Fed Rate-Hike Bets Ease on Tame CPI; Tech Shares Rally | The Asia Trade 8/13/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 13, 2026 at 04:16  |  1:34:38  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Molly Brooks — U.S. Rate Strategist, TD Securities
Ed Yardeni — President, Yardeni Research
Arun Sai — Market Strategy, Pictet Asset Management
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer
Nicholas — Oil Reporter, Bloomberg
Shery Ahn — Anchor, Bloomberg Television
Steven Tseng — Senior Technology Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Hao Hong — Chief Economist, GROW Investment Group
Chris — Leader of Fed Coverage, Bloomberg
Min Min Low — China Correspondent, Bloomberg
Laura Davison — Washington Bureau Chief, Bloomberg
Peter — Executive Editor, Global Technology, Bloomberg

Summary

The episode covers the market reaction to tame U.S. CPI data, which eased Fed rate-hike bets and supported a risk-on tone in Asia, especially in technology and semiconductor shares. It also examines the weak Japanese yen, U.S. Treasury supply concerns, and the oil market's supply shortfall amid the Iran conflict. Several guests discuss AI and China-related investment themes, including AI memory, data centers, Chinese AI names, and Hong Kong inflows.

  • Tame U.S. core CPI reduces but does not eliminate Fed September hike risk.
  • Asia stocks, particularly chipmakers, are set to gain on the benign U.S. inflation print.
  • U.S. long-end Treasuries are in focus amid deficit and supply concerns, with the 30-year auction key.
  • The weak yen remains driven by BOJ policy and rate differentials despite recent intervention.
  • Oil market is tightening as Iran war disruptions create a larger supply shortfall.
  • AI investment themes include memory makers, data center capital goods, banks, and industrials.
  • Chinese AI and semiconductor names are seen as more attractive after a correction, with Korean money rotating into Hong Kong.
  • Hon Hai's AI server ramp and upcoming NVIDIA Rubin platform production are highlighted as positive.
Ideas
Asian chipmakers set for gains.
A benign U.S. CPI report and overnight strength in U.S. chip stocks should feed through to Asian chipmakers, which are set for another decent session as risk sentiment improves.
Long-end Treasuries vulnerable to supply pressure.
The long end of the U.S. Treasury curve faces supply and deficit pressure after a weak 10-year auction and a larger-than-expected U.S. budget deficit, making 30-year Treasuries vulnerable to higher yields and a weak auction.
Yen weakness remains dominant trend.
Intervention relief in dollar-yen is fading; traders are rebuilding long dollar-yen positions toward 160, and the BOJ would need back-to-back rate hikes to break the yen carry trade, so yen weakness remains the dominant trend.
Yen weakness remains dominant trend.
Intervention relief in dollar-yen is fading; traders are rebuilding long dollar-yen positions toward 160, and the BOJ would need back-to-back rate hikes to break the yen carry trade, so yen weakness remains the dominant trend.
Ed Yardeni President, Yardeni Research 33:35
U.S. stocks driven by strong earnings.
U.S. stocks are going higher on fabulous earnings momentum: second-quarter earnings are up about 25% excluding mark-to-market gains, valuations around 20 times are acceptable while the economy grows, and he raised his S&P 500 year-end target to 8400.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 44:04
Korean chip market rally likely continues.
Korea's market has a safer volatility backdrop with the V-KOSPI falling sharply, new large-parameter LLMs require more memory, and analysts remain supportive of Korean memory names on high demand and sticky prices.
Arun Sai Market Strategy, Pictet Asset Management 51:32
AI buildout still has room.
The AI trade has entered a more nuanced third phase where single-stock differentiation matters, but the buildout is still in early innings with demand high, supply constrained, and companies earning supernormal profitability, so selective AI ecosystem exposure remains attractive.
Arun Sai Market Strategy, Pictet Asset Management 55:09
Memory names best AI play.
Memory is one of the best ways to play AI because new models have massive parameter counts, demand is high, supply is constrained, and long-term agreements keep pricing sticky; he specifically cites Micron and SK hynix.
Arun Sai Market Strategy, Pictet Asset Management 55:21
AI broadening favors Schneider, Caterpillar.
As the AI theme broadens beyond chips into data centers and capital goods, investors should look at names such as Schneider Electric and Caterpillar rather than differentiating by region.
Arun Sai Market Strategy, Pictet Asset Management 55:36
Banks and industrials look constructive.
Beyond technology, he is constructive on banks and areas of industrials because the equity opportunity is increasingly about being in the right sectors rather than regional or style labels.
Shery Ahn Anchor, Bloomberg Television 61:06
Gold uptrend supported by central banks.
Gold is steady above $4,000 after the CPI print eased Fed hike concerns, supported by investor appetite for precious metals and central-bank purchases including China's, with upside continuing in Asia.
Nicholas Oil Reporter, Bloomberg 66:34
Oil market remains tight.
Global oil balances remain tight and are getting tighter because demand destruction has not matched the supply shortfall, inventories should continue dropping, and U.S. crude stockpile increases are an exception rather than the global trend.
Steven Tseng Senior Technology Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 75:56
Hon Hai AI ramp remains strong.
Hon Hai delivered a solid Q2 with revenue up 41% and earnings up 35%, AI rack shipments are strong, and it is on track to start mass producing NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform this quarter, giving it a growth driver into 2027 without an air pocket.
Hao Hong Chief Economist, GROW Investment Group 81:07
Chinese AI stocks attractive after correction.
After a two-month correction, many Chinese AI names are back to reasonable valuations, foreign investors are taking a second look, and the rally is entering a second phase where quality names with real earnings will perform.
Hao Hong Chief Economist, GROW Investment Group 83:53
Chinese semiconductor exports growing strongly.
Chinese semiconductor names dominate the low-to-mid range, Chinese semiconductor exports are still growing at high double digits of 50-60% year-on-year, and many names can continue to perform well.
Hao Hong Chief Economist, GROW Investment Group 89:22
Korean inflows support Hong Kong stocks.
Aggressive Korean traders are rotating into the Hong Kong market for cheap valuations and undiscovered Chinese AI names, with the Hang Seng already up more than 15% from its bottom, and this new money should support the market.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 13, 2026, features Mark, Ed Yardeni, Anthony Stevens, Arun Sai, Shery Ahn, Nicholas, Steven Tseng, Hao Hong discussing Asian chipmakers, TLT, USD/JPY, FXY, SPY, EWY, AI ecosystem, MU, 000660.KS, SU.PA, CAT, KBE, XLI, GLD, BNO, 2317.TW, Chinese AI stocks, Chinese semiconductor stocks, HSI. 16 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Mark, Ed Yardeni, Anthony Stevens, Arun Sai, Shery Ahn, Nicholas, Steven Tseng, Hao Hong  · Tickers: Asian chipmakers, TLT, USD/JPY, FXY, SPY, EWY, AI ecosystem, MU, 000660.KS, SU.PA, CAT, KBE, XLI, GLD, BNO, 2317.TW, Chinese AI stocks, Chinese semiconductor stocks, HSI