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It's quite easy today to find a diversified portfolio trading at low-teens multiples: Bill Nygren

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 16, 2026 at 11:53  |  4:46  |  CNBC
Speakers
Bill Nygren — Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds

Summary

Bill Nygren warns that AI speculation echoes the dot-com bubble and makes technology equipment unattractive. He highlights the S&P 500's extreme tech concentration as a diversification risk, while finding abundant value in beaten-down software names like Accenture and Salesforce and in cheap financials such as Corebridge, banks, and insurers.

  • Nygren sees dot-com-like investor behavior in AI, with new jargon, risk complacency, and easy gains.
  • He says the S&P 500 is no longer a broadly diversified hedge due to a ~40% tech weighting.
  • Technology equipment is singled out as the one area where cheap low-teens stocks are hard to find.
  • Beaten-down SaaS stocks Accenture and Salesforce trade at very low P/Es as AI disruption fears provide an attractive entry.
  • Financials—banks and insurers—offer single-digit or low-teens P/Es and strong capital returns.
  • He mentions Corebridge (CRBG) as an overlooked, cheap insurance name returning capital to shareholders.
  • Nygren argues it is easy to construct a diversified low-teens-P/E portfolio once you step away from tech equipment.
Ideas
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 1:55
S&P 500 too tech-concentrated to diversify
The S&P 500 used to be broadly diversified and low risk because it hedged everyday expenses, but now it has a ~40% bet on technology that nobody needs for hedging. This concentration makes it less diversified and less suitable as a core holding.
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 3:24
Technology Equipment sector is overvalued
Technology equipment is the one area where it is hard to find cheap stocks trading at low-teens multiples, implying overvaluation. The broader AI trade shows dot-com-like speculative behavior and a lack of fear of risk, making it unattractive.
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 3:54
Accenture cheap on overblown AI fears
Accenture is trading at a single-digit P/E after being hit by fears that AI will replace Software-as-a-Service. With such low expectations, not much has to go right for the stock to perform well.
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 3:54
Salesforce cheap on overblown AI fears
Salesforce, like Accenture, is a SaaS company beaten down on concerns about AI disruption. It now trades at a low valuation and offers a similar asymmetric payoff with limited downside requirements.
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 4:09
Financials cheap with high capital returns
Most banks and insurance companies trade at single-digit to very low-teens P/E ratios and are returning a lot of capital to shareholders, presenting attractive value.
Bill Nygren Partner, Portfolio Manager, U.S. CIO, Harris Oakmark Funds 4:24
Corebridge cheap, overlooked, returning capital
Corebridge is an overlooked cheap insurance company returning significant capital to shareholders. Investor disinterest mirrors the dot-com era when nobody wanted to hear about non-tech holdings.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published July 16, 2026, features Bill Nygren discussing SPY, Technology Equipment, ACN, CRM, XLF, CRBG. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Bill Nygren  · Tickers: SPY, Technology Equipment, ACN, CRM, XLF, CRBG