8000P 가는데, 철강 주식의 향방은? | 박성봉 하나증권 리서치센터 팀장 [더블 크루]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 12, 2026 at 04:21  |  13:49  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Seong-bong — Team Leader, Hana Securities Research Center

Summary

Analyst Park Seong-bong discusses the steel sector outlook as KOSPI nears 8000. Steel prices are rising due to import restrictions on Chinese steel, not demand, and earnings should improve from Q3. He recommends Poongsan for copper exposure and highlights POSCO Holdings' undervalued lithium business. He also maintains a bullish structural view on lithium due to long-term supply deficits.

  • Steel prices have risen 20% YTD, driven by import restrictions and anti-dumping duties on Chinese steel.
  • Earnings recovery for domestic steelmakers is expected from Q3 2025 as supply tightens.
  • Poongsan is recommended for its strong earnings tied to copper price strength.
  • POSCO Holdings is seen as undervalued due to its lithium business, which should benefit from a structural lithium supply deficit.
  • The analyst holds a long-term bullish view on lithium as a commodity, citing supply shortages through 2030.
  • Construction steel demand remains weak but is expected to bottom by late 2025.
  • Non-ferrous metals like copper and lithium are expected to see further price increases.
  • The video is part of the 'Double Crew' financial show hosted by Vincent and Da-song.
Trade Ideas
Park Seong-bong Team Leader, Hana Securities Research Center 2:26
Steel earnings recovery from Q3 on supply tightening
Korean steel prices have risen ~20% YTD driven by import restrictions on Chinese steel and anti-dumping duties, not demand. This supply-side improvement should lead to earnings recovery for domestic steelmakers from Q3 2025 onward, making the sector attractive despite weak construction demand.
Park Seong-bong Team Leader, Hana Securities Research Center 10:37
Poongsan strong earnings from copper exposure
Poongsan has strong earnings this year driven by copper price strength, and the analyst recommends it among non-ferrous metal stocks with a target price in the late 70,000s.
Park Seong-bong Team Leader, Hana Securities Research Center 11:57
Lithium structural supply deficit supports prices
Lithium is structurally supply-deficient through 2030, with demand outstripping supply, supporting higher lithium prices long-term. Lithium stocks have recovered from lows but still have upside potential.
Park Seong-bong Team Leader, Hana Securities Research Center 12:35
POSCO Holdings has undervalued lithium business
POSCO Holdings benefits from both steel earnings recovery and its lithium business, which is undervalued in the current stock price. Structural lithium supply deficit through 2030 supports higher lithium prices, adding upside to POSCO Holdings' valuation.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published May 12, 2026, features Park Seong-bong discussing Korean Steel Sector, 103140.KS, LITHIUM, 005490.KS. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Seong-bong  · Tickers: Korean Steel Sector, 103140.KS, LITHIUM, 005490.KS