Earnings will propel the market forward but valuations could bring volatility, says Nuveen's Malik

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 15, 2026 at 21:21  |  5:32  |  CNBC
Speakers
Saira Malik — Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen

Summary

Saira Malik, Nuveen CIO and head of equities and fixed income, joins Closing Bell to discuss the tug of war between macro risks and micro earnings. She expects over 10% earnings growth in 2026 to support the market, but warns that premium valuations, geopolitical issues, and Fed tensions could drive volatility. She favors tech, materials, industrials, financials, and NiSource, while avoiding staples and watching utilities.

  • Nuveen expects over 10% earnings growth in 2026 to support equities.
  • Tech earnings are expected to be about twice S&P 500 earnings; Mag 7 results, including Meta and Alphabet, could extend the tech rally.
  • Deregulation is viewed as positive for financials amid strong earnings, capital markets, and M&A.
  • Materials and industrials are secondary earnings-growth areas she would look at.
  • Consumer staples screen cheap but lack earnings growth outside a recession.
  • Utilities are defensive; Midwest utilities and AI data centers are highlighted, with NiSource as a preferred stock.
  • Policy noise, geopolitics, and Fed tensions are seen as volatility risks.
  • Affordability, tax relief, and a K-shaped consumer are macro themes without a clean tradeable expression.
Ideas
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 0:49
Earnings growth should support the market.
Nuveen expects over 10% earnings growth in 2026, with a strong earnings season and good 2026 outlook likely to support the market. However, the market entered the year at premium valuations, so geopolitical issues and Fed tensions could keep volatility elevated.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 1:54
Tech earnings strength to continue rally.
Tech earnings should be about twice S&P 500 earnings this year, and the Mag 7's aggregate earnings, including expected strong results from Meta and Alphabet, should keep the tech rally going. AI spending may have a lull before productivity gains appear, but the earnings growth remains strong.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 3:55
Deregulation and earnings favor financials.
Deregulation is positive for financials, which are reporting strong earnings again, with strong capital markets and M&A activity going forward.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 4:58
Materials and industrials have strong earnings.
After tech, she would look at materials and industrials because they also have strong earnings growth.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 5:02
Staples cheap but lack earnings growth.
Consumer staples may look cheap, but they generally lack the earnings growth to go with that cheapness unless the economy is in a recession, and the economic data is not pointing to a recession.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 5:12
Utilities defensive; Midwest AI demand strong.
Utilities tend to be defensive, and the Midwest is strong for utilities; AI data centers are beneficial for the sector, and she specifically likes NiSource as a way to play this.
Saira Malik Chief Investment Officer at Nuveen 5:16
Defensive utility benefits from AI data centers.
NiSource is an Indiana-based utility with very strong customer growth and is building out AI data centers; AI data centers should benefit it, the Midwest is strong for utilities, and it is a defensive stock she likes.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published January 15, 2026, features Saira Malik discussing SPY, XLK, MAGS, META, GOOG, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, UTILITIES, NI. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Saira Malik  · Tickers: SPY, XLK, MAGS, META, GOOG, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLP, UTILITIES, NI