Ideas
AI threatens DeFi security and funding.
AI will hurt DeFi security over the next 6-12 months before things improve, and DeFi protocols and startups will find it especially hard to raise capital. Xavier distinguishes this from his long-term bullishness on AI: AI is helpful elsewhere, but near term it is a net negative for DeFi.
Stablecoins are crypto's durable adoption story.
Stablecoins are now a massive and perhaps the most-adopted part of crypto, providing cost savings in emerging economies and proving durable post-regulation. Xavier sees them as here to stay and an obvious real use case, even though this shift undermines the old L1/ETH-world TAM story.
Circle benefits from stablecoin distribution.
Stablecoin adoption is durable, and the biggest beneficiaries are distribution-heavy entities and chains. Xavier explicitly names Circle alongside Tempo as benefiting because distribution matters more than old-chain speculation, giving Circle a distribution-based edge in the stablecoin ecosystem.
Stablecoins hurt Ethereum and old L1s.
Stablecoins are now the most-adopted part of crypto and benefit chains and issuers with distribution like Circle and Tempo rather than older L1s. That makes Ethereum particularly challenged and undermines the old 'ETH as money' thesis; Xavier stands by the view that ETH and the Ethereum network are in a tricky place.
Value capture favors crypto applications.
Value capture in crypto has shifted up the stack from infrastructure to applications. Although too much money went into infra and breakout apps are still scarce, Xavier remains bullish on crypto apps and thinks app-focused founders are in a good position as the market matures.
Tokenized RWAs need demand-side innovation.
Myles argues crypto innovation should be aimed at already-working areas like RWAs and tokenized assets rather than far-out ideas. Onchain versions need better periphery services, demand generation, and merchant-side stablecoin infrastructure so users prefer them over off-chain alternatives; he is interested in and views this as necessary for onchain finance to reach the next step.
Sky and Spark lead collateral standards.
Mike cites Sky as a project conceived as an on-chain CDP pre-Ethereum and says Sky and Spark are leading the industry in creating standard frameworks for onboarding collateral, with verification by internal risk teams and others. Sky's challenge is scaling USDS and bringing quality yield-generating assets, which is exactly the type of real, if less zero-to-one, innovation crypto needs.
Privacy revival makes Zcash interesting.
Xavier sees crypto splitting into institutional and cypherpunk camps and thinks privacy is becoming more important. He notes Zcash has been around for 10+ years and is now rallying for the first time in a long time, and he thinks a return to crypto/cypherpunk ideals could create a smaller but real privacy market.
This Bell Curve video, published May 29, 2026,
features Xavier, Myles O'Neil, Mike Ippolito
discussing DEFI, STABLECOINS, CRCL, ETH, Crypto apps, Tokenized RWAs, SKY, SPK, ZEC.
8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Xavier,
Myles O'Neil,
Mike Ippolito
· Tickers:
DEFI,
STABLECOINS,
CRCL,
ETH,
Crypto apps,
Tokenized RWAs,
SKY,
SPK,
ZEC