KOSDAQ Bought Only by Individuals; Is the Younger Brother Worse Than the Older Brother Today?... Turn Foreigners' Hearts!

[26.02.10. 오후 방송 전체보기] 개인만 산 코스닥, 오늘은 형보다 못한 아우?...외국인의 마음을 돌려라!
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 10, 2026 at 10:11  |  3:42:36  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-sung — Global Market Strategist
Lee Jae-kyu — PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities
Lee Gyeong-min — Manager
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Cha Young-joo — Director, Wise Economic Research Institute

Summary

The broadcast begins with a mixed Korean market day—KOSPI holding up while KOSDAQ weakens—and asks whether foreign selling can reverse. Several speakers defend memory semiconductors as the core holding, while also discussing rotation into financials, consumption, construction, China/chemicals, batteries, internet, and biotech. The later segments review individual reports on semiconductor equipment, Doosan Tesna, ISC, Shinsegae, securities, Daewoo E&C, NAVER, Jeju Air, and Hyundai Motor. Key risks cited are high rates, inflation, holiday volatility, foreign selling, stretched valuations, and potential AI liquidity drains.

  • KOSPI ended roughly flat while KOSDAQ fell about 1% amid holiday-related profit taking and sector rotation.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix were repeatedly presented as core memory-semiconductor holdings.
  • Lee Jae-kyu highlighted financials, consumer retail, construction, China/chemicals, and AI data-center infrastructure.
  • Lee Kyung-min set a KOSPI 5,800 target and favored autos, batteries, internet, pharma/biotech, oil, and base metals.
  • Kim Jang-yeol reviewed semiconductor equipment, Doosan Tesna, ISC, Shinsegae, securities, US software, and Palantir.
  • Cha Young-joo covered Daewoo E&C, NAVER, Jeju Air, and Hyundai Motor through recent analyst reports.
  • Risks included foreign selling, US rates and inflation, IPO liquidity, and valuation gaps after sharp rallies.
Ideas
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 11:10
Financials benefit from value rotation.
Funds are rotating from overbought semiconductors into value and financials; Korean banks and securities benefit from dividends, share buybacks/retirement, policy momentum, and higher trading volume for brokers.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 11:47
Samsung and SK hynix stay stable.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are the most stable semiconductor holdings: they focus on HBM with better ROI than Micron's NAND mix, and Goldman Sachs sees wider DRAM shortages in 2026-2027; the equipment/materials selloff is secondary, and semis should be bought first if the market crashes.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 28:08
US software faces AI financing pressure.
Debt-funded AI capex, private credit, and circular financing are pressuring US software companies, while semiconductor hardware remains a relatively stable choice; software is effectively the funding source that must justify the spending.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 28:24
Memory leaders remain cheap despite overbought correction.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix remain relatively stable and still cheap because HBM and DRAM/NAND shortages are lifting earnings; Micron and SanDisk weakness reflects an overbought correction rather than a broken memory thesis, while hardware semiconductors are less burdened than debt-funded software.
Park Myung-sung Global Market Strategist 32:37
Korea outperforms US on memory scarcity.
Korea is more attractive than the US in the first half because US valuations are capped by high rates and the memory shortage, while Korea offers the memory solution plus policy and retail liquidity; foreign funds moving out of M7/developed markets into emerging markets should favor Korea.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 49:12
Overlooked consumer retail content stocks rebound.
Consumer retail, department stores, hotels, and content were neglected while AI/semis dominated; the stock market wealth effect and incoming foreign tourists, plus Chinese New Year travel, can lift sales and re-rate names such as Shinsegae, Hyundai Department Store, Lotte Shopping, CJ ENM, and Studio Dragon.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 53:41
Construction is undervalued with policy momentum.
Construction is a neglected value sector where last year's high-cost projects are being cleared, revenue should rise from this year, and policy, nuclear, and data-center projects add operating leverage; names like GS E&C and Daewoo E&C can move elastically when liquidity rotates.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 56:32
China recovery lifts Korean chemicals.
