Canada Tariffs Escalate Trade Spat; Markets brace for Inflation Test

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 08, 2026 at 17:03  |  1:27:14  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Charles Gore van — Oil Reporter, Bloomberg
JP Barnard — Senior Strategist, Bloomberg
Hema Parmar — Hedge Fund Reporter, Bloomberg
Mandeep Singh — Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Stuart Kaiser — Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi
Anurag Rana — Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
John Murphy — CFO, Coca-Cola Company (The)
Katrina Dudley — Head of Digital Assets, Franklin Templeton
Peter Hughes — Founder and CEO, Apex Group
Derek Decloet — Bloomberg Reporter
Steve O'Donnell — CEO, NASCAR

Summary

Bloomberg Open Interest covers a risk-heavy post-Labor Day session as Middle East tensions push Brent toward $100 and Canada escalates retaliatory tariffs, while markets brace for CPI and a close Fed decision. Guests emphasize AI capex and trickle-down earnings as still supportive, with Qualcomm's Amazon chip deal and Oracle highlighted as beneficiaries, while Novartis slumps on a third trial failure. Additional segments cover Apple's foldable iPhone event, healthcare AI productivity, private credit, and NASCAR's business momentum.

  • Middle East attacks and Red Sea disruption push oil and refined products higher, with Brent near $100.
  • Canada's retaliatory tariffs target steel and other U.S. exports, escalating trade tensions.
  • Stuart Kaiser and others see AI capex and trickle-down EPS as key equity support, while watching Fed and CPI risks.
  • Qualcomm-Amazon data center chip deal boosts Qualcomm; Oracle is seen levered to AI infrastructure demand.
  • Apple previews a $2000 foldable iPhone at John Ternus's first major event.
  • Novartis's third clinical trial failure raises pipeline and M&A doubts and hits pharma.
  • Katrina Dudley sees healthcare and Caterpillar as underappreciated AI beneficiaries.
  • Private credit and NASCAR are discussed as strong business themes but lack public equity trades.
Ideas
Charles Gore van Oil Reporter, Bloomberg 2:14
Middle East risks push oil higher.
Houthi attacks on Saudi refineries and US-Iran tensions are making markets price in higher oil and Red Sea disruption, with Brent climbing and refined products such as diesel tightening as flows are threatened.
JP Barnard Senior Strategist, Bloomberg 4:03
Equities path higher after bumpy weeks.
Positioning is no longer extended and investors still have cash to deploy, while the economy and corporate earnings are solid, so after a bumpy few weeks of event risk the path for equities should be higher.
JP Barnard Senior Strategist, Bloomberg 5:47
Hedging and optionality are super cheap.
With volatility compressed and the VIX around 15, hedging and owning optionality or optional risk is super cheap, creating a good environment to manage portfolio risk.
Hema Parmar Hedge Fund Reporter, Bloomberg 11:50
GE Aerospace deal clears supply bottleneck.
GE Aerospace is buying Precision Products, a castings manufacturer, to clear a notorious supply chain bottleneck and give GE the muscle needed to meet surging demand for new jet engines.
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 14:13
Qualcomm wins AI data center customer.
Qualcomm's warrant-and-supply structure with Amazon gives both parties skin in the game; Qualcomm has fab supply and can make data center chips at scale, and linking a large customer like Amazon helps it win a slice of the large AI data center chip market through 2030 and beyond.
Mandeep Singh Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 16:18
Cloud growth supports AI capex spending.
Cloud growth has accelerated and is expected to keep increasing, hyperscalers will spend in excess of $200 billion on capex next year and are running out of operating cash flow to fund it, so AI infrastructure spending remains supported.
Stuart Kaiser Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi 24:12
Own recipients of AI capex spending.
Citi expects $1 trillion of AI capex next year and $4 trillion by 2030, driving trickle-down EPS; the investment strategy is to own the companies that are recipients of that spending.
Stuart Kaiser Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi 24:56
Semis remain AI bottleneck exposure.
The SOX semiconductor index has rallied tremendously and remains a place investors want exposure for the AI bottleneck story, even if money is rotating among different AI infrastructure themes and near-term positioning risk exists.
