World will need 50% more copper than we have today: S&P Global's Yergin

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 08, 2026 at 19:18  |  4:35  |  CNBC
Speakers
Daniel Yergin — S&P Global Vice Chairman

Summary

Daniel Yergin of S&P Global joins CNBC to discuss a new S&P study projecting copper demand will rise about 50% by 2040 to 42 million metric tons. He attributes the long-term demand growth to global electrification, data centers/AI power needs, developing-world growth, and EVs, while supply faces mine disruptions, policy uncertainty, and long development lead times. The discussion also touches on the broader metals rally, including gold and other metals reacting to economic uncertainty and GDP.

  • S&P Global sees copper demand rising about 50% by 2040 to 42 million metric tons.
  • Electrification and AI/data-center power demand are key copper demand drivers.
  • Data centers could rise from 4% to 14% of U.S. electricity by 2030.
  • Copper supply is constrained by mine disruptions, policy uncertainty, and 17-year mine lead times.
  • Yergin says longer-term prices point to a world needing much more copper.
  • Gold and other metals are discussed as sensitive to economic uncertainty and GDP.
  • EVs use 2.9 times more copper than conventional cars.
Ideas
Daniel Yergin S&P Global Vice Chairman 1:10
Copper demand to outpace constrained supply
The world is electrifying rapidly, with electricity use set to rise about 50% by 2040 and data centers/AI plus EV adoption adding voracious copper demand, while copper supply is constrained by mine disruptions, tariff and Fed uncertainty, government treatment of miners, and roughly 17-year lead times for new mines. He expects the world will need about 50% more copper than today, keeping longer-term copper prices supported or higher.
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This CNBC video, published January 08, 2026, features Daniel Yergin discussing COPPER. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Daniel Yergin  · Tickers: COPPER