China's equity market has turned strong and global funds are moving into emerging markets; if China's business environment improves, Korean chemical stocks, which are near lows, can recover and are worth holding as an investment rather than a trade.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 62:27
AI data-center capex still growing.
Hyperscaler capex is rising from about $144bn in 2022 to $620bn in 2026 and nuclear capex is also doubling, so the AI data-center value chain—semiconductors, nuclear/power, data centers, and solar—still has a growth runway.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 63:55
Semiconductor equipment dip is buying opportunity.
The sharp selloff in Korean semiconductor equipment/materials is not a fundamental break; it reflects profit-taking and pension-fund rebalancing, so weakness is a split-buy opportunity, although Samsung Electronics and SK hynix remain the safer core holdings.
KOSPI target 5,800 on earnings.
KOSPI can reach 5,800 in the first half because 12-month forward EPS is rising toward 600 points while forward P/E is only 8.8x, below its long-term average; liquidity, policy support, and foreign rebalancing support equities until forward EPS peaks.
Memory earnings upgrades support Samsung, hynix.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix should keep leading because 2026 KOSPI net profit growth is heavily semiconductor-driven, with Samsung's 2026 operating-profit forecast revised from 36tn won to 131tn won and SK hynix from 30tn won to 113tn won; memory supply is tight and prices are rising.
Favor Dow and S&P 500.
For US index exposure, Dow Jones and S&P 500 are more attractive than Big Tech because domestic-demand stimulus is likely after the tariff ruling and midterm elections; AI Big Tech exposure now requires individual stock selection due to dispersion.
Oil can rebound to eighty dollars.
WTI oil is artificially suppressed near $65 by Trump-Saudi supply coordination; after the US midterm picture clarifies, supply policy may change and oil can rebound toward $80 by Q4, a greater than 30% move that would affect inflation and rate expectations.
Korean autos offer earnings and robot value.
Korean autos are among the sectors with positive 2026 earnings revisions; they also have robot optionality and remain cheap, making them worth holding through the cycle.
Battery rebound has more upside.
Korean battery makers are still uncertain but have upside: EV demand should recover in the US, China and Europe, China restructuring means supply cuts, and robot demand adds optionality; historical rebound math leaves 40-60% upside after only a 35% retracement.
Internet and biotech rebound on lower yields.
Internet and pharma/biotech are contrarian first-half rebound candidates: they are neglected, earnings are rising, valuations are below historical averages, and their relative strength is negatively correlated with bond yields, so rate-cut expectations should lift them.
KOSDAQ benefits from Korean rate-cut hopes.
If Korean bond yields fall toward 2.8-3.0% as Bank of Korea concerns over FX and real estate ease, growth stocks should benefit and KOSDAQ can move more elastically than KOSPI.
Gold cycle over; favor base metals.
Daishin's commodity team thinks the big gold and silver money-making cycle is over; while they can still rise, investors should watch base/industrial metals because they are more cyclical and helped by Chinese supply cuts, with grains potentially later.
Gold cycle over; favor base metals.
Daishin's commodity team thinks the big gold and silver money-making cycle is over; while they can still rise, investors should watch base/industrial metals because they are more cyclical and helped by Chinese supply cuts, with grains potentially later.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 134:02
Equipment selloff is pension rebalancing.
The recent drop in Korean semiconductor equipment/materials was exaggerated by pension-fund outsourcing rebalancing and profit-taking after a large rally, not by a broken semiconductor cycle; further weakness should be bought on a split basis.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 141:01
Doosan Tesna valuation already reflects upside.
Doosan Tesna's fundamentals are fine, but the Kyobo report's 69,000 won target already assumes about 30x 2027 EPS and the stock is near that target; without a new catalyst, investors should not chase and should consider trimming into strength.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 152:50
ISC fundamentals good but valuation heavy.
ISC's fundamentals are attractive—system-level test sockets are over half of sales, long-term contracts are growing, and capex is rising—but the new 220,000 won target implies 48x 2026 EPS, so existing holders need not add and new buyers should wait for more confirmation or a pullback.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 163:00
Shinsegae needs pullback before buying.
