Dow Rises as Oil Prices Plunge Despite US Semiconductor Stock Sell-off, SanDisk -14%, Micron -8.9% / Sidecar Activated 42 Times This Year, Circuit Breaker 22 Times, Tired of Volatility

[July 29 #BeforeMarketOpen] Dow Rises as Oil Prices Plunge Despite US Semiconductor Stock Sell-off, SanDisk -14%, Micron -8.9% / Sidecar Activated 42 Times This Year, Circuit Breaker 22 Times, Tired of Volatility
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 29, 2026 at 00:51  |  3:15:51  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Oh Hyun-jin — Team Lead
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Tae-seong — Division Head, Xangle
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist

Summary

The video discusses the extreme volatility in the global and Korean stock markets, driven by a sharp sell-off in semiconductor and tech stocks. Panelists analyze SK hynix's Q2 earnings, noting that while it slightly missed elevated expectations, the underlying fundamentals and LTA structures remain strong. The US ban on Chinese robots is highlighted as a catalyst for Korean robotics companies. Additionally, the panel explores defensive rotations into sectors like pharma/bio, cosmetics, and food, while emphasizing that hyperscaler capex and free cash flow will be the key metrics to watch in upcoming big tech earnings.

  • Global markets are experiencing severe volatility, with a notable sell-off in semiconductor stocks.
  • SK hynix reported solid Q2 earnings, though slightly below the highest market expectations.
  • The US ban on Chinese humanoid and quadruped robots is driving momentum in Korean robot stocks.
  • Investors are rotating into defensive sectors such as pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and food.
  • Hyperscaler free cash flow and capex sustainability remain the biggest concerns for the AI rally.
  • The upcoming FOMC meeting and big tech earnings are seen as critical near-term catalysts.
Ideas
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 2:20
Chinese DUV multi-patterning is too inefficient.
Chinese efforts to use DUV multi-patterning for advanced chips are highly inefficient, costly, and yield poorly (around 20%), meaning ASML's technological lead remains secure and the threat is overblown.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 11:02
Pharma and bio stocks offer defensive safety.
In a market where almost all sectors are falling, defensive pharmaceutical and biotech stocks like Peptron, Celltrion, and Samsung Biologics are holding up well and acting as safe havens.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 45:12
Apple's low capex burden attracts defensive inflows.
Unlike other big tech companies that face heavy capex burdens for AI, Apple has relatively low capital expenditure requirements, making its free cash flow more attractive to investors seeking safety.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 49:44
Coca-Cola offers stable earnings and dividends.
Coca-Cola is hitting all-time highs as investors rotate into defensive stocks with stable earnings and solid dividend yields amidst tech sector volatility.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 59:10
Strong HDD demand signals solid memory fundamentals.
Seagate reported strong earnings and an EPS beat, demonstrating solid HDD demand from cloud data centers and pricing power, which is a positive signal for the broader memory sector.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 71:41
Texas power plant project benefits Korean EPCs.
The first US-Korea investment fund project is a Texas gas combined cycle power plant to supply AI data centers, benefiting Korean EPC and gas turbine equipment companies.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 86:46
Strong M7 cash flow supports semiconductor investments.
The rebound in M7 stocks is positive because their strong cash generation ensures they can continue investing in AI infrastructure, supporting the semiconductor hardware supply chain.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 95:00
US ban on Chinese robots benefits Korea.
The US government's ban on Chinese humanoid and quadruped robots creates a direct opportunity for Korean robot companies to fill the void in the US market.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 103:21
Buy both major Korean memory chip makers.
Instead of choosing between the two, investors should buy both Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, as long-term agreements (LTAs) will dampen the traditional semiconductor cycle volatility.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 103:21
Buy both major Korean memory chip makers.
Although SK hynix slightly missed elevated earnings expectations, they are advancing to the 1c process for HBM4e and planning special dividends, making the post-correction stock attractive.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 126:11
Hanwha Ocean shows massive commercial ship margins.
Hanwha Ocean reported amazing earnings with a 22.7% operating margin in commercial ships and is securing special ship orders, showing strong fundamental improvement.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 132:44
Cosmetics stocks show resilience in down market.
Cosmetics stocks like Cosmecca Korea and Kolmar Korea are showing strong resilience and holding up well despite the broader market sell-off.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 146:23
EO Technics is severely oversold and attractive.
EO Technics has been declining for 7 consecutive weeks and has given up all its yearly gains, entering an oversold territory that warrants a rebound.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 169:15
Nvidia collaboration boosts Naver's AI growth story.
Nvidia's $1 billion investment and Naver's plan to cancel 1 trillion won in treasury stock, along with their AI factory collaboration, provide a strong long-term growth story.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 172:35
Oracle faces severe free cash flow risks.
Oracle faces high risk among hyperscalers because its free cash flow is expected to drop sharply in 2026 and 2027 due to heavy AI investments, raising credit concerns.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 182:09
CXMT is overvalued with poor technological yields.
ChangXin Memory (CXMT) is vastly overvalued compared to Samsung and SK hynix, as it only produces commodity memory and faces terrible yields using DUV multi-patterning.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 189:25
Drop in HD Hyundai Electric is overdone.
The 12% drop in HD Hyundai Electric due to concerns over new business delays is an overreaction in a weak market, and the stock should be held.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 191:24
HYBE's stock plunge ignores solid earnings outlook.
HYBE's recent stock plunge is excessive given that its Q2, Q3, and Q4 earnings are expected to be very solid, driven by BTS-related revenues.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 29, 2026, features Oh Hyun-jin, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Kwon-hee discussing ASML, 068270.KS, 087010.KQ, 207940.KS, AAPL, KO, STX, 028260.KS, 000720.KS, 034020.KS, M7, 117730.KQ, 270660.KQ, 058610.KQ, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 042660.KS, 241710.KQ, 161890.KS, 039200.KQ, 035420.KS, ORCL, CXMT, 267260.KS, 352820.KS. 18 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Oh Hyun-jin, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Kwon-hee  · Tickers: ASML, 068270.KS, 087010.KQ, 207940.KS, AAPL, KO, STX, 028260.KS, 000720.KS, 034020.KS, M7, 117730.KQ, 270660.KQ, 058610.KQ, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 042660.KS, 241710.KQ, 161890.KS, 039200.KQ, 035420.KS, ORCL, CXMT, 267260.KS, 352820.KS