Record-breaking exports' War blocking stock price explosion... How to respond? | CEO Ha Chang-wan and Ha Bo-no's Stock Story [Double Check]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 00:57  |  36:41  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Ha Chang-wan — CEO

Summary

In a Double Check episode, CEO Ha Chang-wan discusses how geopolitical war headlines are masking strong Korean export and semiconductor fundamentals. He advises investors to hold or buy Korean equities and SK hynix on war-driven dips, while watching Treasury demand, WTI's limited upside, and rotating semiconductor supply-chain themes such as MLCC, PSK Holdings, and JTC. He also flags the entertainment sector as unattractive for now.

  • War and oil headlines are pressuring Korean stocks despite record exports.
  • Semiconductor exports rose sharply, supporting the AI and memory cycle.
  • Speaker prefers holding or buying dips rather than panic-selling.
  • Treasury auctions showed strong demand, suggesting yields may be near a peak.
  • WTI upside is seen as limited around $110.
  • MLCC, PSK Holdings, JTC, and Korean semiconductor equipment/materials are highlighted.
  • Entertainment is viewed as unattractive due to weak interest.
Ideas
Hold SK hynix through war noise.
Despite geopolitical war headlines and macro uncertainty, SK hynix is treated as a core holding. The speaker notes its ADR fell about 5%, but much of the bad news was already reflected and the semiconductor industry remains fundamentally strong. He advises not to panic-sell; investors can hold through the volatility or use war-driven declines to add. On the chart, 177,000 won is a key short-term level, and if it breaks, a 5-10% trim may be considered, but he prefers buying lower around 165,000 won if possible.
Oil upside is limited near $110.
WTI has already risen to around $104, and if it follows previous cycles and caps near $110, the upside from here is limited. War headlines are the main driver, but the speaker does not expect oil to keep spiking indefinitely; if the war de-escalates, oil and related inflation data should fall.
Semiconductor cycle strong; buy dips.
The semiconductor industry remains in a strong upcycle. Record Korean exports, with semiconductor exports up 270%, Oracle's strong backlog, continuing shortages, and rising prices all support more upside once war-related macro headwinds ease. The speaker prefers focusing on industry fundamentals rather than trading around unpredictable war and rate news.
Treasury demand strong; yields may fall.
Recent 10-year and 30-year Treasury auctions showed very strong demand, with primary dealers taking unusually small shares, meaning external buyers absorbed the supply. If war-related inflation fears ease, Treasury yields could fall quickly. The speaker sees bond demand as a positive signal and thinks yields are closer to the upper end of their range.
Buy Korean stocks on war-driven dips.
War-driven selloffs in Korean equities have historically not lasted more than two to three months and have been followed by V- or U-shaped rebounds. The speaker says he buys when war fears cause drops, and he warns that investors who sell out on fear often cannot re-enter. With record exports and strong fundamentals, he advises holding through volatility or adding at pre-set lower levels rather than chasing intraday moves.
MLCC shortage favors Samwha and peers.
MLCC fundamentals look strong because of high-capacity MLCC demand, price increases, and supply shortages. Samwha Capacitor is the representative leader; if it holds 123,000 won on the daily chart, holders can stay in. If the leader remains strong, follow-on MLCC names such as Kochip and Avatec could see rotation. The theme still depends on the semiconductor cycle continuing to improve.
MLCC shortage favors Samwha and peers.
MLCC fundamentals look strong because of high-capacity MLCC demand, price increases, and supply shortages. Samwha Capacitor is the representative leader; if it holds 123,000 won on the daily chart, holders can stay in. If the leader remains strong, follow-on MLCC names such as Kochip and Avatec could see rotation. The theme still depends on the semiconductor cycle continuing to improve.
JTC benefits from glass substrate demand.
JTC is highlighted as a glass substrate name within the strong KOSDAQ semiconductor supply chain. Glass substrate demand is tied to semiconductor growth, and the speaker expects small-cap materials/equipment names to generate alpha as the cycle continues.
PSK Holdings upgraded; semiconductor equipment strong.
PSK Holdings received a target price upgrade to 220,000 won and the report content is very positive. It belongs to the strong KOSDAQ semiconductor equipment/materials group, which should benefit as long as semiconductor industry growth continues.
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials remain attractive.
KOSDAQ semiconductor equipment and materials names are not bad and should benefit from continued semiconductor industry growth. Small-cap supply-chain stocks generate alpha when the cycle stays strong, while other KOSDAQ sectors are less attractive.
Avoid Korean entertainment sector for now.
Entertainment stocks have defensive characteristics and occasionally attract end-of-cycle flows, but the sector currently lacks investor interest and the industry outlook is not attractive. He advises not to focus on entertainment now.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published September 11, 2026, features Ha Chang-wan discussing 000660.KS, WTI, SMH, TLT, EWY, 009150.KS, Avatec, 001820.KS, JTC, 031980.KQ, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, Korean Entertainment Sector. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ha Chang-wan  · Tickers: 000660.KS, WTI, SMH, TLT, EWY, 009150.KS, Avatec, 001820.KS, JTC, 031980.KQ, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, Korean Entertainment Sector