Kuaishou Slides After Weak 3Q Guidance | The China Show | 8/20/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 20, 2026 at 05:37  |  1:32:03  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
James Bullard — Former President, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Dean, Purdue University's Mitch Daniels School of Business
John Woods — Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier
Min Min Low — China Correspondent, Bloomberg
Nangle Zheng — Strategic Investment Director at LeadShine Technology
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer
Robert Lea — Editor, CoinDesk
Bonnie Chan — Co-host, The Crypto Conversation
Kaustubh Kulkarni — Regional Head for Investment Banking at Citi
Alex Xia — Founder and CEO of Xynova

Summary

The US Treasury's unexpected move to buy back long-dated bonds sparked a rally across risk assets, pressuring the US dollar and boosting gold and crypto. Meanwhile, China's tech earnings season revealed challenges, with Kuaishou's profits dropping significantly due to AI investments and competition, while Alibaba faces margin pressures despite cloud growth. The World Robot Conference highlighted rapid advancements in humanoid robotics supply chains, particularly in motors and dexterous hands.

  • US Treasury announces debt buybacks, lowering long-term borrowing costs and weakening the dollar.
  • Kuaishou shares slide after reporting a significant drop in net income amid rising AI costs and competition.
  • Alibaba's earnings focus shifts to balancing cloud computing growth with e-commerce price wars and AI CapEx.
  • Lombard Odier upgrades US equities, citing broadening growth beyond AI into small and mid-cap stocks.
  • Asian currencies like the Korean Won and Taiwan Dollar strengthen on export booms and corporate buybacks.
  • LeadShine Technology reports a tenfold increase in orders for humanoid robot motors.
  • Xynova highlights the critical role of dexterous hands and data collection in advancing humanoid robots.
Ideas
James Bullard Former President, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Dean, Purdue University's Mitch Daniels School of Business 5:33
Long-term yields will remain structurally higher.
The US Treasury's tactical move to buy back debt doesn't change the fundamental drivers of big fiscal deficits and a sidelined Fed, meaning longer-term yields will continue to face upward pressure.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 9:11
Position in short to medium duration Treasuries.
The US Treasury buyback is likely a one-off that won't change the trajectory of real rates returning to pre-GFC levels of 2-3%. Investors should position in short to medium duration (4-5 years) to optimize returns and avoid long-end volatility.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 11:34
US equity growth broadens beyond AI themes.
Upgrading US equities to overweight because Q2 earnings show growth broadening beyond AI and US exceptionalism into a cyclical story, with non-tech CapEx proliferating, especially among small and mid-cap stocks.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 12:33
Buy Taiwan and South Korea tech dips.
Upgrading Taiwan and South Korea equities as an opportunistic, leveraged sector play on tech and SMEs, as the technology growth story has many years to run.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 13:19
US momentum factor still has strong legs.
The momentum factor remains strong in the US due to the growth/financing cross trade-off, but looks weak in Europe outside of specific themes like energy and defense.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 13:19
US momentum factor still has strong legs.
The momentum factor remains strong in the US due to the growth/financing cross trade-off, but looks weak in Europe outside of specific themes like energy and defense.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 14:24
Avoid old China; buy new China exports.
Bearish on "old China" sectors like property and consumption due to ongoing deleveraging, but optimistic on "new China" opportunities in the export sector and platform companies migrating to new capital opportunities.
John Woods Asia CIO and Head of Investment Solutions Asia, Lombard Odier 14:24
Avoid old China; buy new China exports.
Bearish on "old China" sectors like property and consumption due to ongoing deleveraging, but optimistic on "new China" opportunities in the export sector and platform companies migrating to new capital opportunities.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 17:13
Kuaishou faces persistent near-term profitability challenges.
Kuaishou is facing a profit reset and short-term uncertainty due to the high capital intensity of its AI pivot depressing free cash flow, compounded by rising competition from ByteDance's competing text-to-video engine.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 19:00
Alibaba is best positioned for AI gains.
Despite strong cloud revenue growth, Alibaba's overall margins remain depressed and are experiencing a structural downshift due to a vicious e-commerce price war and elevated AI capital expenditures that currently lack financial returns.
Nangle Zheng Strategic Investment Director at LeadShine Technology 32:13
Humanoid robot motor demand is growing exponentially.
Frameless torque motors and integrated modular joints are seeing massive demand growth in the humanoid robot supply chain, with LeadShine's orders increasing tenfold year-over-year as the industry transitions to mass production.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 65:51
Fiscal imprudence puts long-term pressure on USD.
The US Treasury's intervention validates the thesis that the US dollar is under long-term pressure from fiscal imprudence, supercharging short dollar trades and driving rallies in crypto and gold.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 65:51
Fiscal imprudence puts long-term pressure on USD.
The US Treasury's intervention validates the thesis that the US dollar is under long-term pressure from fiscal imprudence, supercharging short dollar trades and driving rallies in crypto and gold.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 66:21
Asian currencies strengthen on exports and buybacks.
Asian currencies, specifically the Korean Won and Taiwan Dollar, are strengthening as regional exports boom and capital returns home due to shareholder return programs from companies like SK Hynix and Samsung.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 20, 2026, features James Bullard, John Woods, Min Min Low, Nangle Zheng, Anthony Stevens discussing TLT, SHY, US Small and Mid-Cap Stocks, SPY, EWT, EWY, Europe Momentum Factor, US Momentum Factor, CHIR, China Export Sector, Kuaishou, BABA, 002979.SZ, USD, GLD, BTC, TWD, USD/KRW. 14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: James Bullard, John Woods, Min Min Low, Nangle Zheng, Anthony Stevens  · Tickers: TLT, SHY, US Small and Mid-Cap Stocks, SPY, EWT, EWY, Europe Momentum Factor, US Momentum Factor, CHIR, China Export Sector, Kuaishou, BABA, 002979.SZ, USD, GLD, BTC, TWD, USD/KRW