Ideas
Prefer Korea over US, KOSPI upside
He prefers Korea over the US because the dollar cycle is turning weaker, US manufacturing revival requires a weaker dollar, and China decoupling is boosting demand for Korean corporates. He sees Korea's market as in a third quantum jump, with earnings growth outpacing price gains; near-term index consolidation should not end the larger upcycle.
USD/KRW can fall below 1,400
He expects the strong-dollar regime to shift toward a weak-dollar cycle as the US seeks manufacturing revival and exports. While he does not expect USD/KRW to fall to 1,200, he thinks it can drop below 1,400, implying won strength.
US big tech selloff looks like noise
He sees US big tech in a heavy capex investment cycle with no clear AI leader yet, so heavy spending without matching output is creating valuation anxiety. However, he views the current selloff as a DeepSeek-style shakeout or noise rather than a structural end.
China decoupling lifts Korean shipbuilding, defense, nuclear
China decoupling is increasing demand for Korean companies as Western buyers reduce reliance on Chinese suppliers. He explicitly names shipbuilding, defense, and nuclear power as sectors benefiting, with the earnings impact flowing directly to Korean firms.
Chinese exit creates Korean power equipment room
Chinese power equipment suppliers had held 60-70% of the US market, but their expulsion is creating a shortage and expanding the addressable market for Korean power equipment makers.
Prefer Korean chip IDMs over equipment
AI chip shortages and US restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment exports to China benefit Korean semiconductors. He prefers IDMs such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix over materials/equipment makers because their earnings growth and valuation setup are more comfortable, though he cautions that single-stock leveraged ETF flows could overheat prices.
Prefer Korean chip IDMs over equipment
AI chip shortages and US restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment exports to China benefit Korean semiconductors. He prefers IDMs such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix over materials/equipment makers because their earnings growth and valuation setup are more comfortable, though he cautions that single-stock leveraged ETF flows could overheat prices.
Korean solar rally is theme-driven, avoid
He views the Korean solar rally as theme- and supply-driven, mainly an Elon Musk effect, rather than fundamentally supported. Although Hanwha Solutions has profit-turnaround talk, he remains uninterested and says solar still looks too theme-like; he also notes the US solar ETF has been stuck.
Hold Hyundai Motor for dividends, robotics
He has long advised holding Hyundai Motor, collecting dividends while waiting for humanoid-robotics and governance catalysts. He cites a client who compounded Hyundai Motor preferred dividends into a 600% gain after switching to common shares, reinforcing his view that high-dividend potential stocks should be held long term.
Korean banks attractive on buybacks, dividends
He says bank stocks have turned attractive because they are buying back and cancelling shares while paying large dividends. He expects the favorable backdrop to persist until the government shows any willingness to restrict dividend payout ratios, which he sees as unlikely for now.
Korean securities benefit from higher market
He expects securities firms to earn heavily if the market advances another step, and potential share buybacks/cancellation would add further support. He concludes the group does not need to be viewed negatively.
This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 07, 2026,
features Lee Young-hoon, Hwang Yoo-hyun
discussing EWY, USD/KRW, M7, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear power sector, Korean Power Equipment Sector, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector, Korean solar sector, 009830.KS, TAN, 005380.KS, KBE, Korean securities stocks.
11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Lee Young-hoon,
Hwang Yoo-hyun
· Tickers:
EWY,
USD/KRW,
M7,
Korean shipbuilding sector,
Korean defense sector,
Korean nuclear power sector,
Korean Power Equipment Sector,
005930.KS,
000660.KS,
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector,
Korean solar sector,
009830.KS,
TAN,
005380.KS,
KBE,
Korean securities stocks