Bitcoin Traders Bet Heavy on BTC's Drop to $80K

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 20, 2026 at 18:30  |  1:15  |  CoinDesk
Speakers
Jennifer Sanasie — Senior Anchor & Executive Producer, CoinDesk

Summary

Bitcoin fell below $91,000 as President Trump's tariff threats against Europe weighed on global markets. Options data from Derive.xyz shows a 30% probability BTC drops below $80,000 by June, versus only a 19% chance of rallying above $120,000. Derive and Deribit put open interest is concentrated at $75,000-$80,000 strikes, suggesting traders expect a drawdown into the mid-$70,000s. BTC traded around $90,500 at the time of the report.

  • Bitcoin slipped below $91,000 amid tariff threats and geopolitical tension.
  • Options markets are showing bearish sentiment for BTC.
  • Derive.xyz data implies a 30% chance BTC falls below $80,000 by June.
  • Only a 19% chance is seen for BTC above $120,000 in the same period.
  • Put open interest is concentrated at $75,000-$80,000 strikes on Derive and Deribit.
  • The positioning implies expectations of a drawdown into the mid-$70,000s.
  • BTC traded around $90,500 as of the report.
Ideas
Jennifer Sanasie Senior Anchor & Executive Producer, CoinDesk 0:16
Bearish BTC options setup targets $80K
Bitcoin has slipped below $91,000 as Trump's tariff threats against Europe rattle global markets, and options traders are betting the pain isn't over. Derive.xyz data shows a 30% probability BTC falls below $80,000 by June versus only a 19% chance of a rally above $120,000. On Derive and Deribit, open interest is concentrated in put options at $75,000-$80,000 strikes, implying expectations of a drawdown into the mid-$70,000s.
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This CoinDesk video, published January 20, 2026, features Jennifer Sanasie discussing BTC. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jennifer Sanasie  · Tickers: BTC