Musk On Verge of Trillionaire Status With SpaceX IPO | The Opening Trade 6/12/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 12, 2026 at 10:13  |  1:11:42  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Matt Bloxham — Head of Research, The Block
Max Kettner — Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, HSBC
Camille Sale — Head of Developed Market Rate Strategy and European Economics, BNP Paribas Markets 360
Paul Dobson — Executive Editor, Bloomberg
Alex Morgan — Anchor/Reporter, Bloomberg

Summary

This episode covers SpaceX’s historic $75 billion IPO, the largest ever, with expectations of a 20-35% first-day pop. Optimism around a potential Iran nuclear deal sends oil below $90, lifting equities and travel stocks. ECB signals possible July rate hike, while the Fed is expected to start hiking in December. A survey of views includes bullish calls on US and Asian equities over Europe, short positions in front-end US and European bonds, and a limited-downside view on crude oil. Additional segments touch on Switzerland’s population-cap vote and the G7 summit.

  • SpaceX IPO at a $0.8 trillion valuation, 100x trailing sales, expected to pop 20-35% on first day.
  • Trump claims Iran deal is close, oil drops sharply, Brent falls below $90, stocks and travel shares rally.
  • ECB’s Schnabel hints at a July rate hike, risks skewed to more than two hikes; ECB outlook driven by broadening inflation.
  • BNP Paribas strategist sees front-end US and Eurozone yields rising, expecting three Fed hikes and ECB over-delivering.
  • HSBC strategist Max Kettner is maximum bullish on equities, favoring US and Asia (Japan, Taiwan, Korea) over Europe.
  • Bloomberg’s Paul Dobson argues Brent crude downside is limited as normalization of supply will be slow.
  • Swiss population-cap vote could dampen long-term growth; G7 leaders meet amid trade and geopolitical tensions.
Ideas
Camille Sale Head of Developed Market Rate Strategy and European Economics, BNP Paribas Markets 360 17:05
Short Eurozone front-end bonds
The ECB is likely to deliver more than two rate hikes because the economic backdrop remains strong and inflation is broadening, with risks skewed to a more aggressive tightening cycle.
Camille Sale Head of Developed Market Rate Strategy and European Economics, BNP Paribas Markets 360 18:29
Short US front-end Treasuries
US front-end yields have more room to run as the market underprices three Fed hikes starting December, with risks skewed to the upside on the short end.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 37:11
SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO will see a strong first-day pop of 20% to 35%, driven by heavy retail demand, institutional interest, and the 'Musk factor', justifying the lofty 100x trailing sales multiple.
Paul Dobson Executive Editor, Bloomberg 41:25
Brent crude downside limited
Brent crude is unlikely to fall much further from current levels even if an Iran deal is reached, because restarting energy flows will be slow and inflation impacts will persist, limiting further downside.
Max Kettner Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, HSBC 57:16
Long US and Asia, avoid Europe
Prefer US and Asia (Japan, Taiwan, Korea) equities over Europe because the US and Asia have multiple domestic and structural growth drivers (AI, tech, fiscal stories) while Europe’s fate is overly tied to a single geopolitical factor (Iran conflict resolution).
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published June 12, 2026, features Camille Sale, Matt Bloxham, Paul Dobson, Max Kettner discussing German 2-Year Bund, SHY, SPCX, BNO, SPY, EWT, EWJ, EWY. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Camille Sale, Matt Bloxham, Paul Dobson, Max Kettner  · Tickers: German 2-Year Bund, SHY, SPCX, BNO, SPY, EWT, EWJ, EWY