Bring Of Another Major Crash? What Everyone Gets Wrong About The Gold, Silver

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 05, 2026 at 19:19  |  24:20  |  The David Lin Report

Summary

  • The merger between Dolly Varden Silver and Contango Ore is complete, forming Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO), a new mid-tier North American precious metals producer.
  • Executives argue the current low level of M&A activity in mining, compared to the 2011 cycle peak, signals the sector is far from a top and early in a new bull cycle.
  • The fundamental case for gold and silver (high sovereign debt, geopolitical instability, inflation hedging) is seen as more relevant today than in past cycles.
  • The company's strategy focuses on high-grade, poly-metallic deposits, which are less capital-intensive and easier to develop than large, low-grade projects.
  • Contango Silver & Gold operates a direct shipping ore (DSO) model, leveraging existing mill capacity and cheap ocean transport to reduce development risk and capital requirements.
  • The combined company holds over $100 million in cash and generates over $100 million in annual operating cash flow from its Manh Choh (referred to as "Mono") gold operation.
  • Aggressive 2026 exploration plans include 60,000 meters of drilling, focusing on the Lucky Shot (gold) and Kitsault Valley (silver) projects, with a new resource estimate expected for Kitsault.
  • Production growth targets aim to increase from ~60,000 oz gold/year to 200,000 oz gold/year, complemented by ~5 million oz silver/year.
  • The multi-district, multi-asset portfolio is designed to provide continuous growth catalysts and mitigate the single-asset development timeline risk common among juniors.
  • A key industry challenge is the long-term decline in average deposit grades, increasing the strategic value of high-grade discoveries and projects.
Trade Ideas
Shawn Khunkhun CEO, Dolly Varden Silver 2:05
Current M&A activity in the mining sector is notably low compared to the peak levels seen at the 2011 cycle top. The core investment thesis for gold and silver (sovereign debt concerns, systemic risk, inflation hedge) is argued to be more compelling today than in previous cycles. Historically, frenzied M&A has marked cycle peaks. The absence of such activity, coupled with strong underlying fundamentals, suggests the sector is in a early-to-mid cycle phase with significant room for expansion. The precious metals mining sector is not near a peak and is positioned for a prolonged upcycle, making it an attractive area for investment. A sharp, sustained reversal in macro trends (e.g., dramatic fiscal improvement, disinflation) could undermine the safe-haven and inflationary hedge demand for metals.
Shawn Khunkhun CEO, Dolly Varden Silver 16:56
The merged company has over $100 million in cash and generates over $100 million in annual operating cash flow. Management outlines a clear, self-funded path to grow gold production from ~60,000 to 200,000 ounces annually and add ~5 million ounces of silver production. The strong treasury and cash flow are being aggressively reinvested into exploration (60,000m drill program in 2026) and development of high-grade assets to systematically increase production and resource inventory. The company is positioned for organic, low-dilution growth by leveraging its financial strength to advance a multi-asset pipeline, transitioning from explorer/developer to a cash-flowing mid-tier producer. Exploration results fail to expand resources or convert to reserves; execution delays in project development; sustained downturn in gold/silver prices.
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This The David Lin Report video, published April 05, 2026, features Shawn Khunkhun discussing XLB, CTGO. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Shawn Khunkhun  · Tickers: XLB, CTGO