Former CEA chair on Powell investigation: Market is correctly betting Trump will not succeed

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 16:23  |  2:40  |  CNBC
Speakers
Jason Furman — Former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers

Summary

Jason Furman, former CEA chairman and Harvard Kennedy School professor, joins the show to discuss the DOJ investigation into Fed Chair Jay Powell and a joint letter warning that threats to Fed independence harm the economy. He argues the probe is counterproductive because it makes Powell more likely to stay and FOMC members less likely to cut rates further. Furman says the market is correctly betting Trump will not succeed in pressuring the Fed. The conversation also covers inflation risks and the credibility of the next Fed chair.

  • DOJ investigation into Powell prompts warnings from former economic officials.
  • Furman says threats to Fed independence could harm inflation and economic functioning.
  • He argues the probe makes further Fed rate cuts less likely.
  • Furman says markets correctly expect Trump's pressure campaign to fail.
  • He calls for the investigation to be dropped and for a new Fed chair to defend the institution.
  • The interview highlights institutional credibility and inflation risks.
Ideas
Jason Furman Former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers 1:20
DOJ probe reduces further Fed rate cuts
Furman argues the DOJ investigation into Powell is counterproductive and hamhanded: it increases the chance Powell stays on the board and makes other FOMC members reluctant to look like they are giving in to political pressure by cutting rates further. That reduces the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts.
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This CNBC video, published January 12, 2026, features Jason Furman discussing US Interest Rates. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jason Furman  · Tickers: US Interest Rates