Hao Hong
Chief Economist, GROW Investment Group
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 24
$23.95
-4.8%
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$38.37
-7.6%
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
Macro
Long
Feb 24
$78.79
+13.8%
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
MSCI China gained 8% while mainland markets were closed for Lunar New Year. Hao Hong notes retail sales grew ~8% and capital is flowing back to Hong Kong due to USD depreciation. The "Reciprocal Tariff" threat was struck down by the Supreme Court, implying the effective tariff rate on China might be lower (or delayed) compared to the worst-case scenario. Combined with low valuations and a "catch-up" trade post-holiday, Chinese equities (specifically Tech and Robotics) are positioned for inflows as investors rotate out of expensive US Tech. LONG. Focus on "National Champions" and Robotics/AI hardware in China. Trump's pivot to "National Security" tariffs could specifically target Chinese industrial tech (batteries/EVs) later.
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