Stuart Kaiser Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi 25:39
Momentum factor should rebound.
Momentum stocks have had a tough quarter and the momentum trade has rebalanced into capital goods, AI buildout, pharma/biotech and banks; he expects momentum to rebound and volatility to come down as sector weightings mature.
Stuart Kaiser Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi 26:25
Buy materials, banks, power, Nasdaq.
His favored equity areas are materials, banks, AI power generation and Nasdaq because of the earnings story, though he would wait for possible election-driven weakness for a better entry in banks and power generation.
Stuart Kaiser Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi 28:17
Watch 30-year Treasury yield risk.
The 30-year Treasury yield is his number one concern because the move is global across JGBs, bunds and Treasuries, and the speed and volatility of the rise could disrupt equity markets.
Hema Parmar Hedge Fund Reporter, Bloomberg 31:59
Best Buy too expensive after run.
DA Davidson downgraded Best Buy because shares have gotten too expensive after a massive run this year, with slowing demand, higher costs and cooling sales momentum as risks.
Hema Parmar Hedge Fund Reporter, Bloomberg 32:47
Sweetgreen turnaround with margin recovery.
KeyBanc upgraded Sweetgreen to overweight, seeing a strong turnaround story with sales improvement and margin recovery next year.
Anurag Rana Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 33:39
Foldable iPhone is sought-out Apple release.
Apple's first foldable iPhone is one of its more sought-out releases in years; high-end Pro and Pro Max users are likely to shift to the foldable, with strong interest expected in China, though success depends on camera quality.
Anurag Rana Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 36:12
Oracle is AI infrastructure demand winner.
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure should report very good numbers because demand is high for AI infrastructure and Oracle is right in the middle of it; the main question is capex financing, not demand.
Anurag Rana Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 38:10
Amazon custom chips lower data center costs.
The Qualcomm deal broadens Amazon's ability to get data centers ready and realize its backlog, and lowers Amazon's cost of entrance by using custom chips instead of buying expensive Nvidia chips for some infrastructure.
John Murphy CFO, Coca-Cola Company (The) 41:17
Novartis pipeline failure raises growth doubts.
Novartis's late-stage failure was a high-expectation asset that was the centerpiece of a $12 billion acquisition, raising questions about M&A strategy and post-2030 growth as the company faces a patent cliff.
Katrina Dudley Head of Digital Assets, Franklin Templeton 47:11
Healthcare AI unlocks massive productivity.
Healthcare is an unexpected beneficiary of AI because AI can generate efficiencies in trials and especially hospital administration, where each transaction is unique and a massive productivity unlock is possible.
Katrina Dudley Head of Digital Assets, Franklin Templeton 48:25
Caterpillar is underappreciated AI beneficiary.
Caterpillar is a next-generation AI beneficiary because it provides machinery and equipment for AI infrastructure buildout and has massive internal operations that can benefit from AI efficiency, which is underappreciated.
Peter Hughes Founder and CEO, Apex Group 63:30
Private credit remains strong and growing.
Credit markets are still strong; some BDC and interval fund structures were packaged incorrectly, but once repackaged with liquidity meeting supply and underlying portfolios, private credit is a strong asset class and will continue to grow.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published September 08, 2026, features Charles Gore van, JP Barnard, Hema Parmar, Mandeep Singh, Stuart Kaiser, Anurag Rana, John Murphy, Katrina Dudley, Peter Hughes discussing BNO, DIESEL, SPY, VIX, S&P 500 options, GE, QCOM, SKYY, AI Capex Beneficiaries, SOXX, MTUM, KBE, XLB, QQQ, AI power generation, US30Y, BBY, SG, AAPL, ORCL, AMZN, NVS, XLV, CAT, BIZD. 20 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Charles Gore van, JP Barnard, Hema Parmar, Mandeep Singh, Stuart Kaiser, Anurag Rana, John Murphy, Katrina Dudley, Peter Hughes  · Tickers: BNO, DIESEL, SPY, VIX, S&P 500 options, GE, QCOM, SKYY, AI Capex Beneficiaries, SOXX, MTUM, KBE, XLB, QQQ, AI power generation, US30Y, BBY, SG, AAPL, ORCL, AMZN, NVS, XLV, CAT, BIZD