John Stoltzfus of Oppenheimer sees S&P 500 at 8,100 by end-2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 06, 2026 at 12:46  |  5:23  |  CNBC
Speakers
John Stoltzfus — Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer
Frank — Host

Summary

John Stoltzfus, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer Asset Management, discusses a bullish US equity outlook with an S&P 500 target of 8,100 by end-2026. He expects market broadening beyond technology into cyclicals, while the AI trade remains a core part of the story. He is constructive on energy but cautions that an oil glut limits upside, and he avoids commenting on individual stocks such as Nvidia.

  • John Stoltzfus sees the S&P 500 reaching 8,100 by end-2026.
  • He expects the equity rally to broaden into cyclicals, industrials, materials, and communication services.
  • He says the AI trade remains real and technology adoption should continue.
  • He is constructive on energy but says the world is awash in oil, capping major outperformance.
  • He cites a resilient US economy, fiscal stimulus, and Fed policy as supports.
  • He declines to comment on Nvidia and individual stocks.
  • He notes autonomous vehicles are part of AI adoption, but timing is uncertain.
Ideas
John Stoltzfus Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer 0:42
Market broadening favors cyclicals over defensives.
The US equity rally is broadening beyond technology into cyclical sectors such as industrials, materials, and communication services. This rotation reflects a resilient US economy, supportive fiscal and monetary policy, and technology spillovers to other sectors, making cyclicals more attractive than defensives.
John Stoltzfus Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer 1:20
S&P 500 target 8,100 by 2026.
Oppenheimer remains bullish on US equities and has an S&P 500 target of 8,100 by end-2026. The call is supported by a resilient US economy, fiscal stimulus, supportive Fed monetary policy, broadening market participation, and real AI adoption.
John Stoltzfus Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer 1:50
AI trade is real; tech continues.
The AI trade remains part of the market story and appears real, with technology already being used by many corporations, including in autonomous vehicles. Technology leadership should continue as adoption spreads, and the speaker argues that once the AI genie is out of the bottle, it will not go back in.
John Stoltzfus Chief Investment Strategist, Oppenheimer 3:16
Energy has upside; oil glut caps gains.
Energy has further room to move and Oppenheimer has held it for a long time, but gains should not be exponential because the world is awash in oil and the global economy is not yet strong enough to drive major outperformance. Energy is a modest held position rather than a major overweight.
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