Summary
Dr. Lindsay Newman of Chatham House discusses the stalled US-Iran talks, noting no progress and deep mistrust. She highlights Iran's leverage via the Strait of Hormuz and the regime's resilience despite military degradation. The episode also touches on European allies developing their own diplomatic tracks separate from the US.
- Iran's foreign minister said there has been no further progress in US negotiations.
- Key sticking points include the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, and enriched uranium.
- The US administration wants markets to believe a deal is close, but reality shows ongoing miscalculations.
- Iran has reorganized its military and leadership after last year's Israeli-US operation, maintaining leverage.
- The regime remains intact with a more dispersed, guerrilla-style posture.
- Europe (UK, Germany, France) is developing its own track to talk with Russia on Ukraine, signaling reduced reliance on the US.