Trump Signals No Letup of Naval Blockade, Tech Results on Deck | The Opening Trade 4/29/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 29, 2026 at 11:42  |  1:36:31  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Sergio Ermotti — Group CEO, UBS
José García Cantera — Head of Digital, BBVA
Falak Shahi — Founder, CryptoSlate

Summary

The video covers market reactions to the US signaling an extended naval blockade of Iran, which keeps oil elevated near $111. European bank earnings dominate the morning with strong beats from UBS and Santander, while tech traders brace for after-hours reports from Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft. The UAE's exit from OPEC+ and the upcoming Fed and ECB decisions add to a busy macro backdrop.

  • US signals indefinite Strait of Hormuz blockade, oil steady above $111.
  • UBS Q1 profit beats estimates, accelerates buyback program to $3 billion.
  • Santander reports record quarterly profit, reaffirms targets and US expansion plans.
  • UAE leaves OPEC+, potentially adding supply once the Strait reopens.
  • Large-cap tech earnings (Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft) set to test the rally.
  • Fed decision due later; focus on Powell's future and Warsh nomination.
  • ECB facing stagflation risks; former President Trichet urges caution.
  • European equities flat as earnings divergences emerge across sectors.
Trade Ideas
Sergio Ermotti Group CEO, UBS 3:03
Accelerating buybacks, strong Q1 beat.
UBS delivered a strong Q1 profit beat with investment banking revenue up 30%, wealth management inflows better than expected, and capital level at 14.7%. The bank accelerated its buyback program to complete the $3 billion by Q2 results and signaled more buybacks ahead due to integration progress and strong financial performance.
José García Cantera Head of Digital, BBVA 20:03
Record profit beat, on track.
Santander reported another record quarterly profit with revenue up 6%, costs down, cost of risk flat, and capital at 14.4%. The bank is on track to meet its full-year guidance and three-year targets, and its US expansion via the Webster acquisition is proceeding on schedule, providing a long-term growth opportunity.
Falak Shahi Founder, CryptoSlate 32:04
Oil may rise to 125-130.
If the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz holds for another two months, Iran's oil revenues will drop to zero and oil prices could rise back to previous highs around $125-130 per barrel, with demand destruction only setting in above that level. The market has been complacent and could reprice higher if no ceasefire deal materializes.
Non-US valuations more reasonable.
Emerging markets and non-US equities offer more reasonable valuations than the S&P 500, which is dominated by expensive mega-cap tech. Dollar strength is partly a safe-haven flow that should fade as global stability improves, and fundamentals in EM remain strong, making them attractive for long-term diversified portfolios.
Quality tech at attractive valuations.
Big tech names like Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft have lagged over the past 6-12 months, but their earnings are solid and fundamentals attractive. After a period of overvaluation, these high-quality names can now be picked up at more reasonable valuations, presenting a buying opportunity. His active strategies own or are buying these names.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published April 29, 2026, features Sergio Ermotti, José García Cantera, Falak Shahi, Kuwait Nguyen discussing UBS, Santander, BRENT, EEM, META, GOOG, MSFT. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sergio Ermotti, José García Cantera, Falak Shahi, Kuwait Nguyen  · Tickers: UBS, Santander, BRENT, EEM, META, GOOG, MSFT