February 13 Pre-Market: New York Stocks Fall; Big Tech Plunges on AI Overinvestment Concerns; Apple -5% / One Day Before Lunar New Year Holiday, Should We Buy or Sell Stocks?

[2월13일 #장시작전] 뉴욕증시 하락, AI과잉투자 우려로 빅테크 급락, 애플-5% / 설 연휴 하루 전, 주식을 살까? 팔까?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 13, 2026 at 00:23  |  2:44:05  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The video is a pre-market show on February 13, 2026, before the Lunar New Year holiday. Panelists discuss the overnight US selloff driven by AI overinvestment and disruption fears, especially in Apple, software, real estate and logistics. They highlight the divergence between AI hardware/memory winners and software losers, while Korean market strength is attributed to Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, financials and foreign inflows. Speakers debate whether to buy, hold or sell before the holiday, with a bias toward holding selected Korean leaders and watching policy-driven themes like KOSDAQ, SMR/nuclear, solar and obesity drugs.

  • US stocks fell as AI overinvestment and job-disruption fears hit Big Tech and software.
  • Apple dropped about 5% on delayed Siri upgrade; software and AI-exposed sectors weakened.
  • Hardware, memory and storage names such as Micron, SanDisk, Western Digital and Seagate held up better.
  • Korean market was relatively resilient, led by Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, financials and construction.
  • Kioxia's strong results reinforced tight NAND memory supply and benefited SK hynix via its stake.
  • SMR special law, EPA deregulation and renewable-energy law drove nuclear, traditional energy and solar discussions.
  • Obesity-drug updates from Viking, Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk kept GLP-1 pipelines in focus.
  • Pre-holiday positioning debate leaned toward holding selected Korean leaders rather than fully de-risking.
Ideas
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 8:21
Hold Korean memory leaders as uptrend continues.
Foreign selling in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix is largely exhausted, memory prices are still rising, HBM4 and foundry outlook remain strong, and the stocks are in a stair-step uptrend; he sees no reason to sell and expects foreign buying to continue.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 13:26
Stay in semiconductor equipment and materials.
The main money-making sector is Samsung Electronics and SK hynix plus semiconductor equipment/materials; strength in the memory leaders should keep equipment/materials and related ETFs in favor.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 14:24
Next rotation: Hyundai Motor and robotics.
After semiconductors lead, the next rotation is likely Hyundai Motor plus robotics within the main Korean sectors, so he favors Hyundai Motor and the robot theme.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 14:41
Holding firms join sector rotation.
Within the money-making sectors, holding companies and financial holding companies are part of the expected rotation and should not be ignored.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 14:50
Battery and ESS join AI rally.
Battery, secondary battery, and ESS are tied into the AI/data-center rally and are part of the main-sector rotation.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 15:00
Aerospace remains in main rotation.
Aerospace and space had strong moves and remain part of the main-sector rotation rather than a distant side theme.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 20:00
KOSDAQ supported by policy until June.
After the holiday, KOSDAQ should be watched because individual investors dominate it and political engineering ahead of June local elections plus separation/improvement plans and abundant liquidity should support it; ETFs are the easiest route and KOSDAQ leverage can outperform.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 34:17
Meta faces hidden-debt valuation discount risk.
Meta's Hyperion data-center joint venture accounting has drawn auditor concern over hidden debt; if such structures spread, investors may demand a valuation discount for AI-related liabilities.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 38:09
Avoid US software on AI disruption.
AI may shrink the total software market rather than just create a chicken-game winner; hidden AI debt and accounting concerns are spreading, and low buy interest is absent in Palantir, Microsoft, Oracle and other software names.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 38:09
Avoid US software on AI disruption.
Microsoft is in a complete downtrend, down about 30% from highs, and its Office subscription model is threatened by AI tools that automate document work; he would avoid aggressive bets or averaging down until the trend and earnings confirm.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 43:38
Buy AI hardware and storage winners.
AI investment spending is still rising; hardware manufacturers and storage companies actually earn money from it, unlike software facing debt and disruption concerns. Micron, SanDisk, Western Digital, Seagate, Samsung and SK hynix are relative winners.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 52:53
Power equipment benefits from AI power shortage.
AI data-center power demand and US energy shortages keep transformers and power equipment in short supply, supporting Korean power equipment/transformer names as a derivative AI infrastructure trade.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 57:11
AI freight threatens broker margins.
