Be Careful During High Volatility: Option Investment Strategy from Expiration-Day Charts

변동성이 클 때 주의해야 합니다. 만기일 차트가 알려주는 옵션 투자 전략 | 체슬리투자자문 박세익 전무
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 11, 2026 at 00:00  |  17:53  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik reviews the KOSPI and KOSPI 200 option expiration day, highlighting extreme intraday swings in near-expiry options and his long-standing rule not to hold option positions into expiration. He also reviews the weekly KOSPI chart and major Korean stocks, noting a potential rotation into shipbuilding after Samsung Electronics' earnings and highlighting relative strength in POSCO Holdings and licensing-driven momentum in ABL Bio.

  • KOSPI 200 options showed extreme volatility into expiration, with deep out-of-the-money contracts moving many multiples and then reversing.
  • Park Se-ik says he avoids holding option positions at expiration because of stress and reversal risk.
  • KOSPI ended near flat with a weekly buy signal, but a further decline could trigger a third sell signal.
  • Samsung Electronics reversed after earnings, with institutions and foreigners selling and retail buying.
  • Park Se-ik sees shipbuilding as the next sector with strong earnings momentum and notes firm charts in Hanwha Ocean, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, Samsung Heavy Industries, and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.
  • POSCO Holdings is relatively resilient among battery-linked names because steel is its main business.
  • ABL Bio is rising on actual licensing deals and related earnings momentum.
  • Other chart reviews included biotech, shipbuilding, and large-cap names without separate trade calls.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 0:55
Avoid holding KOSPI 200 options at expiry.
The speaker warns that KOSPI 200 options near expiration can move with extreme volatility, with examples of a 605 call rising from 4.53 to 72 and a 665 put moving from 0.07 to 3.63 before settling at 0.82. Because these violent reversals can turn large gains into losses and are extremely stressful, he says he has long refused to hold option positions into expiration and advises avoiding expiration-day option trading.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 1:52
KOSPI weekly buy signal, watch sell trigger.
On the weekly KOSPI chart, the index is ending at a level that leaves a buy signal. However, if it falls again from here, the next signal would be a third sell signal, so the index is a monitorable setup for the next directional move.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 12:15
Shipbuilding leads next earnings rotation.
After Samsung Electronics' earnings release, the next sector with strong earnings momentum is shipbuilding. Shipbuilders are already rising and taking over leadership, with Hanwha Ocean, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, Samsung Heavy Industries, and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries showing firm charts.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 14:28
POSCO Holdings resilient on steel core.
Among battery-related names, POSCO Holdings is holding up relatively well because its core business is steel, not batteries, giving it a more defensive or resilient profile than pure battery plays.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 15:57
ABL Bio rises on licensing momentum.
ABL Bio's monthly chart is rising solidly, supported by actual licensing deals that provide a large earnings momentum.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published January 11, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing KOSPI 200 options at expiration, EWY, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 009540.KS, 329180.KS, 005490.KS, 298380.KQ. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: KOSPI 200 options at expiration, EWY, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 009540.KS, 329180.KS, 005490.KS, 298380.KQ