Live Morning Fund Managers' Investment Meeting with Executive Director Park Se-ik and Chesley Investment Advisory (Morning Brief, September 18, 2026, Friday)

Live Morning Fund Managers' Investment Meeting | Executive Director Park Se-ik & Chesley Investment Advisory [Morning Brief / 26.09.18.Fri]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 18, 2026 at 00:45  |  2:34:11  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Wang — Manager
Choi Ho — Vice President
Oh — Assistant Manager
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Haesu — Analyst

Summary

The morning brief reviews weak Chinese markets, a strong post-FOMC rebound in US equities led by AI semiconductors, and mixed Korean market flows. The team discusses semiconductor demand, attractive equipment valuations, CoreWeave's dilution risk, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics' earnings and valuation. It closes with a structural inflation view favoring quality compounders and short-term market calls.

  • China A-shares remain among the weakest major markets, with financials and consumers under pressure.
  • US equities rebounded after the Fed hike, led by AI semiconductor and big-tech names.
  • The team sees strong AI-driven semiconductor demand and attractive valuations in equipment stocks.
  • CoreWeave's convertible bond and ATM equity issuance raise dilution and cash-flow concerns.
  • Samsung Electro-Mechanics is discussed as an oversold AI-component play, though target-price assumptions are debated.
  • Korean market flows favored shipbuilders, defense, and exporters; Hanjin KAL drew interest on won strength.
  • Park Se-ik argues inflation will be structurally contained, favoring quality growth stocks.
  • The session ends with short-term index and rate forecasts.
Ideas
Wang Manager 32:09
Chinese AI package substrate growth story.
Shennan Circuits is a Chinese PCB and IC-substrate maker with scarce high-end package-substrate capabilities. Its 2Q revenue and profit grew sharply, margins expanded, and it is expanding FCBGA/advanced substrate capacity with exposure to AI data centers. The analyst sees a buy opportunity with a target price implying significant upside as AI data center and package-substrate demand improve.
Choi Ho Vice President 66:55
Strong growth, cheap multiple, rate catalyst.
Nvidia's AI chip demand remains strong. Jensen Huang said chip sales could double over the next year as AI spreads across industries. The speaker notes Nvidia is growing revenue and EPS around 70% with 65% operating margins, yet trades near 16x forward earnings. High rates are pressuring the multiple, but if rates stabilize or fall, the valuation should re-rate; estimates keep being revised up and Micron's upcoming results could be a catalyst.
Choi Ho Vice President 70:53
AI broadens semiconductor growth across supply chain.
BofA forecasts the global semiconductor market to roughly double from $1.67T in 2026 to $3.2T by 2030, an about 18% CAGR, driven by AI infrastructure. Growth is broadening beyond GPUs into memory, servers, networking, and semiconductor equipment. Memory and equipment are especially strong, and the 2027 outlook remains robust, supporting the whole semiconductor ecosystem.
Choi Ho Vice President 76:51
Cheap equipment stocks with strong earnings growth.
Applied Materials and Lam Research have corrected sharply after excessive crowding, but fundamentals remain strong. Equipment sales are forecast to grow about 33-34% in 2026 and 2027, and both companies should deliver 30-40% earnings growth. Valuation has compressed to about 23x forward earnings for AMAT and about 26x for Lam, which looks attractive if rates stabilize; B2B earnings surprises can drive sharp rebounds.
Choi Ho Vice President 80:38
Dilution and negative cash flow risk.
CoreWeave is growing revenue fast and lifting GPU rental prices, but it is funding heavy capex with debt and equity. The newly announced convertible notes and ATM share sale could dilute shares by around 15%. Interest expense is projected to exceed operating profit through 2028, free cash flow remains deeply negative until around 2029-2030, and EPS estimates face further dilution. The equity is unattractive until the financing and capex cycle turns.
Oh Assistant Manager 99:58
Momentum leaders in Korean shipbuilding and defense.
In Korean shipbuilding and defense, the stocks with the strongest earnings momentum and highest valuation—Hanwha Ocean, HD Korea Shipbuilding, Hanwha Engine, Hyundai Heavy Industries Engine, and LIG Nex1—rebounded most sharply. High valuation reflects stronger earnings momentum, so these names should continue to show the strongest price elasticity when the sector bounces.
Oh Assistant Manager 102:02
Hanjin KAL benefits from stronger Korean won.
Hanjin KAL is rallying because the Korean won is strengthening. Korean Air, its key subsidiary, pays about 80% of operating costs in US dollars, so a stronger won lowers costs and improves margins. Orderly supply-demand flow is also supportive.
Oh Assistant Manager 102:58
AI parts drive record earnings; oversold.
KB Securities keeps a buy on Samsung Electro-Mechanics with a 300,000 KRW target, implying large upside from the 140,000 KRW area. The report expects Q3 record results driven by AI server MLCC, package substrates, full utilization, price increases, and mix improvement. MLCC margin could rise to about 22% and package substrate margin to about 20.8%. The stock has fallen about 40% from its high while fundamentals improved, so the selloff is an oversold buying opportunity.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 115:33
SOTP fair value around 150T, not 300k.
Park Se-ik pushes back on the 300,000 KRW target, arguing the 85x P/E applied to total company earnings overvalues lower-quality businesses. Using sum-of-the-parts, MLCC deserves about 30x, package substrate about 40x, and camera module about 10x, which yields a fair market cap around 150 trillion KRW. That still implies roughly 50% upside from about 100 trillion KRW if next year's operating profit reaches 5 trillion KRW, but the stock is not worth 300,000 KRW.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 132:23
Buy quality compounders as inflation fades.
Inflation will be structurally contained because China exported deflation, platforms are hurting offline retail, and AI/robotics are replacing both blue-collar and white-collar labor. Rates should eventually fall, but the key is to own quality companies with stable sales and earnings growth that can keep compounding through the cycle.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published September 18, 2026, features Wang, Choi Ho, Oh, Park Se-ik discussing 002916.SZ, NVDA, SMH, AMAT, LRCX, CoreWeave, 042660.KS, 009540.KS, Hanwha Engine, Hyundai Heavy Industries Engine, 079550.KS, Hanjin kal, 009150.KS, QUAL. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Wang, Choi Ho, Oh, Park Se-ik  · Tickers: 002916.SZ, NVDA, SMH, AMAT, LRCX, CoreWeave, 042660.KS, 009540.KS, Hanwha Engine, Hyundai Heavy Industries Engine, 079550.KS, Hanjin kal, 009150.KS, QUAL