Algorithmic Holdings' SemiCab AI freight tool claims to boost freight processing 300-400% and cut empty miles 70%; if validated, shippers could switch and destroy freight broker margins, so CH Robinson and RXO face real disruption risk even if the current selloff is overdone.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 59:54
Office real estate panic is overdone.
AI job-loss fears triggered panic selling in office REITs and brokers such as CBRE, JLL and SL Green even though CBRE reported strong results and raised guidance; the disruption is distant and B2B property deals still need humans, so Barclays calls the selloff a buying opportunity.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 63:03
Hardware and storage lead AI winners.
Capital is rotating toward AI hardware, storage and semiconductor equipment winners; Micron, Western Digital and KLA were relatively strong while software and AI-disrupted sectors sold off.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 68:55
SK hynix gains from Kioxia stake.
Kioxia's strong results and 54.5% operating margin guidance signal tight NAND supply and peak-level memory profitability; SK hynix is a direct beneficiary because its Kioxia stake is worth roughly 10 times the original investment.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 69:30
Memory two top retain upside.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix remain the top global memory suppliers and should keep upside as HBM4 and AI memory demand stay strong, even though Samsung led the recent move and SK hynix lagged.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 70:27
Memory costs pressure Cisco margins.
Cisco reported an earnings surprise but warned that rising memory prices will pressure margins, and the stock plunged over 10%; this shows memory cost inflation is hurting chip-using network equipment makers.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 71:41
Obesity drug market keeps expanding.
Obesity treatment competition is intensifying and the oral GLP-1 market is expanding; Viking's data, Lilly's launch preparation and Novo's vial strategy support long-term expectations for oral and long-acting injectable pipelines.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 77:21
Pharma biotech may improve after March.
Korean pharma/biotech is relatively weak now, but after the Lunar New Year, March audit season and the April obesity-drug launch could create a better set-up, so it is worth watching.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 77:44
SMR law boosts Korean nuclear construction.
Korea's SMR special law passed, enabling government R&D, site and public research support for next-generation nuclear as AI data centers drive power demand; large construction names like Hyundai E&C, Daewoo E&C and DL E&C should benefit more than small caps.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 80:55
EPA repeal favors traditional energy.
The EPA repeal of the 2009 endangerment finding removes the legal basis for federal greenhouse gas regulation, favoring coal, oil and natural gas producers.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 83:15
EPA repeal supports nuclear power.
The EPA repeal and persistent power shortage are positive for nuclear power as a dispatchable clean-energy source.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 83:32
Solar selloffs are buying opportunities.
Policy noise may pressure solar and wind shares, but power shortages mean renewables cannot be avoided; if such noise causes selloffs, she sees them as opportunities, favoring profitable business models.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 83:52
EPA repeal favors ICE over EVs.
The EPA repeal is positive for internal combustion automakers such as Ford, while Tesla and EV-linked names face policy uncertainty.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 83:52
EPA repeal favors ICE over EVs.
The EPA repeal is positive for internal combustion automakers such as Ford, while Tesla and EV-linked names face policy uncertainty.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 88:20
Korean financials are new market leaders.
Banks, securities and insurers are now market leaders alongside chips; KB Financial has entered the KOSPI top 10 by market cap, and value-up, earnings and shareholder-return momentum support the sector.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 89:31
SK hynix may reach one million won.
SK hynix is consolidating below 900,000 won; if it breaks that level with volume digestion, the next target is 1 million won as memory momentum continues.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 90:33
Samsung is undervalued global profit leader.
Samsung Electronics is mass-producing HBM4 and drawing positive calls; it is expected to become the world's most profitable company by 2027, yet its market cap is far below Apple, Aramco and Nvidia, suggesting valuation re-rating potential.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 97:05
Doosan offers holding, nuclear, electronics optionality.
Doosan as a holding company has three overlapping themes: holding-company momentum, nuclear exposure via Doosan Enerbility, and electronics via Doosan BG, with improving earnings.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:15
Toss IPO benefits Korea Electronic Certification.
Toss/Viva Republica's IPO or overseas acquisition could revalue Korea Electronic Certification's over-2% Toss Bank stake to 200-300 billion won against a market cap below 70 billion won, creating cheap optionality.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 102:32
SK Telecom is Korean Anthropic play.