Shinsegae's target upgrades to 430,000 won are based on the wealth effect, department-store trends, duty-free restructuring, and inbound foreign sales growth from a low 5.7% base; after the spike, do not chase, but a pullback that holds the prior 330,000-350,000 won target zone could offer an opportunity.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 169:18
Securities rally needs trading volume confirmation.
Securities stocks benefit when trading volume rises, but after Mirae Asset and other brokers doubled, analyst opinions are diverging; if volume persists into Q1, Kiwoom and Samsung Securities are the preferred relative candidates, though another sharp rally warrants caution.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 176:02
Agent AI disrupts legacy US software.
Agentic AI from Anthropic, OpenAI, and others is moving into workflows and threatens legacy US software companies that tried to bolt AI onto old products; software stocks and software ETFs should be avoided or screened, while hardware semiconductors remain less affected.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 176:33
Palantir unaffected by agent AI disruption.
Palantir is different from legacy software because its ontology and higher-level workflow position is not directly disrupted by agentic AI; Kim still views it as a buy-the-dip name.
Cha Young-joo Director, Wise Economic Research Institute 183:30
Daewoo E&C turnaround after big bath.
Daewoo E&C took a big bath with a 1.1tn won Q4 operating loss, clearing overseas and unsold-housing losses; next quarter should turn profitable, housing margins should improve, and Czech nuclear orders add optionality, but after the 20% jump and raised targets of 5,700-7,000 won, investors should use mid-term patience.
Cha Young-joo Director, Wise Economic Research Institute 201:30
Naver needs AI monetization to re-rate.
NAVER's Q4 was in line, with commerce growing on fee hikes, but search-commerce profitability weakened and core users without promotions were insufficient; enterprise and content reversed, so AI-driven monetization must materialize before the SOTP-based 270,000 won target can be justified.
Cha Young-joo Director, Wise Economic Research Institute 209:18
Jeju Air turnaround and liquidity improvement.
Jeju Air was upgraded to Buy with an 8,500 won target based on asset value after five quarters of losses turned to a Q4 profit; strategic route shifts toward profitable Japan short-haul routes improve margins, and liquidity concerns should ease if operating cash flow turns positive.
Cha Young-joo Director, Wise Economic Research Institute 217:06
Hyundai robot value depends on benchmark.
Hyundai Motor's valuation depends on the benchmark: as an automaker it is not cheap, but if viewed as a robotics/AI company against Tesla, KB believes it remains undervalued; the Atlas video showed better control capability, but investors must decide which framework applies.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 10, 2026, features Lee Jae-kyu, Park Myung-sung, Lee Gyeong-min, Kim Jang-yeol, Cha Young-joo discussing 105560.KS, Korean banks, Korean securities, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, IGV, ^KS11, 004170.KS, 069960.KS, 023530.KS, 035760.KQ, 253450.KQ, Korean construction sector, 006360.KS, 047040.KS, 000001.SS, Korean chemicals, AI Data Center Infrastructure, URA, SOLAR, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, ^DJI, ^GSPC, USO, CARZ, KARS, 035420.KS, 035720.KS, XLV, ^KQ11, DBB, GLD, SI=F, 131970.KQ, 095340.KQ, 039490.KS, 016360.KS, PLTR, 089590.KS, 005380.KS. 31 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Jae-kyu, Park Myung-sung, Lee Gyeong-min, Kim Jang-yeol, Cha Young-joo  · Tickers: 105560.KS, Korean banks, Korean securities, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, IGV, ^KS11, 004170.KS, 069960.KS, 023530.KS, 035760.KQ, 253450.KQ, Korean construction sector, 006360.KS, 047040.KS, 000001.SS, Korean chemicals, AI Data Center Infrastructure, URA, SOLAR, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, ^DJI, ^GSPC, USO, CARZ, KARS, 035420.KS, 035720.KS, XLV, ^KQ11, DBB, GLD, SI=F, 131970.KQ, 095340.KQ, 039490.KS, 016360.KS, PLTR, 089590.KS, 005380.KS