Chesley Morning Brief: New York stocks fall as AI-threatened sectors sell off; Nasdaq down 2%

[체슬리모닝브리프] 뉴욕증시, AI 위협업종 투매 지속에 하락…나스닥 2%↓ [26/02/13]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 13, 2026 at 00:26  |  1:52:04  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Seo Yeong — Analyst
Lee Seung-jun — Analyst
Park Jun-hyeok — Crypto Analyst
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Choi Ho — Vice President
Wang Jeong — Department Head
Moon Ji-ho — Executive

Summary

The morning brief reviewed a risk-off US session where AI-threatened software and hardware-linked tech sold off while defensive sectors held up. Lee Seung-jun and Seo Yeong focused on AI hardware/memory strength and software disruption, while Park Jun-hyuk stayed cautious on crypto and yen-funded risk trades. The domestic section highlighted Korean memory, aesthetic-medical names, Hybe's BTS-driven outlook, and Kingboard Laminates in China. The team ended with near-term calls on memory, Nasdaq weakness, and Asian FX strength.

  • US equities fell as AI-disruption fears hit software and some hardware names; defensives and bonds attracted flows.
  • Memory and storage names such as Micron, SanDisk, Seagate and Western Digital were relatively strong on NAND demand.
  • Applied Materials earnings and guidance supported the semiconductor equipment outlook.
  • Crypto remained weak, with Bitcoin breaking support and Ethereum/altcoins well below highs.
  • Korean market strength was led by Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, banks and select bio/aesthetic names.
  • Hybe was discussed positively around BTS's 2026 comeback and cost normalization.
  • China review highlighted Kingboard Laminates as a cheap CCL/vertical integration play.
  • Speakers gave near-term calls on KOSDAQ, Nasdaq, US markets and Asian currencies.
Ideas
Seo Yeong Analyst 9:18
Apple faces Siri delay and regulatory risk.
Seo said Apple fell sharply after Siri upgrade delays raised doubts about its next growth engine, while FTC scrutiny of Apple News added regulatory risk to services. He judged the single regulatory issue did not justify a 5% drop, but the combination left Apple in a watchful, uncertain setup.
Seo Yeong Analyst 11:10
Memory/storage demand stays strong on NAND.
Seo pointed to Micron, SanDisk, Seagate and Western Digital as survivors on a weak tape after Kioxia's strong results again confirmed robust NAND demand. He argued memory/storage pricing strength can keep driving these names higher even as memory inflation hurts hardware OEMs.
Seo Yeong Analyst 13:44
AppLovin needs new e-commerce growth driver.
Seo noted AppLovin fell nearly 20% after earnings despite decent results; analysts questioned e-commerce growth as the next driver. He said the key is whether e-commerce revenue accelerates, making it a watch item rather than a clean call.
Seo Yeong Analyst 15:18
Defensive sectors lead amid risk-off rotation.
Seo observed healthcare and consumer staples names such as Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, McDonald's and Walmart hitting highs as risk-off money rotated into defensives. He framed this as a clear defensive leadership theme.
Park Jun-hyeok Crypto Analyst 18:39
Crypto downtrend not over; avoid Bitcoin.
Park Jun-hyuk said Bitcoin broke support and the prior V-shaped rebound was short-covering, not a structural reversal; he expects the downtrend to continue. He also noted Ethereum and altcoins were down sharply from highs, confirming broad crypto weakness.
Park Jun-hyeok Crypto Analyst 19:26
Yen should strengthen as dollar weakens.
Park Jun-hyuk said the yen strengthened to the 152 level because US rate-cut expectations and dollar weakness are building. He saw this as yen strength and a headwind to yen-funded carry trades into risk assets.
Park Jun-hyeok Crypto Analyst 22:20
Robinhood has more expansion optionality than Coinbase.
Park Jun-hyuk argued Robinhood has more expansion optionality than Coinbase, including Robinhood Chain, tokenized stocks and prediction markets, which explains its higher sensitivity. If crypto risk appetite returns, that optionality could drive relative outperformance.
Applied Materials beats with strong equipment growth.
Lee said Applied Materials reported better-than-expected Q1 results and Q2 guidance, with semiconductor equipment revenue expected to grow more than 20% annually and momentum building into 2H and 2027. He viewed stable 30% operating margins and EPS upward revisions as supporting a reasonable valuation.
