Calls
9
#369
Alpha Score 63.6
Stuart Kaiser
Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, Citi
Win Rate
55.6%
return
+1.7%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 11
$360.20
+44.5%
The market is punishing "Spenders" (Hyperscalers spending billions) and rewarding "Enablers." Investors want exposure to the companies selling the picks and shovels (Memory, Power Gen) rather than the companies burning cash on CapEx with uncertain ROI. LONG AI Infrastructure/Memory; AVOID Hyperscalers (Spenders). If AI power usage/chip demand undershoots, the trade collapses.
The market is punishing "Spenders" (Hyperscalers spending billions) and rewarding "Enablers." Investors want exposure to the companies selling the picks and shovels (Memory, Power Gen) rather than the companies burning cash on CapEx with uncertain ROI. LONG AI Infrastructure/Memory; AVOID Hyperscalers (Spenders). If AI power usage/chip demand undershoots, the trade collapses.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 13
$293.35
+0.2%
The Russell 2000 rebalancing at the end of June removed many AI stocks that had become top constituents, moving them to the Russell 1000. This has cut concentration and returned the index to its traditional behavior, making it more rate-sensitive and more sensitive to US economic growth, which is a positive development for its use as an independent small-cap vehicle.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 13
$55.92
+0.9%
It is a pretty good operating environment for banks right now, with a very good IPO pipeline and a very good trading environment. The expectation is that banks are going to report well during this earnings season.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 07
$69.28
+1.3%
Banks are set up well with a nice IPO pipeline and good trading environment, and they provide an attractive opportunity outside of AI, with strong earnings potential.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 01
$219.89
-7.9%
NVIDIA remains a strong long because it is still in the acceleration phase of earnings growth, with two-year-out sales growth still around 20% for the Mag 7. Anchoring to a five-year slowdown narrative misses the near-term upside. The forward PE of 21x is not expensive given the durable earnings trajectory.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 01
$756.81
-1.9%
The S&P 500 can reach 8500 in the next three to six months driven by continued earnings growth and PE contraction. With earnings per share estimates for 2027 around $300 and a reasonable multiple, a target of 8500 is achievable. The market remains constructive on risk due to strong earnings and a resilient U.S. economy, and the current PE has actually contracted almost 5% this year, leaving room for upside.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 04
$672.76
+3.1%
The U.S. is undersupplied power due to AI data center demand, making power generation the best way to gain AI exposure. A basket of power generation stocks is up 41% YTD with continued upside. He would buy QQQ as a vehicle for this AI power generation story.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 29
$147.30
-14.8%
Crude oil (WTI) will rise to $118 per barrel in the next two to four weeks. The extended blockade and supply constraints will push prices higher, and while equity markets are ignoring it for now, the oil price inflection is coming. This is a near-term bullish call based on Citi strategists' outlook.
Commodities
Long
Feb 11
$38.12
-9.9%
The market is punishing "Spenders" (Hyperscalers spending billions) and rewarding "Enablers." Investors want exposure to the companies selling the picks and shovels (Memory, Power Gen) rather than the companies burning cash on CapEx with uncertain ROI. LONG AI Infrastructure/Memory; AVOID Hyperscalers (Spenders). If AI power usage/chip demand undershoots, the trade collapses.
The market is punishing "Spenders" (Hyperscalers spending billions) and rewarding "Enablers." Investors want exposure to the companies selling the picks and shovels (Memory, Power Gen) rather than the companies burning cash on CapEx with uncertain ROI. LONG AI Infrastructure/Memory; AVOID Hyperscalers (Spenders). If AI power usage/chip demand undershoots, the trade collapses.
Thematic ETFs
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Stuart Kaiser has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #369 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SMH, SPY, QQQ.
