Senate to Vote on Crypto Bill, Traders Overlook Geopolitical Risks | Bloomberg Crypto 1/13/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 13, 2026 at 18:52  |  22:50  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Scarlet Fu — Anchor, Bloomberg Television
Ryan Rasmussen — Head of Research, Bitwise
Zach Cohen — Reporter, Bloomberg Government
Kara Calvert — VP of US Policy, Coinbase
Tim Stenovec — Anchor/Co-Host, Bloomberg TV & Radio

Summary

This edition of Bloomberg Crypto leads with the Senate Banking Committee's release of a roughly 274-page crypto market structure bill ahead of Thursday's markup, where the treatment of stablecoin rewards is the key flashpoint; Coinbase policy chief Kara Calvert says the industry needs a bipartisan framework but won't say whether Coinbase supports the bill as written. Bitwise's Ryan Rasmussen argues bitcoin is finding its footing as a macro/geopolitical hedge and should post a positive 2026 on institutional adoption, calls regulatory clarity a net positive, and touts prediction markets as a growth driver for blockchain infrastructure such as Chainlink. The show closes with BitGo's planned IPO, expected to be the first crypto listing of 2026.

  • Senate Banking Committee released a roughly 274-page crypto market structure bill; Thursday's markup centers on stablecoin rewards, with Democratic pushback on ethics issues.
  • Coinbase's Kara Calvert frames stablecoin rewards as a fight with big banks over the payments system and won't yet say if the bill is good or bad for Coinbase.
  • Bloomberg Government's Zach Cohen says the bill will keep changing and must be reconciled with the House-passed Clarity Act.
  • Bitwise's Ryan Rasmussen forecasts a positive 2026 for bitcoin, driven by ETF/wirehouse institutional adoption and regulatory clarity.
  • Rasmussen says bitcoin has shrugged off Fed, Venezuela and Iran headlines because it is doing its job as a macro, fiscal and geopolitical hedge.
  • Rasmussen sees prediction markets (Polymarket) as a net positive for crypto and a driver of infrastructure usage, naming Chainlink.
  • BitGo is expected to be the first crypto IPO of 2026, aiming to raise more than $200 million after reporting a profit in the first nine months of 2025.
Ideas
Scarlet Fu Anchor, Bloomberg Television 1:36
Altcoins struggle as retail speculation rotates away
Altcoin rallies are breaking down: the average altcoin run in 2025 lasted only about 20 days versus 40-60 days over the previous three years, and retail speculative interest has rotated away from altcoins toward meme stocks and prediction markets, leaving the less-valuable cryptocurrencies struggling to sustain even one-month rallies.
Ryan Rasmussen Head of Research, Bitwise 14:16
Bitcoin hedges macro, fiscal, geopolitical volatility
Bitwise's published 2026 prediction is a positive year for bitcoin, against the consensus four-year-cycle view that the year after three strong years should be down, because of multi-year catalysts: institutional adoption is the largest price driver — spot ETFs launched in January 2024 with bitcoin near $35-40k versus about $90k today; major wirehouses (Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Vanguard) are only now opening bitcoin ETP allocations for clients; 1-5% portfolio allocations are just beginning; and with price set by supply and demand, growing demand should push prices higher over the long term.
Ryan Rasmussen Head of Research, Bitwise 18:58
Polymarket growth drives Chainlink usage higher
The rise of prediction markets is a net positive for crypto because Polymarket is built on blockchains and crypto infrastructure — blockchains and infrastructure layers like Chainlink power the betting and payouts and drive usage of the technology forward and higher; Bitwise's 2026 prediction sees Polymarket open interest reaching a new high above 2024 election levels as crypto applications go mainstream (Golden Globes, FIFA World Cup).
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 13, 2026, features Scarlet Fu, Ryan Rasmussen discussing ALTCOINS, BTC, LINK. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Scarlet Fu, Ryan Rasmussen  · Tickers: ALTCOINS, BTC, LINK