Can We Trust It This Time? Where Is This Rally Headed? | Song Jae-kyung, CEO of Dimension Investment Advisory [Double Check]

Can we trust it this time?" What is the destination of this rally? | Song Jae-kyung, CEO of Dimension Investment Advisory [Double Check]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 18, 2026 at 01:23  |  34:00  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Song Jaekyung — CEO

Summary

Song Jae-kyung discusses why Korea's rally is highly concentrated in semiconductors and robotics despite rising U.S. long-term rates. He explains that hyperscaler AI capex and rising DRAM prices are keeping memory names strong even as Treasury yields pressure the broad market. He also touches on foreign flows, a potential North Korea cooperation theme, and his preferred 80/20 Korea-US allocation.

  • Korean market opens with strength in semiconductors and robotics.
  • Rising U.S. long-term yields are the main pressure on broader equities.
  • AI hyperscaler debt-funded capex and rising DRAM prices support memory and semiconductor stocks.
  • The current rally is narrow and concentrated in IT and semiconductor names.
  • Robotics momentum is led by component and small-cap names, not Hyundai Motor.
  • A Trump-North Korea reconciliation and Tumen River project could reopen an inter-Korean cooperation theme.
  • Song would allocate a windfall 80% to Korean equities and 20% to U.S. equities, diversified across sectors.
Ideas
Semiconductors rally on AI capex despite rates.
Long-term U.S. rates are pressuring broader markets, but AI-driven semiconductor memory and storage names are rallying because U.S. M7 hyperscalers show continued spending willingness despite heavy debt loads, and DRAM spot prices are rising. That is drawing investors toward semiconductors and specifically benefiting Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
Buy Alphabet 30-year bonds over Treasuries.
Alphabet 30-year corporate bonds yield about 6.2%, more than 110bp over the U.S. 30-year Treasury near 5.3%. Since an Alphabet default would imply the U.S. is also in extreme trouble, investors rationally prefer the higher-yielding Alphabet bond, intensifying competition with Treasury issuance and pushing long Treasury yields up.
Traders should shorten horizon on US overheating.
The U.S. market has rallied for about two weeks and is now showing short-term overheating and technical correction signals, so active traders should shorten their time horizon and treat U.S. softness as a signal to stay constructive but cautious.
Korean robotics leads as momentum theme.
In the current tape, robotics is the day's strongest sector, with names such as Robotis and Clobot among top KOSDAQ movers and robot actuator and parts makers leading. This makes Korean robotics a momentum theme worth monitoring even though large-cap Hyundai Motor is not leading as a robot proxy.
North Korea cooperation theme may progress.
North Korea cooperation could become a second-half theme because Trump may use North Korea reconciliation as his remaining foreign policy card, Seoul has floated formal end-of-war dialogue, and the Tumen River development project involving China, Russia and North Korea could create a new inter-Korean cooperation value chain. Historically Hyundai Elevator was the top inter-Korean cooperation play, though this cycle may differ.
Favor 80/20 Korea over US equities.
If he had a windfall 10 billion won, he would allocate about 80% to Korean equities and 20% to U.S. equities, with diversified sector exposure rather than concentration, targeting about 70% of KOSPI upside while reducing volatility.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 18, 2026, features Song Jaekyung discussing 000660.KS, 005930.KS, TLT, SPY, 108490.KQ, 466100.KQ, 017800.KS, EWY. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Song Jaekyung  · Tickers: 000660.KS, 005930.KS, TLT, SPY, 108490.KQ, 466100.KQ, 017800.KS, EWY