Long
Aug 10
$530.61
-5.4%
AI momentum reset over, buy semiconductors.
The AI trade momentum reset is over after a 30% drawdown in the semiconductor index, similar to the 1998 LTCM washout, and now money is rotating back into semiconductors as AI demand remains significant.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 26
$208.10
+24.6%
Google and Amazon are owned by Intelligent Alpha and have shown leadership in AI with good paths to monetize their investments. Their AI capabilities and performance make them attractive compared to peers, contributing to better stock performance year-to-date. Long due to strong leadership positions and expected continued monetization success in AI. If their AI monetization fails or competitive pressures intensify significantly.
Google and Amazon are owned by Intelligent Alpha and have shown leadership in AI with good paths to monetize their investments. Their AI capabilities and performance make them attractive compared to peers, contributing to better stock performance year-to-date. Long due to strong leadership positions and expected continued monetization success in AI. If their AI monetization fails or competitive pressures intensify significantly.
Hyperscalers
Long
Mar 26
$281.03
+20.8%
Google and Amazon are owned by Intelligent Alpha and have shown leadership in AI with good paths to monetize their investments. Their AI capabilities and performance make them attractive compared to peers, contributing to better stock performance year-to-date. Long due to strong leadership positions and expected continued monetization success in AI. If their AI monetization fails or competitive pressures intensify significantly.
Google and Amazon are owned by Intelligent Alpha and have shown leadership in AI with good paths to monetize their investments. Their AI capabilities and performance make them attractive compared to peers, contributing to better stock performance year-to-date. Long due to strong leadership positions and expected continued monetization success in AI. If their AI monetization fails or competitive pressures intensify significantly.
Hyperscalers
Long
Mar 26
$98.74
+111.2%
Intelligent Alpha has taken a position in Marvell, moving into the custom silicon space as part of a shift in hardware focus. This investment reflects a view that custom silicon offers more exciting growth opportunities compared to other areas. Long due to new exposure and potential upside in the expanding custom silicon market. If Marvell fails to execute or market demand for custom silicon disappoints.
Intelligent Alpha has taken a position in Marvell, moving into the custom silicon space as part of a shift in hardware focus. This investment reflects a view that custom silicon offers more exciting growth opportunities compared to other areas. Long due to new exposure and potential upside in the expanding custom silicon market. If Marvell fails to execute or market demand for custom silicon disappoints.
AI ASIC
Long
Feb 25
$104.23
+39.3%
"We own companies like a ServiceNow. I do think some of those really big enterprise deployments are going to be harder for AI to displace." While AI threatens generic SaaS, "System of Record" companies like ServiceNow are too deeply integrated into enterprise workflows to be easily ripped out by AI agents. They are the defensive play in software. Long Quality/Defensive SaaS. General rotation out of software if AI capex crowds out software budgets.
"We own companies like a ServiceNow. I do think some of those really big enterprise deployments are going to be harder for AI to displace." While AI threatens generic SaaS, "System of Record" companies like ServiceNow are too deeply integrated into enterprise workflows to be easily ripped out by AI agents. They are the defensive play in software. Long Quality/Defensive SaaS. General rotation out of software if AI capex crowds out software budgets.
AI Software
Long
Feb 24
$192.85
+18.9%
Hyperscalers (Google, Amazon) raised CapEx guidance by nearly 50%. Nvidia is currently generating the vast majority of free cash flow among the "Mag 7" (excluding Apple). The increased CapEx budgets from big tech flow directly into Nvidia's top line. The setup into earnings is strong because the demand signal (CapEx spend) has already been confirmed by the customers. LONG. High expectations bar; potential geopolitical restrictions on sales to China.
Hyperscalers (Google, Amazon) raised CapEx guidance by nearly 50%. Nvidia is currently generating the vast majority of free cash flow among the "Mag 7" (excluding Apple). The increased CapEx budgets from big tech flow directly into Nvidia's top line. The setup into earnings is strong because the demand signal (CapEx spend) has already been confirmed by the customers. LONG. High expectations bar; potential geopolitical restrictions on sales to China.
AI Compute
Showing 7 of 7 calls · sorted by mentions

Doug Clinton has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 7 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #117 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AMZN, NOW, AAPL.