Anthropic/Claude's rising valuation and possible IPO make SK Telecom the main listed Korean play on Claude, supporting its stock's breakout.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 104:27
Korean large-cap biotech led by Celltrion.
US restrictions on Chinese CDMOs could shift CMO/CDMO orders to Korea; Celltrion and Samsung Biologics lead large-cap bio, while Hanmi Pharmaceutical and HanAll Biopharma can gain momentum if the sector improves.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 107:52
ADC-to-DAC rotation favors Orum Therapeutics.
The market is rotating from ADC to DAC; Orum Therapeutics is the listed DAC proxy, and any big-pharma licensing or acquisition of DAC assets could drive re-rating.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 107:52
Alteogen suffers weak flows despite pipeline.
Alteogen is the weakest ADC name: even with a dividend and license-out expectations, supply is not coming in as the market shifts to DAC.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 109:54
JW Pharmaceutical shows earnings and volume breakout.
JW Pharmaceutical reported good earnings with unusual volume and rising R&D output; if the market begins to notice, the stock can move sharply.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 111:10
SpaceX supplier Sang-A Frontec has upside.
Sang-A Frontec disclosed it supplies film to SpaceX and reportedly holds up to 80% of related capacity, explaining profits despite weak battery-material demand; the stock hit limit-up as a new SpaceX supplier.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 113:42
Space and satellite names stay strong.
Space/aerospace remains strong with SpaceX momentum; Intelliantech and Satrec Initiative were relatively strong Korean satellite/space names.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 113:53
Korean optical names gain investor interest.
Optical/optical-communication interest is rising, with US optical stocks at new highs; Korean names Daehan Optical Telecom, Daehan Electric Wire and Green Optics are the main vehicles, though Green Optics has already doubled and needs monitoring.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 117:44
Kakao may gain ChatGPT momentum.
Kakao's ChatGPT collaboration and a ChatGPT Pro coupon promotion could create AI momentum if user reviews are positive.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 122:53
Defensive US sectors attract rotation.
Capital is rotating out of software into defensive areas such as consumer staples, utilities and healthcare in the US, and Korean markets may show similar relative strength in these sectors.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 123:38
AI disruption pressures US software.
AI disruption fears are spreading across software, financial services and real estate services; he would not make software an investment priority until the gap from Cisco and other weakness is repaired.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 127:21
Applied Materials earnings surprise after hours.
Applied Materials beat earnings after the close and surged after hours, potentially offsetting weakness in the semiconductor sector.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 127:55
Arista Networks surges after earnings.
Arista Networks surged about 14% after hours on earnings, supporting networking and semiconductor sentiment.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 128:43
GLP-1 drugs pressure fast food.
GLP-1 obesity drugs reduce appetite and could pressure fast food and broader food demand; McDonald's is seriously examining the impact.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 129:57
Memory and storage remain tight.
Memory and storage remain tight and relatively strong; Micron, Kioxia, SanDisk, Western Digital and Seagate are benefiting from memory-centered momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 130:30
Fadu contract hints more orders.
Fadu won a 20.4 billion won supply contract with rumors of more, and pension-fund buying suggests additional orders may be coming.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:11
Korea funds see record foreign inflows.
Korea equity fund inflows are at a 10-year high, and foreigners are returning to large-cap KOSPI names, supporting the index.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 133:12
Renewable law boosts Hyundai Energy Solutions.
The Renewable Energy Act passage and solar regulatory easing support Korean solar; Hyundai Energy Solutions is consolidating and could resume upside if it holds the 80,000-won area.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 135:16
Hanwha Solutions turns up on renewables.
Hanwha Solutions is turning up with the renewable/solar theme, and China's Two Sessions could bring restructuring news for chemicals and steel that would not be bad for Korea.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 136:28
Orion leads Korean food momentum.
Food and beverage is showing strong supply; Orion broke out on large volume and has risen about 40% from its base, leading Korean food momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 138:32
Trading companies show relative strength.
General trading companies are relatively strong; POSCO International and LX International are among the better performers.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 138:45
Daishin Securities surprises with shareholder returns.
Daishin Securities reported a record 480 billion won earnings surprise, announced share cancellation and a high dividend with tax advantages, a strong shareholder-return package.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 140:35
Small securities benefit from buyback trend.
The shareholder-return trend is spreading to smaller securities firms with high treasury-share holdings, such as Bookook Securities and Shinyoung Securities.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 142:32
Buy Korean semiconductor materials on dips.