Favor AI hardware over disrupted software.
Lee argued AI hardware and AI software have decoupled. Software faces real AI disruption risk and further multiple compression, while AI hardware momentum remains strong in memory and HDD/NAND storage; investors should stay with momentum leaders and buy on pullbacks.
Favor AI hardware over disrupted software.
Lee argued AI hardware and AI software have decoupled. Software faces real AI disruption risk and further multiple compression, while AI hardware momentum remains strong in memory and HDD/NAND storage; investors should stay with momentum leaders and buy on pullbacks.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 58:31
Korean hardware profit can surpass Apple.
Park Se-ik cited 2027 estimated operating profits showing Samsung Electronics and SK hynix near or above Apple, arguing that as the software fantasy fades, Korean companies with physical AI hardware will rewrite the global market-cap map.
Choi Ho Vice President 69:42
Hanmi advances in advanced semiconductor equipment.
Choi Ho said Hanmi Semiconductor rose sharply after news that it completed development of HPM5 equipment, showing progress toward advanced semiconductor equipment. The move is a company-specific catalyst worth monitoring.
Choi Ho Vice President 75:15
Hugel direct-sales transition raises near-term uncertainty.
Choi Ho reviewed a report saying Hugel's Q4 beat, but the shift to direct US sales from 2H 2026 creates cost and execution uncertainty. The key is whether export data improve; direct sales could lift margins later.
Wang Jeong Department Head 82:49
Aesthetic names follow Classys recovery pattern.
Wang Jeong said Classys corrected, then made new highs as numbers improved, and he expects Hugel and PharmaResearch to follow similar patterns after their own corrections and earnings recovery, helped by US export potential.
Wang Jeong Department Head 82:59
Korean banks attract quality dividend demand.
Wang Jeong said in an uncertain, high-multiple market, money is moving to certain cash-flow and dividend payers such as Korean banks. He highlighted their strong relative performance as evidence of that quality/dividend preference.
Choi Ho Vice President 86:56
Hybe earnings set to inflect on BTS.
Choi Ho said Hybe's 2026 outlook is driven by BTS's March comeback, a profitable Weverse, Katseye/Cortis growth and lower debut costs; he expects 2026 operating profit to jump and sees earnings visibility through BTS tours and related content.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 98:15
Won and yuan strengthen against dollar.
Park Se-ik said the won should soon break below the 1,400 level and that the yuan continues to strengthen as the dollar weakens. He framed this as Asian currency strength against the dollar.
Moon Ji-ho Executive 99:06
Kingboard is cheap vertical CCL play.
Moon Ji-ho presented Kingboard Laminates as the global largest vertically integrated fiberglass fabric and E-glass producer, benefiting from CCL price hikes caused by upstream glass fabric shortages. He noted it trades around 15x P/E versus peers at 25-30x and a 20x target implies about 30% upside.
Park Jun-hyeok Crypto Analyst 109:04
Nasdaq likely falls with weak tech sentiment.
Park Jun-hyuk said Nasdaq would likely fall because Bitcoin is leading risk sentiment lower and tech sentiment remains weak. He expected the down move to continue.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published February 13, 2026, features Seo Yeong, Park Jun-hyeok, Lee Seung-jun, Park Se-ik, Choi Ho, Wang Jeong, Moon Ji-ho discussing AAPL, MU, SNDK, STX, WDC, APP, XLV, XLP, BTC, ETH, ALTCOINS, FXY, HOOD, AMAT, AI Hardware, SMH, HDD/NAND storage, IGV, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 042700.KS, 145020.KQ, Classys, 214450.KQ, Korean banks, HYBE, USD/KRW, USD/CNY, 1888.HK, NASDAQ Composite. 19 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Seo Yeong, Park Jun-hyeok, Lee Seung-jun, Park Se-ik, Choi Ho, Wang Jeong, Moon Ji-ho  · Tickers: AAPL, MU, SNDK, STX, WDC, APP, XLV, XLP, BTC, ETH, ALTCOINS, FXY, HOOD, AMAT, AI Hardware, SMH, HDD/NAND storage, IGV, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 042700.KS, 145020.KQ, Classys, 214450.KQ, Korean banks, HYBE, USD/KRW, USD/CNY, 1888.HK, NASDAQ Composite