Summary
Park Myung-suk reviews the week's market, explaining that the semiconductor sell-off driven by TSMC and China AI fears is an irrational overreaction, with strong hyperscaler capex and upcoming Alphabet earnings expected to restore confidence. He reiterates a bullish view on U.S. equities and highlights Apple’s upgrade.
- Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falls 20% from its peak, but Bank of America sees a temporary summer correction.
- TSMC earnings beat, yet the market sold off; Citi and other banks raise hyperscaler capex estimates for Google, Meta, and Amazon.
- China's Moonshot AI (Kimi K3) triggers AI competition fears, but the impact is seen as limited and reminiscent of the DeepSeek overreaction.
- Alphabet's earnings this week are considered the key catalyst that could clear the negative sentiment on AI hardware.
- Apple is upgraded to Buy by HSBC, as it avoids capex controversy and benefits from upcoming AI service launches.
- U.S. equity market remains in a healthy rotation, with the S&P 500's pullback described as a routine pause.
- SK Hynix ADR introduces extra volatility to global semiconductors due to heavy leveraged trading; a positive Friday close offers slight hope.
- Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East push oil above $80 and add to market uncertainty, with no clear relief from Trump's speech.