Starmer Rebuffs Calls to Resign, Gilts Open Lower on Risk | The Opening Trade 5/12/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 12, 2026 at 11:35  |  1:36:13  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Meera Chandon — Co-head of Global FX Strategy, JP Morgan
Mark Cudmore — Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist
Andrew Buchanan — CFO, Munich Re
Saira Malik — Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen
Marsi Kristoffersen — CEO, Wallenius Wilhelmsen

Summary

The video covers UK political turmoil with Keir Starmer under resignation pressure, leading to a selloff in gilts and the pound. It also discusses the impact of the Iran ceasefire collapse on oil prices and shipping, and the volatile session in South Korea after an AI dividend proposal was floated. Global inflation concerns and the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting are key themes.

  • UK PM Starmer faces mounting calls to resign, gilt yields surge to multi-decade highs.
  • Pound weakens on political risk; JPMorgan strategist sees potential for further GBP decline.
  • South Korea's KOSPI drops 5% on misinterpreted AI dividend comments but recovers.
  • Trump says Iran ceasefire is on 'life support', oil prices climb above $105.
  • Shipping CEO says global trade is booming, driven by Chinese car exports.
  • Munich Re reports strong Q1; CFO confirms profit target is safe.
  • Dollar remains strong on energy exporter status and resilient US data.
  • Markets await US CPI data and Trump-Xi meeting for further direction.
Trade Ideas
Meera Chandon Co-head of Global FX Strategy, JP Morgan 16:11
Dollar remains strong on energy advantage
The dollar is strong because the US is a net energy exporter benefitting from higher oil prices, US equity markets are performing well, and US data is resilient. The Iran conflict supports the dollar until resolved, and the market may start pricing in rate hikes. She is no longer bearish on the dollar.
Meera Chandon Co-head of Global FX Strategy, JP Morgan 18:48
USD/JPY defended at 116
Japan has set 116 as a line in the sand for USD/JPY and has intervened decisively. They are likely to continue defending that level, signaling a ceiling or support around 116.
Meera Chandon Co-head of Global FX Strategy, JP Morgan 22:23
GBP vulnerable to political risk
UK political uncertainty and potential fiscal concerns following a leadership change could lead to GBP weakness, with a possible move to the 1.35 area against the dollar.
Andrew Buchanan CFO, Munich Re 26:09
Munich Re earnings outlook solid
Munich Re's €6.3 billion profit target is safe given a strong Q1, solid reserves, and higher reinvestment yields. The underlying earning power is strong and the outlook for the rest of the year is solid.
Mark Cudmore Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist 41:20
KOSPI dips will be bought
The Korea market (KOSPI) experienced a dip due to a misunderstood AI dividend comment, but dips will be bought and the market will reach much higher levels until a genuine negative AI catalyst appears. The bull market in Korea is intact.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 53:36
UK equities underperform on political risk
UK political turmoil could cause higher fiscal spending and higher inflation, putting continuous pressure on UK equities and causing them to underperform compared to the rest of the world.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published May 12, 2026, features Meera Chandon, Andrew Buchanan, Mark Cudmore, Saira Malik discussing US Dollar (DXY), USD/JPY, GBP/USD, MUV2, EWY, EWU. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Meera Chandon, Andrew Buchanan, Mark Cudmore, Saira Malik  · Tickers: US Dollar (DXY), USD/JPY, GBP/USD, MUV2, EWY, EWU