Bitcoin’s Rally, DeFi Risk, and the Next AI Trade

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 23, 2026 at 17:29  |  1:07:54  |  Delphi Digital
Speakers
Jason Yanowitz — Co-Founder, Blockworks
Yan Liberman — Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures
Jose — Co-founder and Head of Delphi Labs
Ceteris — Head of Research, Delphi Digital

Summary

The Hivemind team discusses a sharp market rebound, with Bitcoin near $80K and equities at all-time highs, while questioning whether the rally is driven by fundamentals or positioning and STRC/MicroStrategy reflexivity. They break down the Aave/KelpDAO exploit and argue DeFi lending needs more isolated pools and better risk controls. The conversation then shifts to AI-related crypto opportunities, including USDAI, Venice, Bittensor, inference hardware demand, and AI agents, before ending with Zcash, MetaDAO, Pump.fun, and a potential BitMine ETH-yield structure.

  • Markets have rallied despite unchanged fundamentals, helped by positioning, narrative, STRC/MicroStrategy demand, and returning ETF flows.
  • The Aave/KelpDAO exploit exposed risks in pooled DeFi money markets and wrapped collateral; the team favors isolated lending and better caps/rate limits.
  • USDAI is pitched as a way to bring data-center hardware collateral and real-world AI-infrastructure yield into crypto.
  • AI inference demand is seen as strong and up-only, supporting more chips, data centers, and AI infrastructure.
  • Venice is discussed as a private LLM access product with recurring revenue, user growth, and a strong privacy narrative.
  • Bittensor is viewed skeptically due to emissions, subnet departures, and structural selling despite its cult following.
  • The team also flags Zcash, MetaDAO, Pump.fun, and a potential BitMine STRC-style ETH-yield structure as names to watch.
  • AI agents are changing personal productivity and creating a more bearish view on off-the-shelf software.
Ideas
Jason Calacanis Head of Markets, Delphi 2:21
Constructive on Bitcoin as sentiment improves
Feel better about markets than two weeks ago because price action and positioning have improved: equities are at all-time highs, Bitcoin is near $80K, and STRC/MicroStrategy demand plus returning ETF flows are constructive, even though underlying fundamentals have not changed much.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 2:55
STRC reflexivity supports Bitcoin and Strategy
The STRC bid is reflexive: as long as STRC demand continues, Strategy can issue more shares/STRC, buy more BTC, and then support more STRC; with another $5-10B of plausible deployment, it is hard to be bearish while the flywheel persists.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 7:52
AI crypto tokens are a bright spot
Hard to be too bearish on crypto: it looks like it is forming a bottom, and AI-related crypto tokens are a strong pocket, with Venice trading well and USDAI's chip token launching strongly.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 18:55
Aave token economics become less attractive
Aave's token economics become less interesting as DeFi shifts from cross-margin to isolated lending, which lowers revenue take-rate potential; the exploit and 40% TVL drop reinforce the poor risk/reward in pooled money markets.
Jose Co-founder and Head of Delphi Labs 35:53
Still holds USDe, trusts Ethena security
Still holds a bunch of USDe and trusts Ethena because the team really cares about security, even though he generally finds DeFi lending risk/reward unattractive unless high rates or private farming opportunities compensate.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 38:42
USDAI brings AI hardware yield on-chain
USDAI makes sense because it creates asset-backed loans against data-center hardware, allowing hardware buyers to borrow against collateral and scale capital efficiently; AI hardware has appreciated rather than depreciated, making lenders more comfortable and bringing real-world AI-infrastructure yield into crypto.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 43:19
AI inference demand is up-only
Bullish on AI inference, which is likely up-only and will require many more chips and data centers; H100s trading above their launch prices on secondaries validates demand and the value of AI hardware.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 48:59
Venice AI privacy VPN has strong growth
Venice is a VPN/private access layer for LLMs using decentralized compute for open-source models, with high-margin usage, strong user growth, recurring revenue, and a privacy narrative that strengthens as hacks/data risks rise; the token captures the business and he holds bags.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 51:07
Bittensor economics weak despite cult following
Bittensor's economics remain unattractive: its top subnet left after farming emissions, the cult following and dedicated funds help but cannot offset massive emissions and structural selling, and the model has never made sense to him.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 57:20
AI agents make software less necessary
AI coding agents make it easy to build tailored personal software, reducing the need for off-the-shelf software; while enterprise software still has a role, he is more bearish on software overall.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 61:15
Still bullish on MetaDAO despite weak trading
Still bullish on MetaDAO despite recent poor trading and launches; it is a launchpad/vertical for legitimate non-meme projects and crypto-equity/token structures, and he remains interested in the model.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 61:27
Zcash shielded pool benefits from DeFi fatigue
New Zcash thesis: as people get tired of DeFi risk after exploits, they may simply park funds in Zcash's shielded pool; the chart shows a large distribution after last year's pump and is at a key level.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 63:20
BitMine STRC could boost ETH
If Tom Lee applies the STRC playbook to BitMine, ETH staking yield could fund a preferred dividend and subsidize roughly $4B of ETH purchases, creating reflexivity; this would be bullish for ETH and is a logical setup for BitMine given its clean capital stack.
Yan Liberman Managing Partner, Delphi Ventures 63:20
BitMine STRC could boost ETH
If Tom Lee applies the STRC playbook to BitMine, ETH staking yield could fund a preferred dividend and subsidize roughly $4B of ETH purchases, creating reflexivity; this would be bullish for ETH and is a logical setup for BitMine given its clean capital stack.
Ceteris Head of Research, Delphi 65:45
Pump.fun can become legit launchpad
Still interested in Pump.fun as it evolves into a launchpad for non-meme/legitimate projects, evidenced by Pumpcade's raise and equity/token round; he still holds PUMP despite unlock concerns.
Up Next

This Delphi Digital video, published April 23, 2026, features Jason Calacanis, Yan Liberman, Ceteris, Jose discussing BTC, STRC, AI-SECTOR, AAVE, USDE, USD.AI, AIQ, VVV, TAO, IGV, METADAO, ZEC, ETH, BITMINE, PUMP. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jason Calacanis, Yan Liberman, Ceteris, Jose  · Tickers: BTC, STRC, AI-SECTOR, AAVE, USDE, USD.AI, AIQ, VVV, TAO, IGV, METADAO, ZEC, ETH, BITMINE, PUMP