Foreigners Made a Big Mistake... Accumulating Korean Semiconductor Stocks, Starting Now | What Happens When Samsung Electronics Posts a Q2 Earnings Surprise | CEO Kang Gwan-woo

외국인, 큰 실수했다… 한국 반도체주 매집, 지금부터 들어간다 | 삼성전자, 2분기 깜짝 실적 나오면 생길 일 | 강관우 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 05, 2026 at 08:00  |  22:24  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kang Gwan-woo — CEO

Summary

Host Kim Tae-seong interviews CEO Kang Gwan-woo about the 2026 Korean market and semiconductor outlook. Kang argues the market may be strong in the first half and weaker later, but Korean tech, especially memory semiconductors, should be overweighted. He sees foreign investors underweight Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, expects Samsung's memory earnings and HBM4/foundry progress to drive upside, and flags batteries as less attractive.

  • Kang expects a high-first-half, low-second-half 2026 Korean market pattern, with timing uncertain.
  • He recommends a 45-50% technology allocation because Samsung and SK hynix dominate KOSPI earnings and market cap.
  • He sees a global memory upcycle with constrained capex and stronger pricing power for Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron.
  • Foreign investors are described as underweight Korean memory and likely forced to buy.
  • Samsung Electronics is favored for operating leverage, Q2 earnings surprise potential, free cash flow, shareholder returns, HBM4 positioning, and foundry recovery.
  • SK hynix remains the HBM leader, though Kang has shifted incremental preference toward Samsung for HBM4.
  • Micron's single-digit forward P/E is highlighted as anomalously cheap.
  • Korean secondary batteries are viewed as less attractive than market expectations.
Ideas
Memory upcycle favors Samsung, SK hynix, Micron
The memory market is in a broad upcycle because AI demand makes DRAM and NAND increasingly indispensable, while Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron are limiting capex. With 2026 operating profit expected to rise sharply but capex up only modestly, memory pricing power should remain with suppliers, and global fund managers who underweighted Korean memory should be forced to rebuild exposure.
Memory upcycle favors Samsung, SK hynix, Micron
Kang favors Samsung Electronics because memory price increases drive revenue with little variable-cost increase, creating powerful operating leverage and likely above-consensus earnings, including a potentially shocking Q2 year-over-year surprise. He also sees capex discipline lifting free cash flow and enabling higher shareholder returns or M&A, while foreign ownership remains below prior peaks and global funds need to rebuild Korean memory exposure.
AI chip demand keeps broadening
Kang argues the AI chip ecosystem is not zero-sum between GPUs and TPUs; demand is broadening into second- and third-tier cloud providers and more memory-intensive applications. This supports the wider AI semiconductor supply chain, and he says Magnificent Seven investments can still make sense, though he prefers Korean core memory beneficiaries.
Overweight Korean tech as earnings concentrate
Kang says technology should be 45-50% of a Korean equity portfolio because Samsung Electronics and SK hynix alone account for about 40% of 2026 operating profit, and the broader Samsung/SK group complex is over 40% of market cap. After including semiconductor equipment and materials, the rest of the market becomes a much smaller allocation, making an underweight in tech hard to justify.
Underweight Korean batteries versus market expectations
Kang says he is more cautious on Korean secondary batteries than the market is, arguing expectations are too high. In his allocation framework, batteries are among the sectors whose portfolio weight shrinks because technology and memory dominate earnings and market-cap weight.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 05, 2026, features Kang Gwan-woo discussing 000660.KS, MU, 005930.KS, SMH, MAGS, EWY, Korean secondary battery sector. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kang Gwan-woo  · Tickers: 000660.KS, MU, 005930.KS, SMH, MAGS, EWY, Korean secondary battery sector