Bloomberg Surveillance 1/30/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 30, 2026 at 18:22  |  2:24:20  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
John Stoltzfus — Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer
Dan Ives — Managing Director, Wedbush Securities
Jordan Jackson — Global Market Strategist, J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Erik Nelson — Macro Strategist, Wells Fargo
Alex Altman — Global Head of Equities, Tactical Strategies, Barclays
Tobin Marcus — Wolfe Research
Lisa Abramowicz — Anchor, Bloomberg Television and Radio
Yahaira Anand — Bloomberg Reporter
Neil Dutta — Renaissance Macro (Quoted)
Brian Gardner — Chief Washington Policy Strategist at Stifel
Thom Tillis — US Senator (R-NC), Member of Senate Banking Committee

Summary

Bloomberg Surveillance focuses on President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh to chair the Federal Reserve. Markets reacted mutedly, with long-end yields slightly higher, equities lower, and the dollar firmer as investors debated whether Warsh is a hawk or a reinvented dove and whether the Senate confirmation process will be delayed by the DOJ investigation into Powell. The program also covers earnings from Apple, Sandisk, Verizon, Chevron, and Exxon, plus commodity, industrial metals, Mag 7, Tesla/SpaceX, and dollar trades.

  • Trump nominated Kevin Warsh for Fed chair; confirmation faces potential delay from Senator Tillis over the DOJ probe.
  • Market reaction was muted: long-end yields edged higher, equities slipped, and the dollar strengthened.
  • Guests debated Warsh's policy stance, AI productivity argument, balance-sheet views, and Fed independence.
  • Apple reported record sales, but AI monetization remains the 2026 focus.
  • Sandisk surged on AI memory demand and multiyear orders, with memory supply tightness noted.
  • Commodities: gold pulled back after a vertical rally, while copper was supported by supply-demand fundamentals.
  • Barclays favored industrial metals and Mag 7; Jordan Jackson favored 2-4 year Treasuries and a near-term dollar bounce.
  • Tesla was discussed in the context of possible SpaceX/xAI consolidation and autonomy/robotics value.
Ideas
John Stoltzfus Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer 9:39
Longer-term equities can ignore fewer Fed cuts.
Longer-term investors should stay bullish on U.S. equities even if the Fed cuts less than expected. The economy and 10-year yield look normal, and the equity market is driven by revenue and earnings growth, with technology making businesses more efficient and acting as an enemy of inflation.
Yahaira Anand Bloomberg Reporter 26:19
Sandisk re-rates on AI memory demand.
Sandisk is surging because the AI buildout has transformed a once highly cyclical memory business. Customers are signing multiyear orders instead of quarter-to-quarter deals as memory chip demand outpaces supply, locking in supply and supporting the re-rating.
Dan Ives Managing Director, Wedbush Securities 29:46
Apple needs AI monetization story in 2026.
Apple delivered best-case iPhone and services numbers, but the stock reaction was muted because investors are focused on AI. The 2026 story is whether Apple can show an AI monetization strategy, especially subscription-style services like Google/Siri, rather than just hardware.
Dan Ives Managing Director, Wedbush Securities 34:23
Tesla future is autonomy, robotics, not cars.
Musk's future is not cars but autonomy and robotics. A combination of xAI and SpaceX with Tesla owning a part would fit the AI ecosystem buildout, and Tesla's valuation depends on autonomous driving and FSD penetration rather than deliveries and gross margin.
Copper has strong demand, constrained supply.
Copper has strong demand drivers and constrained supply, and the market is drawing a broader group of investors as part of a broadening commodity rally. The fundamental story remains supportive.
Gold pullback inevitable after vertical rally.
Gold's rally had become so vertical that a pullback was inevitable, and the Warsh Fed nomination announcement has been the trigger for a selloff. Near-term the metal is vulnerable despite longer-term debasement and central-bank support.
Jordan Jackson Global Market Strategist, J.P. Morgan Asset Management 81:41
Buy 2-4 year Treasuries on cuts.
The Fed remains biased toward easing, with one to two cuts likely in the second half, which should keep the front end modestly lower. The curve may steepen in a twisted way, and he prefers investing in the two- to four-year and two- to three-year parts of the curve.
Jordan Jackson Global Market Strategist, J.P. Morgan Asset Management 83:09
Dollar has near-term floor and bounce.
The Warsh nomination and reduced rate-cut expectations from two to one put a floor under the dollar and have caused a bounce. Gold and silver are seeing profit-taking, while the dollar has near-term upward momentum.
Erik Nelson Macro Strategist, Wells Fargo 91:11
Tactically long dollar, short for year.
FX is taking cues from the bond market. He is tactically long the dollar as a short-term trade because rate-cut expectations may reprice and data could improve, but the trade for the year is still short dollars as European and global growth trends improve and the Fed is unlikely to hike.
Erik Nelson Macro Strategist, Wells Fargo 91:11
Tactically long dollar, short for year.
FX is taking cues from the bond market. He is tactically long the dollar as a short-term trade because rate-cut expectations may reprice and data could improve, but the trade for the year is still short dollars as European and global growth trends improve and the Fed is unlikely to hike.
Alex Altman Global Head of Equities, Tactical Strategies, Barclays 108:18
Industrial metals favorite on China decoupling.
Industrial metals are his favorite trade. The U.S. is deficient in industrial metals and, if it decouples from China over the next 18 months, it will need to build strategic reserves to insulate itself, creating a sustained demand story.
Alex Altman Global Head of Equities, Tactical Strategies, Barclays 109:14
Mag 7 good if dollar stabilizes.
If the dollar stabilizes and rate expectations normalize, investors should favor pro-quality trades. The Magnificent Seven has been used as a funding source in a de-dollarization world, but with dollar stabilization it should deliver stable growth and is a good trade.
Tobin Marcus Wolfe Research 115:48
Warsh hawkishness pressures long-end yields.
Warsh is the most hawkish candidate under consideration, and his hawkish views and focus on shrinking the balance sheet would put upward pressure on the long end of the yield curve, which runs counter to what President Trump wants.
Lisa Abramowicz Anchor, Bloomberg Television and Radio 132:55
Fed independence comments support dollar.
The Warsh nomination and Senator Tillis's comments that it imbues more independence to the Federal Reserve are giving support to the dollar. The pick was not seen as simply doing the president's bidding, and the dollar trend may have further to run.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 30, 2026, features John Stoltzfus, Yahaira Anand, Dan Ives, Will, Jordan Jackson, Erik Nelson, Alex Altman, Tobin Marcus, Lisa Abramowicz discussing SPY, SNDK, AAPL, TSLA, COPPER, GLD, 2-4 year Treasuries, SHY, UUP, U.S. Dollar (tactical), U.S. Dollar (2026), DBB, MAGS, Long-end Treasuries. 14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: John Stoltzfus, Yahaira Anand, Dan Ives, Will, Jordan Jackson, Erik Nelson, Alex Altman, Tobin Marcus, Lisa Abramowicz  · Tickers: SPY, SNDK, AAPL, TSLA, COPPER, GLD, 2-4 year Treasuries, SHY, UUP, U.S. Dollar (tactical), U.S. Dollar (2026), DBB, MAGS, Long-end Treasuries