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Wilmington Trust's Meghan Shue says equities will outperform over the next 12 months

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 30, 2026 at 10:40  |  4:26  |  CNBC
Speakers
Meghan Shue — Chief Investment Strategist, Wilmington Trust

Summary

Wilmington Trust's Chief Investment Strategist Meghan Shue says the firm has moved from benchmark weight to a modest overweight in equities, expecting them to outperform fixed income over the next 12 months. They particularly favor small caps and emerging markets, citing a dovish Fed and disinflation as catalysts, and hold a slight overweight to large-cap growth. Value stocks could also perform well if the economy stays firm.

  • Wilmington Trust increased equity exposure from benchmark to a modest overweight.
  • Equities are expected to outperform fixed income over the next 12 months as geopolitical headline risks recede.
  • The firm holds a dovish Federal Reserve view, forecasting rate cuts this year driven by disinflation, not economic weakness.
  • Small caps and emerging markets are favored beneficiaries of lower rates, with EM also riding AI momentum.
  • Within large caps, a slight overweight to growth is maintained, though value could also have a good year in a supportive economy.
  • The equity overweight is diversified across large cap, small cap, and emerging markets.
Ideas
Meghan Shue Chief Investment Strategist, Wilmington Trust 1:42
Equities to outperform fixed income next 12 months
Over the next 12 months, equities will outperform fixed income. The firm was benchmark weight but has moved to a modest overweight because headline risks around war are receding and the second half might not see the same narrow supercharged gains. They want to capture the broader equity performance advantage over bonds.
Meghan Shue Chief Investment Strategist, Wilmington Trust 3:08
Dovish Fed and disinflation favor small caps
A more dovish Fed outlook, with rate cuts expected this year driven by disinflationary trends rather than economic weakness, should be very good for small cap stocks. The labor market is re-accelerating, and the firm has turned constructive on small caps as part of its equity overweight.
Meghan Shue Chief Investment Strategist, Wilmington Trust 3:29
Rate cuts and AI momentum lift emerging markets
Emerging markets benefit from the same dovish Fed outlook and rate cuts, plus they have a tremendous amount of AI momentum. The firm is adding emerging markets exposure as part of the increased equity allocation.
Meghan Shue Chief Investment Strategist, Wilmington Trust 3:57
Slight overweight large cap growth
Within large cap, the firm split between growth and value and maintains a slight overweight to growth. They see a complicated tech landscape and want to stay diversified, but still tilt toward growth while acknowledging value could also have a good year if the economy holds up and the Fed is dovish.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published June 30, 2026, features Meghan Shue discussing Equities, U.S. Small Cap, EEM, Large Cap Growth. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Meghan Shue  · Tickers: Equities, U.S. Small Cap, EEM, Large Cap Growth