Foreign flows are entering IT tech baskets; semiconductor equipment/materials should be bought on dips because they are correlated with Samsung and SK hynix strength.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 143:27
Doosan Fuel Cell may follow Blue Energy.
Pension funds bought Doosan Fuel Cell; if Blue Energy's earnings and capacity expansion keep the fuel-cell theme alive, Doosan Fuel Cell can follow as a SOFC latecomer.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 144:50
Doosan benefits from Nvidia CCL demand.
Doosan holding company is benefiting from exploding Nvidia-related sales and expectations that it will supply CCL for Vera Rubin; target prices vary widely but the base is forming.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 146:06
LS breaks out as holding company.
LS finally broke to a new high as a holding company; it may feel heavy but patient holders have been rewarded.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:55
Hive clears costs and legal overhang.
Hive cleaned up 2025 costs, the Min Hee-jin lawsuit is mostly past, and it closed at a new high; the company now has only profit-generating work left, making it a top entertainment pick.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:12
SK Eternix consolidates SK renewables.
SK Group is consolidating its renewable-energy businesses into SK Eternix, a new momentum driver that pushed the stock to a new high.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:37
Korean construction enters a turnaround.
Construction is in a turnaround with Hyundai E&C leading; real estate strength and optional nuclear exposure help, and Daewoo E&C, GS E&C, HDC and Samsung E&A are also positives.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 154:31
Insurance stocks remain strong.
Life insurers remain strong, with Hanwha Life up sharply, extending the financial-sector leadership.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 13, 2026, features Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials ETF, 005380.KS, Korean Robotics, Korean holding companies, Korean Financial Holding Companies, Korean battery/ess sector, Korean aerospace/space sector, KOSDAQ Index, KOSDAQ, META, IGV, PLTR, MSFT, MU, SNDK, WDC, STX, Korean power equipment/transformers, CHRW, RXO, CBRE, JLL, SLG, KLAC, CSCO, VKTX, LLY, NVO, XBI, 000720.KS, 047040.KS, 375500.KS, XLE, URA, TAN, F, TSLA, 105560.KS, 055550.KS, 032830.KS, 086790.KS, 016360.KS, 006800.KS, 039490.KS, 071050.KS, 000150.KS, 041460.KQ, 017670.KS, 068270.KS, 207940.KS, 128940.KS, 009420.KS, 475830.KQ, 196170.KQ, 001060.KS, 089980.KQ, 189300.KQ, 099320.KQ, 010170.KQ, 001440.KS, Green Optics, 035720.KS, XLP, XLU, XLV, AMAT, ANET, MCD, 440110.KQ, EWY, 322000.KS, 009830.KS, 271560.KS, 047050.KS, 001120.KS, 003540.KS, 001270.KS, 001720.KS, 336260.KS, 006260.KS, 352820.KS, 475150.KS, 006360.KS, 294870.KS, 028260.KS, 088350.KS. 62 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials ETF, 005380.KS, Korean Robotics, Korean holding companies, Korean Financial Holding Companies, Korean battery/ess sector, Korean aerospace/space sector, KOSDAQ Index, KOSDAQ, META, IGV, PLTR, MSFT, MU, SNDK, WDC, STX, Korean power equipment/transformers, CHRW, RXO, CBRE, JLL, SLG, KLAC, CSCO, VKTX, LLY, NVO, XBI, 000720.KS, 047040.KS, 375500.KS, XLE, URA, TAN, F, TSLA, 105560.KS, 055550.KS, 032830.KS, 086790.KS, 016360.KS, 006800.KS, 039490.KS, 071050.KS, 000150.KS, 041460.KQ, 017670.KS, 068270.KS, 207940.KS, 128940.KS, 009420.KS, 475830.KQ, 196170.KQ, 001060.KS, 089980.KQ, 189300.KQ, 099320.KQ, 010170.KQ, 001440.KS, Green Optics, 035720.KS, XLP, XLU, XLV, AMAT, ANET, MCD, 440110.KQ, EWY, 322000.KS, 009830.KS, 271560.KS, 047050.KS, 001120.KS, 003540.KS, 001270.KS, 001720.KS, 336260.KS, 006260.KS, 352820.KS, 475150.KS, 006360.KS, 294870.KS, 028260.KS, 088350.KS