Former Sec. of State Blinken: The retreat into a spheres-of-influence world will lead to conflict

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 14:36  |  11:59  |  CNBC
Speakers
Antony Blinken — Former US Secretary of State

Summary

Antony Blinken, former Secretary of State, joins Squawk Box to discuss the aftermath of Nicolas Maduro's ouster in Venezuela, the strategic uncertainty that remains, and the near-term obstacles to investing in Venezuela's oil sector. He also assesses the escalating protests in Iran, the risks of a spheres-of-influence world, and why the U.S. should cooperate with Greenland rather than take it over. The discussion is mostly geopolitical, with limited direct market or trading recommendations.

  • Blinken calls the Venezuela operation tactically brilliant but questions its strategic end.
  • He says Venezuela has had regime change without changing the regime and remains uninvestable near term.
  • He notes oil at $60 makes Venezuelan crude expensive to produce.
  • He says Iran's protests are broad and economically driven but the outcome is highly uncertain.
  • He warns a retreat into spheres of influence leads to conflict.
  • He opposes a U.S. takeover of Greenland, favoring cooperative deals and existing defense access.
Ideas
Antony Blinken Former US Secretary of State 1:48
Venezuela remains uninvestable despite Maduro removal
Even after Maduro's ouster, Blinken says the same Venezuelan regime remains, so there has been regime change without changing the regime. He cites oil executives saying Venezuela is currently uninvestable because of the security and economic situation, and he notes that with oil at $60 a barrel, Venezuelan oil is very expensive to produce, meaning an oil-led recovery would take significant work.
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This CNBC video, published January 12, 2026, features Antony Blinken discussing Venezuela. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Antony Blinken  · Tickers: Venezuela