Market volatility worries? It is not heading toward a bear market! Google and Amazon cost increases? Focus on growing earnings | Jang Jae-cheol, CEO of Pinnacle Economic Research Institute

시장 변동성 불안? 약세장으로 가는게 아닙니다! 구글, 아마존 비용 증가? 늘어나는 실적에 주목해야합니다 | 장재철 피나클경제연구소 대표 [글로벌 인터뷰]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 05, 2026 at 23:03  |  32:24  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Jang Jae-cheol — CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute

Summary

Jang Jae-cheol, CEO of Pinnacle Economic Research Institute, argues that the recent market selloff reflects valuation and AI capex concerns rather than the start of a bear market. He sees near-term volatility continuing, recommends rebalancing and defensive/diversified allocations, and remains constructive on the AI industry and Alphabet. He also expects sticky inflation to bring stronger rates and a stronger dollar later in the year.

  • Market volatility is elevated but not at crisis or bear-market levels.
  • AI capex and profitability concerns are the main near-term pressure on technology stocks.
  • The guest recommends rebalancing, a 60/40 stock/bond mix, and avoiding aggressive dip-buying in high-beta tech.
  • Alphabet is favored among AI platforms because earnings are improving despite higher capex.
  • Long-term AI infrastructure demand is expected to support Nvidia, Samsung Electronics, and SK hynix.
  • Defensive domestic consumer staples may be a temporary shelter during the volatile period.
  • Second-half macro risks include sticky inflation, higher rates, a stronger dollar, and geopolitical oil risk.
Ideas
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 4:56
Alphabet earnings improve despite higher capex.
Alphabet is relatively attractive among AI platform companies because earnings are improving even as capex rises, and the market is assigning it more weight in the AI platform leadership contest. He would not dump all tech on valuation concerns and prefers holding companies with visible earnings improvement like Alphabet.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 5:21
AI software winners unclear; wait.
AI platform companies and the software layer are in a winner-take-most contest; existing platforms are absorbing roles that standalone software companies once had, making software winners and losers unclear. He advises waiting for clearer evidence of dominance before sizing up related software names.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 10:09
AI capex drives infrastructure demand long-term.
AI will lead the future industrial trend, with real-economy evidence in restructuring and robotics. Hyperscaler AI capex is expected to grow at more than 30% annually for at least the next five years, supporting infrastructure suppliers; he names Nvidia and Korean memory makers Samsung Electronics and SK hynix as beneficiaries, though leadership may shift as the ecosystem evolves.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 17:28
Buy S&P 500 for long term.
He does not see the current volatility as the start of a bear market; the VIX is only back near its long-term average and would need to be much higher to signal crisis. For long-term investors, he recommends broad indices such as the S&P 500 rather than concentrating in high-beta tech, while using the current period for rebalancing rather than aggressive buying.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 18:20
Wait to buy high-beta AI leaders.
In the current high-volatility market, aggressively buying high-beta AI/tech leaders is risky; he prefers waiting for volatility to calm or scaling in only if the investor can tolerate uncertain timing, rather than chasing the dip.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 18:53
Rotate to Korean defensive consumer staples.
With volatility likely to persist at least through February-March, he recommends rotating some exposure toward safer domestic-demand areas such as consumer staples to take a breather from concentrated tech risk.
Jang Jae-cheol CEO, Pinnacle Economic Research Institute 24:43
Stronger dollar and rates in H2.
He expects second-half fundamentals to bring stronger rates and a stronger dollar as prior easing effects fade, fiscal stimulus kicks in, and inflation remains sticky. If this coincides with AI-sector problems, the market could face a larger risk.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 05, 2026, features Jang Jae-cheol discussing GOOGL, AI software, SMH, NVDA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SPY, MAGS, Korean consumer staples, USD, US Treasury yields. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jang Jae-cheol  · Tickers: GOOGL, AI software, SMH, NVDA, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SPY, MAGS, Korean consumer staples, USD, US Treasury yields