HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Major Tailwind: 2026 Fires the Starting Signal for Shipbuilding Stocks' Great Leap / U.S. Warships Would Halt Without Korean Shipbuilding... The Power of the Shipbuilding Super Gap | Eom Kyung-ah, Research Fellow

HD현대중공업 빅호재.. 2026년 조선주의 대 도약 신호탄 쐈다 / 미국 함정, 한국 조선 없으면 ‘정지’… 조선 초격차의 위력 | 엄경아 연구위원
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 16, 2026 at 09:30  |  22:22  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Eom Kyeong-ah — Research Fellow

Summary

Shinyoung Securities Research Fellow Eom Kyung-ah discusses why Korean shipbuilders raised their 2026 order targets, with offshore plants and defense/special vessels as the main drivers. She sees earnings stability, stable costs, and favorable FX supporting shipbuilding shares, while Samsung Heavy Industries is best positioned for offshore/FLNG and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries leads on order growth. Hanwha Ocean and Hanwha Systems have US naval headline catalysts, but concrete progress and contract economics remain uncertain.

  • Korean shipbuilders raised 2026 order targets, led by offshore plants and defense.
  • Shipbuilding earnings stability, stable labor/material costs, and favorable FX support the sector.
  • Offshore plant and FLNG recovery favors Samsung Heavy Industries due to experience and dock reactivation.
  • HD Hyundai Heavy Industries raised its order target by about 30% after the Hyundai Mipo merger and new capacity investment.
  • Hanwha Ocean's 2025 orders were mostly commercial, while US Golden Fleet news is not yet concrete.
  • Hanwha Systems rallied on Philadelphia Shipyard speculation, but that yard may not execute the project.
  • Special vessel/naval work has high unit prices but needs continuous orders to avoid devaluation.
  • US warship contracts carry margin and business-continuity risks for Korean yards.
Ideas
Eom Kyeong-ah Research Fellow 0:00
Shipbuilders offer stable earnings and upside.
Offshore plant and FLNG demand should recover in 2026 after 2025 order misses. Stable oil prices improve global oil accessibility and transport, supporting oil-major production expansion and offshore projects across North America, South America, Southeast Asia, and not only the Middle East. Korean shipbuilders are reactivating capacity, but they need continuous offshore orders to avoid later overcapacity.
Eom Kyeong-ah Research Fellow 2:06
HD Hyundai Heavy leads with higher orders.
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries raised its 2026 order target by about 30%, the largest increase among major Korean shipbuilders. The raise reflects the Hyundai Mipo merger and investment in new production facilities; the company needs to secure orders in advance to keep the enlarged capacity utilized. As the industry leader in a stable competitive landscape, it should maintain scale and benefit when shipbuilding shares rally.
Eom Kyeong-ah Research Fellow 5:15
Samsung Heavy gains from offshore/FLNG recovery.
Samsung Heavy Industries is the top FLNG and offshore plant franchise. Offshore orders missed in 2024-25, but 2026 should improve as previously booked projects move into construction and the company reactivates Dock 2 in the second half to handle longer offshore work alongside commercial vessels. If offshore plant orders increase, Samsung Heavy is the most highlighted beneficiary and should show differentiated financial numbers.
Eom Kyeong-ah Research Fellow 10:51
Hanwha Ocean US naval catalyst lacks specifics.
Hanwha Ocean booked about $9.8B of orders in 2025, exceeding annual revenue and mostly driven by commercial ships rather than the offshore/defense narrative. The stock was boosted by US Golden Fleet and defense-budget headlines, but no concrete US naval work has been awarded. A real catalyst would be selection or investment for the second yard on the small combatant follow-on project; Philadelphia Shipyard is not viewed as able to execute that role, so this remains a monitoring setup.
Eom Kyeong-ah Research Fellow 13:22
Hanwha Systems rally needs concrete US site.
Hanwha Systems rose sharply on Philadelphia Shipyard and US naval project speculation, but the speaker believes Philadelphia Shipyard cannot execute that project. The story would become more concrete only if the company announces investment in another US business site. Until then, the stock is driven more by headline speculation than confirmed contract economics.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 16, 2026, features Eom Kyeong-ah discussing Korean shipbuilding sector, 329180.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 272210.KS. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Eom Kyeong-ah  · Tickers: Korean shipbuilding sector, 329180.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 272210.KS