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Bracing for Yen Swings; US Jobs Ease Fed-Hike Concerns | The Asia Trade 7/3/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 03, 2026 at 04:43  |  1:34:59  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Garfield Reynolds — Markets Reporter/Editor, Bloomberg
Bob O'Donnell — Chief Analyst, TECHnalysis Research
Timothy Moe — Chief Asia Economist, UBS
Molly Brooks — U.S. Rate Strategist, TD Securities
Kevin Hassett — Director, White House National Economic Council
Tom Orlik — Bloomberg Chief Economist
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer

Summary

The July 3, 2026 Asia Trade program covers the aftermath of a softer US jobs report that reduced Fed hike urgency, triggering a mixed session where tech and semiconductor stocks sold off sharply while the soft-landing narrative gained traction. The panel discusses the ongoing AI-driven chip rout in Korea, the weak yen and intervention risks around the four-decade low, and the divergence between onshore and offshore China equities. Notable investment views include Goldman Sachs calling the KOSPI undervalued after the pullback, TECHnalysis Research seeing NVIDIA as still having upside, and multiple strategists expecting continued yen weakness. The launch of 24-hour Korean won trading and the role of Hong Kong as a semiconductor middleman are also in focus.

  • US June payrolls undershoot, easing Fed rate-hike bets and reinforcing the soft-landing narrative.
  • AI and semiconductor names sell off globally, with Samsung and SK hynix losing $290 billion in market cap.
  • Japanese yen hovers near a 40-year low as a dovish BOJ and weak JGB auctions keep pressure on the currency.
  • Goldman Sachs strategist says Korean equities at 6.6x forward earnings are deeply undervalued and compelling post-selloff.
  • TECHnalysis Research analyst argues NVIDIA still has plenty of growth runway despite custom-chip competition.
  • Onshore China A-shares outperform offshore internet stocks as earnings delivery diverges.
  • South Korea launches 24-hour won trading amid a 17-year low for the currency, raising volatility concerns.
  • Oil prices remain steady as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resumes, though geopolitical risks linger.
Ideas
Garfield Reynolds Markets Reporter/Editor, Bloomberg 12:00
Yen weak as BOJ stays dovish.
The Japanese yen remains under sustained depreciation pressure because the Bank of Japan is perceived as behind the curve on inflation, its newly appointed board members are instinctively dovish, and upcoming JGB sales like the 30-year auction face weak demand, keeping upward pressure on yields and yen selling. Even if the dollar pulls back temporarily, the yen will stay weak until either the Fed turns rate-neutral or the BOJ meaningfully accelerates rate hikes.
Bob O'Donnell Chief Analyst, TECHnalysis Research 42:29
NVIDIA still has plenty upside.
NVIDIA still has plenty of room to run because overall AI demand remains significantly higher than supply, and even as hyperscalers design custom chips, they are capacity-constrained by foundries like TSMC. The AI compute market is large enough that increased competition from custom silicon will not slow NVIDIA's growth—demand raises all boats.
Timothy Moe Chief Asia Economist, UBS 53:02
Buy Korean equities after selloff.
Korean equities, particularly memory and AI hardware supply-chain stocks, are extremely compelling after the sharp pullback. The KOSPI is trading at 6.6x forward earnings, well below its long-term mean and at levels only seen after COVID or the financial crisis, while profit fundamentals remain very strong. The market is underpricing earnings growth and the selloff has cleared speculative money, creating a favorable entry point.
Timothy Moe Chief Asia Economist, UBS 66:41
Overweight China A-shares over offshore.
Onshore Chinese equities (A-shares) deserve an overweight allocation relative to offshore China internet stocks, because onshore markets are delivering clear earnings growth tied to tech hardware and broader domestic recovery, while offshore China remains plagued by weak consumption, intense competition, and disappointing earnings. Earnings delivery is the best explainer of market performance, and onshore China is showing much stronger execution.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 03, 2026, features Garfield Reynolds, Bob O'Donnell, Timothy Moe discussing FXY, NVDA, EWY, ASHR. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Garfield Reynolds, Bob O'Donnell, Timothy Moe  · Tickers: FXY, NVDA, EWY, ASHR