Ideas
AI requires massive new infrastructure buildout
AI is the most important new technology and requires an entirely new infrastructure stack—new chips, system software, power, cooling, networking, and even materials. The buildout is widespread, supply is tight, and the new Machine Age Fund is dedicated to this infrastructure shift.
Semiconductor supply chain is bottlenecked
The bottleneck has moved south of the model into the semiconductor supply chain: chips, memory, networking, and power chips are constrained, components are booked out to 2028, and a leading memory vendor says current demand would take three years of capacity to supply. Improving tokens per dollar, watt, or rack requires new full-system innovations.
AI compute demand persists for decades
AI scaling has shifted from an engineering problem to a resource problem. Reasoning, agents, computer use, and embodied AI multiply token consumption, and there is no natural engineering regulator like before, so compute and token demand should persist for decades.
Robots and embodied AI grow
Embodied AI and robots are another major source of compute demand. Large cloud data center operators are already experimenting with robots to assemble and install servers, and adoption should increase as AI evolves.
Custom ASICs make sense for models
Training a frontier model costs $3–5 billion, and inference must pay that back several times over. A 20% inference-efficiency gain can be worth about $2 billion, enough to justify a custom ASIC, and fixed model weights make per-model custom silicon economically plausible.
Data center power is bottlenecked
Rack power is rising from roughly 5–10 kilowatts to 100–150 kilowatts, making AC power obsolete and forcing DC power, on-site generation, and grid upgrades. Permitting, turbine and transformer shortages, and a projected 44 GW data-center power need versus 25 GW of grid additions make power a major bottleneck and investment opportunity.
AI racks require liquid cooling
Cooling is moving from air to liquid as a requirement for state-of-the-art AI data centers. Liquid cooling alone may not be enough, as political and environmental constraints push demand toward eco-friendly and water-efficient cooling solutions.
Data centers need physical rebuild
Dense AI racks require stronger floors, thicker walls for noise mitigation, and large amounts of reinforced concrete. Many existing data center buildings are becoming obsolete, driving demand for new physical data center infrastructure and materials.
AI infrastructure needs management software
As AI infrastructure scales, a software layer is needed to automate and manage fleets of chips, systems, and data center resources. This infrastructure software layer is another important investment area.
This a16z video, published August 28, 2026,
features Ben Horowitz, Raghu Raghuram, Martin Casado
discussing AIQ, SMH, AI compute, ROBO, Custom AI ASICs, Power infrastructure, Data center liquid cooling, Data center physical infrastructure, AI-SECTOR.
9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Ben Horowitz,
Raghu Raghuram,
Martin Casado
· Tickers:
AIQ,
SMH,
AI compute,
ROBO,
Custom AI ASICs,
Power infrastructure,
Data center liquid cooling,
Data center physical infrastructure,
AI-SECTOR