Summary
The hosts analyze Leopold Aschenbrenner's latest 13F filing, which reveals a massive short on AI semiconductors (NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom) and a long on power, memory, and infrastructure. They discuss the shifting bottleneck from chips to energy and memory, and highlight Bloom Energy and Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI. Ejaaz expresses personal bullishness on power infrastructure, while Josh sees energy and physical infrastructure as durable themes.
- Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F shows $8 billion in short positions across semiconductors including NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, and Micron.
- He maintains long positions in Bloom Energy, CoreWeave, and several Bitcoin mining companies pivoting to AI data centers.
- The hosts interpret the move as a bet that the AI bottleneck has shifted from chips to power and memory.
- Ejaaz aligns with Leopold's long on Bloom Energy, citing the critical need for portable power solutions.
- Josh emphasizes energy and physical infrastructure as durable investment themes.
- Potential risks include NVIDIA's software moat (CUDA) and the possibility that chip valuations remain high.
- The filing is a snapshot from Q1 2025 and may not reflect current positions.
- The hosts caution retail investors against directly copying a hedge fund trader's short-term moves.